Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CSKA Moscow win with a probability of 40.18%. A win for Rubin Kazan had a probability of 31.59% and a draw had a probability of 28.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a CSKA Moscow win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.51%) and 0-2 (7.28%). The likeliest Rubin Kazan win was 1-0 (10.31%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.