Russian Premier League Gameweek 3
Aug 10, 2026 5.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Central'nyi Stadion Profsoyuzov
  • Aleksey Sutormin 52' yellowcard
  • Darko Todorovic 76' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Erald Maksuti 68'

Fakel vs Akhmat Grozny - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Fakel

All competitions
Russian Premier League
Last game
Aug 2, 2026 4.15pm
Krasnodar 3 - 2 Fakel

Akhmat Grozny

All competitions
Russian Premier League
Last game
Aug 2, 2026 6.30pm
Akhmat Grozny 1 - 2 Spartak Moscow

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Akhmat Grozny win with a probability of 35.72%. A win for Fakel had a probability of 35.19% and a draw had a probability of 29.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a Akhmat Grozny win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.72%) and 0-2 (6.5%). The likeliest Fakel win was 1-0 (11.28%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.

Result

Fakel 35.19% (+0.04)
Draw 29.09%
Akhmat Grozny 35.72% (-0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.97% (+0.01)

Goals

Over 1.5 66.7% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 33.3% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 40.24% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 59.76% (-0.03)
Over 3.5 20.17%
Under 3.5 79.83%
Over 4.5 10.02% (+0.01)
Under 4.5 89.98% (-0.01)

First Half Winner

Fakel 27.96% (+0.02)
Draw 46.73%
Akhmat Grozny 25.3% (-0.03)

Team To Score First

Fakel 47.21% (+0.01)
No Goal 10.48% (+0.01)
Akhmat Grozny 42.31% (-0.02)

Corners

Over 8 48.78% (-0.01)
Equal 8 12.14% (-0.01)
Under 8 39.09% (+0.04)
Over 9 37.26% (+0.02)
Equal 9 11.52% (-0.02)
Under 9 51.22% (+0.01)
Over 10.5 27.2% (+0.03)
Under 10.5 72.81% (-0.02)

Fakel Goals

Over 1.5 30.66% (+0.06)
Under 1.5 69.34% (-0.05)
Over 2.5 10.66% (+0.05)
Under 2.5 89.34% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 2.93%
Under 3.5 97.07%

Akhmat Grozny Goals

Over 0.5 66.49% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 33.51% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 31.08% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 68.92% (+0.05)
Over 2.5 10.63% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 89.37% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 3.04% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 96.96% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Fakel 35.2%
Draw 29.09%
Akhmat Grozny 35.71%
Fakel
1-0 @ 11.28% (-0.04)
2-1 @ 7.49% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 6.45% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 2.87% (+0.03)
3-0 @ 2.41%
3-2 @ 1.81% (+0.03)
Other @ 2.89% (+0.02)
Total : 35.2%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.51% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 10.48% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 4.42% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.04% (-0.02)
Total : 29.09%
Akhmat Grozny
0-1 @ 11.54% (-0.03)
1-2 @ 7.72% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 6.5% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.87%
0-3 @ 2.44% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.64%
Other @ 3% (-0.01)
Total : 35.71%

Head to Head

Russian Premier League Gameweek 23
Apr 5, 2025 1.15pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Central'nyi Stadion Profsoyuzov
  • yellowcard Georgi Melkadze 30'
  • yellowcard Vladislav Kamilov 32'
  • yellowcard Ismael Silva 87'
Russian Premier League Gameweek 12
Oct 18, 2024 6.15pm
2
3
HT : 2 1
FT Akhmat Arena
  • Amine Talal 13' goal
  • Vladislav Kamilov 33' goal
  • Nader Ghandri 43' yellowcard
  • Svetoslav Kovachev 49' yellowcard
  • goal Aleksey Kashtanov 16'
  • yellowcard Irakli Kvekveskiri 18'
  • yellowcard Maks Dziov 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Rayan Senhadji 48'
  • goal Yevgeni Markov 77'
  • redcard Maks Dziov 84'
  • goal Aleksey Kashtanov 90'+4'
  • yellowcard Aleksandr Belenov 90'+7'
Russian Premier League Gameweek 30
May 25, 2024 2.30pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Central'nyi Stadion Profsoyuzov
  • Sergey Bozhin 6' goal
  • Yevgeni Markov 54' goal
Russian Premier League Gameweek 14
Nov 4, 2023 1.30pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT Akhmat Arena
  • Bernard Berisha 14' yellowcard
  • Artem Timofeev 24' yellowcard
  • Miroslav Bogosavac 45' yellowcard
  • Darko Todorovic 45'+3' goal
  • yellowcard Vyacheslav Yakimov 48'
  • yellowcard Yevgeni Markov 52'
  • goal Yevgeni Markov 59'
  • yellowcard Vladislav Masternoy 71'
  • goal Vyacheslav Yakimov 90'+3'
Russian Premier League Gameweek 23
Apr 16, 2023 2.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Central'nyi Stadion Profsoyuzov
  • Sergey Bozhin 55' goal
  • goal Artem Timofeev 15'
Russian Premier League Gameweek 2
Jul 24, 2022 6.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Akhmat Arena
  • Vladimir Ilyin 37' goal
  • Gamid Agalarov 64' goal
  • Anton Shvets 66' yellowcard
  • goal Maksim Maksimov 27'
  • yellowcard Roman Akbashev 63'
  • yellowcard Alikhan Shavaev 74'