Club Friendlies 3
Jul 11, 2026 4.00pm
RZD Arena

Lokomotiv Moscow vs Spartak Moscow - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Lokomotiv Moscow

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 3, 2026 3.00pm
Lokomotiv 2 - 0 Spartak Kostroma

Spartak Moscow

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 8, 2026 5.30pm
Spartak Moscow 0 - 0 Rubin Kazan

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Lokomotiv Moscow win with a probability of 39.69%. A win for Spartak Moscow has a probability of 32.97% and a draw has a probability of 27.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lokomotiv Moscow win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.95%) and 2-0 (6.99%). The likeliest Spartak Moscow win is 0-1 (8.95%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.57%).

Result

Lokomotiv Moscow 39.69% (+0.18)
Draw 27.34% (-0.06)
Spartak Moscow 32.97% (-0.13)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.98% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 71.78% (+0.10)
Under 1.5 28.22% (-0.09)
Over 2.5 46.68% (+0.11)
Under 2.5 53.32% (-0.11)
Over 3.5 24.6% (+0.08)
Under 3.5 75.4% (-0.02)
Over 4.5 13.32% (+0.07)
Under 4.5 86.68% (-0.06)

First Half Winner

Lokomotiv Moscow 27.51% (+0.04)
Draw 45.43% (+0.01)
Spartak Moscow 27.06% (-0.05)

Team To Score First

Lokomotiv Moscow 45.52% (+0.03)
No Goal 8.88% (-0.05)
Spartak Moscow 45.6% (+0.04)

Corners

Over 8 44.88% (+0.04)
Equal 8 11.94%
Under 8 43.18% (-0.04)
Over 9 33.89% (+0.04)
Equal 9 10.99%
Under 9 55.12% (-0.04)
Over 10.5 24.56% (+0.02)
Under 10.5 75.44% (-0.02)

Lokomotiv Moscow Goals

Over 1.5 37.22% (+0.20)
Under 1.5 62.78% (-0.20)
Over 2.5 14.39% (+0.09)
Under 2.5 85.61% (-0.10)
Over 3.5 4.71% (+0.06)
Under 3.5 95.29% (-0.06)

Spartak Moscow Goals

Over 0.5 66.11% (-0.10)
Under 0.5 33.89% (+0.10)
Over 1.5 32.11% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 67.89% (+0.05)
Over 2.5 12.02% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 87.98% (+0.03)
Over 3.5 3.54% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 96.46% (+0.03)

Score analysis

Lokomotiv Moscow 39.69%
Draw 27.33%
Spartak Moscow 32.98%
Lokomotiv Moscow
1-0 @ 10.39% (+0.03)
2-1 @ 8.95% (+0.03)
2-0 @ 6.99% (+0.05)
3-1 @ 3.53% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 3.02% (+0.03)
3-2 @ 2.2%
Other @ 4.61% (+0.08)
Total : 39.69%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.57% (-0.04)
0-0 @ 8.88% (-0.05)
2-2 @ 4.85% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.1% (-0.01)
Total : 27.33%
Spartak Moscow
0-1 @ 8.95% (-0.06)
1-2 @ 7.51% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 5.53% (-0.03)
1-3 @ 2.9% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 2.61%
2-3 @ 2.04% (+0.03)
Other @ 3.44% (-0.03)
Total : 32.98%

Head to Head

Russian Premier League Gameweek 23
Apr 5, 2026 5.30pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Otkrytie Arena
  • Manfred Ugalde 46' yellowcard
  • Esequiel Barco 66' yellowcard
  • Pavel Polekh 79' yellowcard
  • Pablo Solari 83' goal
  • goal César Montes 23'
  • yellowcard Nikolay Komlichenko 68'
  • yellowcard Gerzino Nyamsi 76'
Russian Premier League
Aug 9, 2025 4.00pm
4
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Russian Premier League Gameweek 16
Nov 23, 2024 3.00pm
5
2
HT : 3 0
FT Otkrytiye Arena
  • Dejan Stankovic 0' yellowcard
  • Manfred Ugalde 10' goal
  • Manfred Ugalde 21' goal
  • Manfred Ugalde 34' goal
  • Oleg Reabciuk 50' yellowcard
  • Christopher Martins Pereira 62' yellowcard
  • Manfred Ugalde 73' goal
  • Ezequiel Barco 80' goal
  • yellowcard Gerzino Nyamsi 41'
  • yellowcard Cesar Montes 42'
  • goal Sergey Pinyaev 55'
  • goal Gerzino Nyamsi 63'
  • yellowcard Timur Suleymanov 67'
  • yellowcard Aleksey Batrakov 69'
  • yellowcard Ilya Samoshnikov 85'
Russian Premier League Gameweek 10
Sep 28, 2024 2.30pm
3
1
HT : 2 1
FT RZD Arena
  • Ilya Samoshnikov 7' goal
  • Ilya Samoshnikov 36' goal
  • Dmitriy Vorobyev 58' goal
  • Ilya Samoshnikov 70' yellowcard
  • goal Ezequiel Barco 16'
  • yellowcard Manfred Ugalde 47'
  • yellowcard Srdan Babic 45'+5'
  • yellowcard Oleg Reabciuk 61'
  • yellowcard Ezequiel Barco 71'
  • yellowcard Christopher Martins Pereira 86'
  • redcard <TBD> 86'
  • yellowcard Daniil Khlusevich 90'+2'
Russian Premier League Gameweek 26
Apr 28, 2024 2.15pm
3
2
HT : 1 0
FT Otkrytiye Arena
  • Theo Bongonda 44' goal
  • Nail Umyarov 49' yellowcard
  • Jesus Medina 56' goal
  • Daniil Khlusevich 67' goal
  • Christopher Martins Pereira 73' yellowcard
  • goal Timur Suleymanov 50'
  • goal Vladislav Sarveli 71'
Russian Premier League Gameweek 14
Nov 5, 2023 4.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT RZD Arena
  • Dmitriy Barinov 45' yellowcard
  • Anton Miranchuk 49' yellowcard
  • Artem Dzyuba 63' goal
  • redcard Daniil Khlusevich 38'
  • goal Anton Zinkovskiy 53'
  • yellowcard Mikhail Ignatov 60'