Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zenit St Petersburg win with a probability of 73.17%. A draw had a probability of 17.95% and a win for Dynamo Makhachkala had a probability of 8.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zenit St Petersburg win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (14.47%) and 2-1 (10.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.9%) , while for a Dynamo Makhachkala win it was 0-1 (3.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 14.9% likelihood.