Russian Premier League Gameweek 3
Aug 10, 2026 5.30pm
Central'nyi Stadion Profsoyuzov

Fakel vs Akhmat Grozny - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Fakel

All competitions
Russian Premier League
Last game
Aug 2, 2026 4.15pm
Krasnodar 3 - 2 Fakel

Akhmat Grozny

All competitions
Russian Premier League
Last game
Aug 2, 2026 6.30pm
Akhmat Grozny 1 - 2 Spartak Moscow

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Akhmat Grozny win with a probability of 35.78%. A win for Fakel has a probability of 35.15% and a draw has a probability of 29.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Akhmat Grozny win is 0-1 with a probability of 11.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (7.72%) and 0-2 (6.52%). The likeliest Fakel win is 1-0 (11.28%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (13.47%).

Result

Fakel 35.15% (+0.04)
Draw 29.07%
Akhmat Grozny 35.78% (-0.07)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.01% (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 66.69% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 33.31% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 40.27% (-0.06)
Under 2.5 59.73% (+0.06)
Over 3.5 20.24% (-0.07)
Under 3.5 79.76% (+0.07)
Over 4.5 10.07% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 89.93% (+0.03)

First Half Winner

Fakel 28.07% (+0.02)
Draw 46.64% (+0.01)
Akhmat Grozny 25.29% (-0.02)

Team To Score First

Fakel 47.22% (-0.04)
No Goal 10.47% (+0.04)
Akhmat Grozny 42.31%

Corners

Over 8 48.79%
Equal 8 12.15%
Under 8 39.06%
Over 9 37.25% (-0.01)
Equal 9 11.54%
Under 9 51.21%
Over 10.5 27.18% (-0.02)
Under 10.5 72.82% (+0.01)

Fakel Goals

Over 1.5 30.65%
Under 1.5 69.35%
Over 2.5 10.68% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 89.32% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 2.95%
Under 3.5 97.05%

Akhmat Grozny Goals

Over 0.5 66.55% (-0.05)
Under 0.5 33.45% (+0.06)
Over 1.5 31.15% (-0.06)
Under 1.5 68.85% (+0.05)
Over 2.5 10.66% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 89.34% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 3.08% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 96.92% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Fakel 35.16%
Draw 29.08%
Akhmat Grozny 35.78%
Fakel
1-0 @ 11.28% (+0.03)
2-1 @ 7.48% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 6.42%
3-1 @ 2.87%
3-0 @ 2.4% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.81%
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 35.16%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.47%
0-0 @ 10.47% (+0.04)
2-2 @ 4.44% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.05%
Total : 29.08%
Akhmat Grozny
0-1 @ 11.58% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 7.72%
0-2 @ 6.52% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 2.87%
0-3 @ 2.43% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.63% (-0.02)
Other @ 3.03% (-0.02)
Total : 35.78%

Head to Head

Russian Premier League Gameweek 23
Apr 5, 2025 1.15pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Central'nyi Stadion Profsoyuzov
  • yellowcard Georgi Melkadze 30'
  • yellowcard Vladislav Kamilov 32'
  • yellowcard Ismael Silva 87'
Russian Premier League Gameweek 12
Oct 18, 2024 6.15pm
2
3
HT : 2 1
FT Akhmat Arena
  • Amine Talal 13' goal
  • Vladislav Kamilov 33' goal
  • Nader Ghandri 43' yellowcard
  • Svetoslav Kovachev 49' yellowcard
  • goal Aleksey Kashtanov 16'
  • yellowcard Irakli Kvekveskiri 18'
  • yellowcard Maks Dziov 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Rayan Senhadji 48'
  • goal Yevgeni Markov 77'
  • redcard Maks Dziov 84'
  • goal Aleksey Kashtanov 90'+4'
  • yellowcard Aleksandr Belenov 90'+7'
Russian Premier League Gameweek 30
May 25, 2024 2.30pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Central'nyi Stadion Profsoyuzov
  • Sergey Bozhin 6' goal
  • Yevgeni Markov 54' goal
Russian Premier League Gameweek 14
Nov 4, 2023 1.30pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT Akhmat Arena
  • Bernard Berisha 14' yellowcard
  • Artem Timofeev 24' yellowcard
  • Miroslav Bogosavac 45' yellowcard
  • Darko Todorovic 45'+3' goal
  • yellowcard Vyacheslav Yakimov 48'
  • yellowcard Yevgeni Markov 52'
  • goal Yevgeni Markov 59'
  • yellowcard Vladislav Masternoy 71'
  • goal Vyacheslav Yakimov 90'+3'
Russian Premier League Gameweek 23
Apr 16, 2023 2.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Central'nyi Stadion Profsoyuzov
  • Sergey Bozhin 55' goal
  • goal Artem Timofeev 15'
Russian Premier League Gameweek 2
Jul 24, 2022 6.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Akhmat Arena
  • Vladimir Ilyin 37' goal
  • Gamid Agalarov 64' goal
  • Anton Shvets 66' yellowcard
  • goal Maksim Maksimov 27'
  • yellowcard Roman Akbashev 63'
  • yellowcard Alikhan Shavaev 74'