Russian Premier League Gameweek 1
Jul 26, 2026 3.00pm
RZD Arena

Lokomotiv Moscow vs Akhmat Grozny - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Lokomotiv Moscow

All competitions
Russian Premier League
Last game
May 17, 2026 4.00pm
CSKA 3 - 1 Lokomotiv

Akhmat Grozny

All competitions
Russian Premier League
Last game
May 17, 2026 4.00pm
Sochi 1 - 1 Akhmat Grozny

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Lokomotiv Moscow win with a probability of 53.11%. A draw has a probability of 25.69% and a win for Akhmat Grozny has a probability of 21.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lokomotiv Moscow win is 1-0 with a probability of 15.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (11.06%) and 2-1 (8.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.82%) , while for a Akhmat Grozny win it is 0-1 (7.06%).

Result

Lokomotiv Moscow 53.11% (-2.15)
Draw 25.69% (-0.13)
Akhmat Grozny 21.19% (+2.30)

Both Teams to Score: 

42.72% (+0.57)

Goals

Over 1.5 67.24% (+0.32)
Under 1.5 32.76% (-0.33)
Over 2.5 42.3% (+0.35)
Under 2.5 57.7% (-0.35)
Over 3.5 22.61% (+0.19)
Under 3.5 77.39% (-0.19)
Over 4.5 12.87% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 87.13% (+0.01)

First Half Winner

Lokomotiv Moscow 31.92% (-0.40)
Draw 39.34% (-1.27)
Akhmat Grozny 28.74% (+1.67)

Team To Score First

Lokomotiv Moscow 48.86% (-2.67)
No Goal 10.61% (-0.15)
Akhmat Grozny 40.53% (+2.81)

Corners

Over 8 52.89% (-0.12)
Equal 8 12.13% (-0.05)
Under 8 34.98% (+0.17)
Over 9 40.99% (-0.06)
Equal 9 11.9% (-0.07)
Under 9 47.11% (+0.12)
Over 10.5 30.3%
Under 10.5 69.7%

Lokomotiv Moscow Goals

Over 1.5 43.73% (-1.41)
Under 1.5 56.27% (+1.41)
Over 2.5 19.18% (-1.15)
Under 2.5 80.82% (+1.15)
Over 3.5 7% (-0.42)
Under 3.5 93% (+0.43)

Akhmat Grozny Goals

Over 0.5 50.98% (+1.79)
Under 0.5 49.02% (-1.79)
Over 1.5 20.45% (+1.88)
Under 1.5 79.55% (-1.89)
Over 2.5 6.84% (+1.08)
Under 2.5 93.16% (-1.08)
Over 3.5 1.79% (+0.32)
Under 3.5 98.21% (-0.32)

Score analysis

Lokomotiv Moscow 53.13%
Draw 25.7%
Akhmat Grozny 21.19%
Lokomotiv Moscow
1-0 @ 15.11% (-0.46)
2-0 @ 11.06% (-0.39)
2-1 @ 8.39% (-0.19)
3-0 @ 5.27% (-0.38)
3-1 @ 4.26% (-0.21)
3-2 @ 2.05% (-0.12)
Other @ 6.99% (-0.39)
Total : 53.13%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.82% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 10.61% (-0.15)
2-2 @ 3.66% (+0.12)
Other @ 0.01% (-0.03)
Total : 25.7%
Akhmat Grozny
0-1 @ 7.06% (+0.32)
1-2 @ 4.86% (+0.46)
0-2 @ 3.04% (+0.36)
1-3 @ 1.84% (+0.33)
2-3 @ 1.44% (+0.22)
0-3 @ 1.17%
Other @ 1.78% (+0.35)
Total : 21.19%

Head to Head

Russian Premier League Gameweek 20
Mar 9, 2026 1.30pm
2
2
HT : 1 2
FT RZD Arena
  • Gerzino Nyamsi 30' yellowcard
  • Lucas Fasson 45'+2' goal
  • Danil Prutsev 48' goal
  • Lucas Vera 60' yellowcard
  • Lucas Vera 61' yellowcard
  • Alexander Silyanov 90'+1' yellowcard
  • 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Georgiy Melkadze 24'
  • goal Maksim Samorodov 26'
  • yellowcard Rifat Zhemaletdinov 60'
  • yellowcard Galymzhan Kenzhebek 87'
  • yellowcard Daniil Khlusevich 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Dzhamalutdin Abdulkadyrov 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Daniil Khlusevich 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Dzhamalutdin Abdulkadyrov 90'+3'
  • yellowcard 90'+3'
Russian Premier League
Sep 13, 2025 2.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Russian Premier League Gameweek 20
Mar 7, 2025 5.15pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT RZD Arena
  • Lucas Fasson 13' yellowcard
  • Aleksey Batrakov 16' goal
  • Artem Timofeev 43' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ismael Silva 3'
  • goal Maksim Samorodov 40'
  • yellowcard Daniil Utkin 56'
  • yellowcard Georgi Melkadze 56'
Russian Premier League Gameweek 3
Aug 4, 2024 6.30pm
0
5
HT : 0 3
FT Akhmat Arena
  • Milos Satara 39' yellowcard
  • Nader Ghandri 51' yellowcard
  • goal Dmitriy Vorobyev 7'
  • goal Gerzino Nyamsi 17'
  • yellowcard Maksim Nenakhov 28'
  • goal Gerzino Nyamsi 36'
  • yellowcard Dmitriy Vorobyev 51'
  • yellowcard Aleksandr Silyanov 52'
  • yellowcard Nayair Tiknizyan 56'
  • yellowcard Timur Suleymanov 76'
  • goal Vadim Rakov 79'
  • goal Aleksey Batrakov 90'+2'
Russian Premier League Gameweek 23
Apr 7, 2024 2.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Akhmat Arena
  • Anton Shvets 16' yellowcard
  • Darko Todorovic 19' redcard
  • Camilo 88' yellowcard
  • goal Anton Miranchuk 21'
  • goal Sergey Pinyaev 58'
  • yellowcard Evgeny Morozov 85'
Russian Premier League Gameweek 15
Nov 11, 2023 1.30pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT RZD Arena
  • Nayair Tiknizyan 34' yellowcard
  • Artem Dzyuba 68' yellowcard
  • Mario Mitaj 72' yellowcard
  • Maksim Glushenkov 79' goal
  • Timur Suleymanov 81' goal
  • Nayair Tiknizyan 90' redcard
  • yellowcard Anton Shvets 4'
  • yellowcard Vladimir Ilyin 30'
  • yellowcard Daniel Junior 34'
  • goal Mohamed Konate 66'
  • yellowcard Ivan Oleynikov 74'