Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lokomotiv Moscow win with a probability of 53.52%. A draw had a probability of 25.88% and a win for Rodina Moskva had a probability of 20.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lokomotiv Moscow win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (10.05%) and 2-0 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.26%) , while for a Rodina Moskva win it was 0-1 (6.52%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.