Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Akhmat Grozny win with a probability of 53.04%. A draw had a probability of 27.09% and a win for Dynamo Makhachkala had a probability of 19.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Akhmat Grozny win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.52%) and 2-1 (8.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.83%) , while for a Dynamo Makhachkala win it was 0-1 (8.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.