Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Red Star Belgrade win with a probability of 70.8%. A draw had a probability of 17.88% and a win for Amstetten had a probability of 11.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Red Star Belgrade win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.4%) and 1-2 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.69%) , while for a Amstetten win it was 1-0 (4.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.