/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F41%2Fzenlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F41%2Frsblog.png)
-
Aleksandr Sobolev
20'
-
45'
-
Román Vega
60'
-
Felipe Augusto
73'
-
87'
-
76'
-
Mohammed Abu Fani
81'
Zenit St Petersburg vs Red Star Belgrade - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Red Star Belgrade win with a probability of 38.16%. A win for Zenit St Petersburg had a probability of 34.53% and a draw had a probability of 27.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Red Star Belgrade win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.88%) and 0-2 (5.81%). The likeliest Zenit St Petersburg win was 1-0 (8.65%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.
Result
Zenit St Petersburg
34.53%
▼
(-0.44)
Draw
27.31%
▲
(+0.22)
Red Star Belgrade
38.16%
▲
(+0.22)
Both Teams to Score:
54.92%
▼
(-0.29)
Goals
Over 1.5
76.24%
▼
(-0.20)
Under 1.5
23.76%
▲
(+0.20)
Over 2.5
52.18%
▼
(-0.29)
Under 2.5
47.82%
▲
(+0.29)
Over 3.5
29.93%
▼
(-0.42)
Under 3.5
70.07%
▲
(+0.41)
Over 4.5
16.97%
▼
(-0.34)
Under 4.5
83.03%
▲
(+0.35)
First Half Winner
Zenit St Petersburg
27.65%
▼
(-0.14)
Draw
39.69%
▼
(-0.18)
Red Star Belgrade
32.66%
▲
(+0.30)
Team To Score First
Zenit St Petersburg
47.59%
▼
(-0.19)
No Goal
7.22%
▲
(+0.11)
Red Star Belgrade
45.19%
▲
(+0.08)
Corners
Over 8
53.02%
▲
(+1.54)
Equal 8
10.9%
▼
(-0.03)
Under 8
36.07%
▼
(-1.51)
Over 9
42.29%
▲
(+1.44)
Equal 9
10.73%
▲
(+0.09)
Under 9
46.98%
▼
(-1.54)
Over 10.5
32.52%
▲
(+1.26)
Under 10.5
67.48%
▼
(-1.25)
Zenit St Petersburg Goals
Over 1.5
35.83%
▼
(-0.43)
Under 1.5
64.17%
▲
(+0.43)
Over 2.5
14.02%
▼
(-0.31)
Under 2.5
85.98%
▲
(+0.30)
Over 3.5
4.94%
▼
(-0.17)
Under 3.5
95.06%
▲
(+0.18)
Red Star Belgrade Goals
Over 0.5
71.64%
▲
(+0.19)
Under 0.5
28.36%
▼
(-0.20)
Over 1.5
39.64%
Under 1.5
60.36%
Over 2.5
17.48%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 2.5
82.52%
▲
(+0.02)
Over 3.5
6.11%
▼
(-0.06)
Under 3.5
93.89%
▲
(+0.07)
Score analysis
Zenit St Petersburg
34.53%
Draw
27.31%
Red Star Belgrade
38.15%
Zenit St Petersburg
1-0
@
8.65%
▼
(-0.05)
2-1 @ 7.95%
2-0 @ 5.35% ▼ (-0.09)
3-1 @ 3.27% ▼ (-0.07)
3-0 @ 2.42% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.18% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 4.71% ▼ (-0.18)
Total : 34.53%
2-1 @ 7.95%
2-0 @ 5.35% ▼ (-0.09)
3-1 @ 3.27% ▼ (-0.07)
3-0 @ 2.42% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.18% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 4.71% ▼ (-0.18)
Total : 34.53%
Draw
1-1
@
12.9%
▲
(+0.14)
0-0 @ 7.22% ▲ (+0.11)
2-2 @ 5.75% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.21% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.23% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 27.31%
0-0 @ 7.22% ▲ (+0.11)
2-2 @ 5.75% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.21% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.23% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 27.31%
Red Star Belgrade
1-2
@
8.42%
▲
(+0.07)
0-1 @ 7.88% ▲ (+0.13)
0-2 @ 5.81% ▲ (+0.03)
1-3 @ 3.94% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 3.46% ▲ (+0.07)
2-3 @ 2.76% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 5.88% ▼ (-0.08)
Total : 38.15%
0-1 @ 7.88% ▲ (+0.13)
0-2 @ 5.81% ▲ (+0.03)
1-3 @ 3.94% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 3.46% ▲ (+0.07)
2-3 @ 2.76% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 5.88% ▼ (-0.08)
Total : 38.15%