Club Friendlies 3
Jun 27, 2026 3.00pm
RZD Arena

Lokomotiv Moscow vs Rodina Moskva - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Lokomotiv Moscow

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Feb 21, 2026 1.00pm
CSKA 2 - 2 Lokomotiv

Rodina Moskva

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jun 26, 2026 1.00am
CSKA 0 - 0 Rodina Moskva

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Lokomotiv Moscow win with a probability of 54.16%. A draw has a probability of 25.65% and a win for Rodina Moskva has a probability of 20.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lokomotiv Moscow win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (10.09%) and 2-0 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.19%) , while for a Rodina Moskva win it is 0-1 (6.44%).

Result

Lokomotiv Moscow 54.16% (+0.37)
Draw 25.65% (-0.09)
Rodina Moskva 20.19% (-0.24)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.62% (-0.15)

Goals

Over 1.5 73.78% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 26.22% (+0.08)
Over 2.5 49.04% (-0.12)
Under 2.5 50.96% (+0.12)
Over 3.5 27.3% (-0.10)
Under 3.5 72.7% (+0.11)
Over 4.5 15.7% (-0.06)
Under 4.5 84.3% (+0.05)

First Half Winner

Lokomotiv Moscow 34.83% (+0.08)
Draw 43.96%
Rodina Moskva 21.2% (-0.09)

Team To Score First

Lokomotiv Moscow 56.11% (+0.08)
No Goal 7.71% (+0.02)
Rodina Moskva 36.18% (-0.11)

Corners

Over 8 51.12% (+0.15)
Equal 8 11.77%
Under 8 37.11% (-0.14)
Over 9 39.74% (+0.14)
Equal 9 11.38% (+0.02)
Under 9 48.88% (-0.15)
Over 10.5 29.6% (+0.12)
Under 10.5 70.4% (-0.11)

Lokomotiv Moscow Goals

Over 1.5 49.26% (+0.15)
Under 1.5 50.74% (-0.15)
Over 2.5 23.36% (+0.09)
Under 2.5 76.64% (-0.10)
Over 3.5 8.97% (+0.08)
Under 3.5 91.03% (-0.07)

Rodina Moskva Goals

Over 0.5 56.23% (-0.37)
Under 0.5 43.77% (+0.37)
Over 1.5 22.27% (-0.31)
Under 1.5 77.73% (+0.32)
Over 2.5 6.73% (-0.17)
Under 2.5 93.27% (+0.18)
Over 3.5 1.75% (-0.06)
Under 3.5 98.25% (+0.05)

Score analysis

Lokomotiv Moscow 54.16%
Draw 25.64%
Rodina Moskva 20.18%
Lokomotiv Moscow
1-0 @ 12.05% (+0.11)
2-1 @ 10.09%
2-0 @ 9.72% (+0.14)
3-0 @ 5.44% (+0.06)
3-1 @ 5.24% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.79% (-0.01)
Other @ 8.83% (+0.09)
Total : 54.16%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.19% (-0.05)
0-0 @ 7.71% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 4.68% (-0.05)
Other @ 0.14% (-0.01)
Total : 25.64%
Rodina Moskva
0-1 @ 6.44% (-0.02)
1-2 @ 5.23% (-0.06)
0-2 @ 2.84% (-0.04)
1-3 @ 1.67% (-0.04)
2-3 @ 1.41% (-0.05)
Other @ 1.61% (-0.04)
Total : 20.18%