Jul 26, 2026 3.00pm

1

1

HT : 1 0

FT RZD Arena

Zelimkhan Bakaev 8'
Gerzino Nyamsi 13'
Lucas Fasson 53'
Aleksey Batrakov 88'

Erald Maksuti 83'

Lokomotiv Moscow vs Akhmat Grozny - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Lokomotiv Moscow

All competitions

D
L
W
W
W
W

Russian Premier League

L
W
D
L
D
W

Last game

May 17, 2026 4.00pm

CSKA 3 - 1 Lokomotiv

Akhmat Grozny

All competitions

W
W
D
D
D
D

Russian Premier League

D
D
W
L
D
L

Last game

May 17, 2026 4.00pm

Sochi 1 - 1 Akhmat Grozny

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lokomotiv Moscow win with a probability of 53.09%. A draw had a probability of 25.67% and a win for Akhmat Grozny had a probability of 21.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lokomotiv Moscow win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.04%) and 2-1 (8.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.79%) , while for a Akhmat Grozny win it was 0-1 (7.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.

Result

Lokomotiv Moscow 53.09% ▼ (-0.02)

Draw 25.67% ▼ (-0.02)

Akhmat Grozny 21.18% ▼ (-0.02)

Both Teams to Score:

42.74% ▲ (+0.03)

Goals

Over 1.5 67.14% ▼ (-0.10)

Under 1.5 32.86% ▲ (+0.11)

Over 2.5 42.26% ▼ (-0.04)

Under 2.5 57.74% ▲ (+0.04)

Over 3.5 22.65% ▲ (+0.04)

Under 3.5 77.35% ▼ (-0.05)

Over 4.5 12.92% ▲ (+0.06)

Under 4.5 87.08% ▼ (-0.05)

First Half Winner

Lokomotiv Moscow 31.6% ▼ (-0.33)

Draw 39.24% ▼ (-0.11)

Akhmat Grozny 29.16% ▲ (+0.43)

Team To Score First

Lokomotiv Moscow 48.61% ▼ (-0.25)

No Goal 10.61%

Akhmat Grozny 40.78% ▲ (+0.25)

Corners

Over 8 53.23% ▲ (+0.34)

Equal 8 12.14% ▲ (+0.01)

Under 8 34.63% ▼ (-0.35)

Over 9 41.29% ▲ (+0.30)

Equal 9 11.94% ▲ (+0.04)

Under 9 46.77% ▼ (-0.34)

Over 10.5 30.54% ▲ (+0.24)

Under 10.5 69.46% ▼ (-0.25)

Lokomotiv Moscow Goals

Over 1.5 43.68% ▼ (-0.05)

Under 1.5 56.32% ▲ (+0.05)

Over 2.5 19.19% ▲ (+0.02)

Under 2.5 80.81% ▼ (-0.01)

Over 3.5 6.99% ▼ (-0.01)

Under 3.5 93.01% ▲ (+0.02)

Akhmat Grozny Goals

Over 0.5 50.89% ▼ (-0.09)

Under 0.5 49.11% ▲ (+0.09)

Over 1.5 20.46% ▲ (+0.02)

Under 1.5 79.54% ▼ (-0.01)

Over 2.5 6.88% ▲ (+0.05)

Under 2.5 93.12% ▼ (-0.04)

Over 3.5 1.81% ▲ (+0.03)

Under 3.5 98.19% ▼ (-0.02)

Score analysis

Lokomotiv Moscow 53.08%

Draw 25.68%

Akhmat Grozny 21.17%

Lokomotiv Moscow

1-0 @ 15.14% ▲ (+0.04)

2-0 @ 11.04% ▼ (-0.03)

2-1 @ 8.34% ▼ (-0.06)

3-0 @ 5.27%

3-1 @ 4.26%

3-2 @ 2.05%

Other @ 6.98% ▼ (-0.01)

Total : 53.08%

Draw

1-1 @ 10.79% ▼ (-0.04)

0-0 @ 10.61%

2-2 @ 3.65% ▼ (-0.02)

Other @ 0.01%

Total : 25.68%

Akhmat Grozny

0-1 @ 7.04% ▼ (-0.02)

1-2 @ 4.85% ▼ (-0.02)

0-2 @ 3.03% ▼ (-0.02)

1-3 @ 1.83% ▼ (-0.02)

2-3 @ 1.46% ▲ (+0.03)

0-3 @ 1.16% ▼ (-0.02)

Other @ 1.8% ▲ (+0.03)

Total : 21.17%

Head to Head

Mar 9, 2026 1.30pm

2

2

HT : 1 2

FT RZD Arena

Gerzino Nyamsi 30'
Lucas Fasson 45'+2'
Danil Prutsev 48'
Lucas Vera 60'
Lucas Vera 61'
Alexander Silyanov 90'+1'
90'+1'

Georgiy Melkadze 24'
Maksim Samorodov 26'
Rifat Zhemaletdinov 60'
Galymzhan Kenzhebek 87'
Daniil Khlusevich 90'+1'
Dzhamalutdin Abdulkadyrov 90'+1'
Daniil Khlusevich 90'+2'
Dzhamalutdin Abdulkadyrov 90'+3'
90'+3'

Sep 13, 2025 2.45pm

1

1

HT : 0 0

FT

Mar 7, 2025 5.15pm

1

1

HT : 1 1

FT RZD Arena

Lucas Fasson 13'
Aleksey Batrakov 16'
Artem Timofeev 43'

Ismael Silva 3'
Maksim Samorodov 40'
Daniil Utkin 56'
Georgi Melkadze 56'

Aug 4, 2024 6.30pm

0

5

HT : 0 3

FT Akhmat Arena

Milos Satara 39'
Nader Ghandri 51'

Dmitriy Vorobyev 7'
Gerzino Nyamsi 17'
Maksim Nenakhov 28'
Gerzino Nyamsi 36'
Dmitriy Vorobyev 51'
Aleksandr Silyanov 52'
Nayair Tiknizyan 56'
Timur Suleymanov 76'
Vadim Rakov 79'
Aleksey Batrakov 90'+2'

Apr 7, 2024 2.30pm

0

2

HT : 0 1

FT Akhmat Arena

Anton Shvets 16'
Darko Todorovic 19'
Camilo 88'

Anton Miranchuk 21'
Sergey Pinyaev 58'
Evgeny Morozov 85'

Nov 11, 2023 1.30pm

2

1

HT : 0 0

FT RZD Arena

Nayair Tiknizyan 34'
Artem Dzyuba 68'
Mario Mitaj 72'
Maksim Glushenkov 79'
Timur Suleymanov 81'
Nayair Tiknizyan 90'

Anton Shvets 4'
Vladimir Ilyin 30'
Daniel Junior 34'
Mohamed Konate 66'
Ivan Oleynikov 74'

Form Data

Lokomotiv 0 - 0 Rubin Kazan

Lokomotiv 1 - 3 Rubin Kazan

Lokomotiv 1 - 0 CSKA

Lokomotiv 2 - 0 Spartak Moscow

Lokomotiv 3 - 0 Akron

Lokomotiv 2 - 0 Spartak Kostroma

Akhmat Grozny 1 - 0 Ajman

Radnik Bijeljina 0 - 3 Akhmat Grozny

IMT Novi Beograd 0 - 0 Akhmat Grozny

Novi Pazar 1 - 1 Akhmat Grozny

Sochi 1 - 1 Akhmat Grozny

Akhmat Grozny 1 - 1 Makhachkala