Club Friendlies 3
Jul 11, 2026 6.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT RZD Arena
  • 47' goal
  • 63' goal

Lokomotiv Moscow vs Spartak Moscow - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Lokomotiv Moscow

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 11, 2026 9.00am
Lokomotiv 3 - 0 Akron

Spartak Moscow

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 8, 2026 5.30pm
Spartak Moscow 0 - 0 Rubin Kazan

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lokomotiv Moscow win with a probability of 39.82%. A win for Spartak Moscow had a probability of 32.89% and a draw had a probability of 27.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lokomotiv Moscow win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.99%) and 2-0 (7%). The likeliest Spartak Moscow win was 0-1 (8.89%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.

Result

Lokomotiv Moscow 39.82% (+0.14)
Draw 27.28% (-0.06)
Spartak Moscow 32.89% (-0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.11% (+0.14)

Goals

Over 1.5 71.92% (+0.15)
Under 1.5 28.08% (-0.15)
Over 2.5 46.88% (+0.21)
Under 2.5 53.12% (-0.21)
Over 3.5 24.69% (+0.09)
Under 3.5 75.31% (-0.10)
Over 4.5 13.38% (+0.07)
Under 4.5 86.62% (-0.07)

First Half Winner

Lokomotiv Moscow 27.51%
Draw 45.45% (+0.03)
Spartak Moscow 27.04% (-0.02)

Team To Score First

Lokomotiv Moscow 45.51% (-0.02)
No Goal 8.83% (-0.06)
Spartak Moscow 45.66% (+0.06)

Corners

Over 8 44.93% (+0.05)
Equal 8 11.94%
Under 8 43.13% (-0.05)
Over 9 33.94% (+0.05)
Equal 9 11% (+0.01)
Under 9 55.07% (-0.05)
Over 10.5 24.6% (+0.05)
Under 10.5 75.4% (-0.04)

Lokomotiv Moscow Goals

Over 1.5 37.4% (+0.18)
Under 1.5 62.6% (-0.18)
Over 2.5 14.51% (+0.12)
Under 2.5 85.49% (-0.13)
Over 3.5 4.76% (+0.05)
Under 3.5 95.24% (-0.06)

Spartak Moscow Goals

Over 0.5 66.09% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 33.91% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 32.11%
Under 1.5 67.89%
Over 2.5 12.04% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 87.96% (-0.03)
Over 3.5 3.54%
Under 3.5 96.46%

Score analysis

Lokomotiv Moscow 39.83%
Draw 27.28%
Spartak Moscow 32.9%
Lokomotiv Moscow
1-0 @ 10.37% (-0.03)
2-1 @ 8.99% (+0.05)
2-0 @ 7% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 3.55% (+0.03)
3-0 @ 3.06% (+0.05)
3-2 @ 2.2%
Other @ 4.66% (+0.05)
Total : 39.83%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.55% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 8.83% (-0.06)
2-2 @ 4.86% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 27.28%
Spartak Moscow
0-1 @ 8.89% (-0.06)
1-2 @ 7.52% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 5.49% (-0.05)
1-3 @ 2.9%
0-3 @ 2.62% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2.04%
Other @ 3.44%
Total : 32.9%

Head to Head

Russian Premier League Gameweek 23
Apr 5, 2026 5.30pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Otkrytie Arena
  • Manfred Ugalde 46' yellowcard
  • Esequiel Barco 66' yellowcard
  • Pavel Polekh 79' yellowcard
  • Pablo Solari 83' goal
  • goal César Montes 23'
  • yellowcard Nikolay Komlichenko 68'
  • yellowcard Gerzino Nyamsi 76'
Russian Premier League
Aug 9, 2025 4.00pm
4
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Russian Premier League Gameweek 16
Nov 23, 2024 3.00pm
5
2
HT : 3 0
FT Otkrytiye Arena
  • Dejan Stankovic 0' yellowcard
  • Manfred Ugalde 10' goal
  • Manfred Ugalde 21' goal
  • Manfred Ugalde 34' goal
  • Oleg Reabciuk 50' yellowcard
  • Christopher Martins Pereira 62' yellowcard
  • Manfred Ugalde 73' goal
  • Ezequiel Barco 80' goal
  • yellowcard Gerzino Nyamsi 41'
  • yellowcard Cesar Montes 42'
  • goal Sergey Pinyaev 55'
  • goal Gerzino Nyamsi 63'
  • yellowcard Timur Suleymanov 67'
  • yellowcard Aleksey Batrakov 69'
  • yellowcard Ilya Samoshnikov 85'
Russian Premier League Gameweek 10
Sep 28, 2024 2.30pm
3
1
HT : 2 1
FT RZD Arena
  • Ilya Samoshnikov 7' goal
  • Ilya Samoshnikov 36' goal
  • Dmitriy Vorobyev 58' goal
  • Ilya Samoshnikov 70' yellowcard
  • goal Ezequiel Barco 16'
  • yellowcard Manfred Ugalde 47'
  • yellowcard Srdan Babic 45'+5'
  • yellowcard Oleg Reabciuk 61'
  • yellowcard Ezequiel Barco 71'
  • yellowcard Christopher Martins Pereira 86'
  • redcard <TBD> 86'
  • yellowcard Daniil Khlusevich 90'+2'
Russian Premier League Gameweek 26
Apr 28, 2024 2.15pm
3
2
HT : 1 0
FT Otkrytiye Arena
  • Theo Bongonda 44' goal
  • Nail Umyarov 49' yellowcard
  • Jesus Medina 56' goal
  • Daniil Khlusevich 67' goal
  • Christopher Martins Pereira 73' yellowcard
  • goal Timur Suleymanov 50'
  • goal Vladislav Sarveli 71'
Russian Premier League Gameweek 14
Nov 5, 2023 4.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT RZD Arena
  • Dmitriy Barinov 45' yellowcard
  • Anton Miranchuk 49' yellowcard
  • Artem Dzyuba 63' goal
  • redcard Daniil Khlusevich 38'
  • goal Anton Zinkovskiy 53'
  • yellowcard Mikhail Ignatov 60'