Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spartak Moscow win with a probability of 54.42%. A draw had a probability of 25.48% and a win for Dynamo Makhachkala had a probability of 20.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spartak Moscow win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.59%) and 1-2 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.74%) , while for a Dynamo Makhachkala win it was 1-0 (7.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.