Russian Premier League
May 10, 2026 5.30pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT RZD Arena
  • Aleksandr Rudenko 4' goal
  • Maksim Nenakhov 23' yellowcard
  • Sergey Pinyaev 68' yellowcard
  • Nikita Saltykov 83' yellowcard
  • Vladislav Sarvelyi 83' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Yuriy Kovalev 46'
  • yellowcard Chinonso Offor 60'
  • yellowcard Ivan Belikov 60'
  • yellowcard Ilya Petrov 66'
  • yellowcard Aymane Mourid 72'
  • yellowcard Stefan Kovac 72'

Lokomotiv Moscow vs Baltika - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Lokomotiv Moscow

All competitions
Russian Premier League
Last game
May 1, 2026 5.30pm
Lokomotiv 1 - 1 Dynamo Moscow
Goals scored
53
Top scorer
Aleksey Batrakov

Baltika

All competitions
Russian Premier League
Last game
May 2, 2026 2.30pm
Baltika 0 - 1 Rubin Kazan
Goals scored
36
Top scorer
B. Gil

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lokomotiv Moscow win with a probability of 45.76%. A draw had a probability of 31.37% and a win for Baltika had a probability of 22.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lokomotiv Moscow win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.34%) and 2-1 (7.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.55%) , while for a Baltika win it was 0-1 (8.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 16.1% likelihood.

Result

Lokomotiv Moscow 45.76% (+0.04)
Draw 31.37%
Baltika 22.87%

Both Teams to Score: 

40.58%

Goals

Over 1.5 60.71% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 39.29% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 35.97%
Under 2.5 64.03%
Over 3.5 18.12%
Under 3.5 81.86% (-0.05)
Over 4.5 9.36% (-0.01)
Under 4.5 90.64% (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Lokomotiv Moscow 32.75%
Draw 45.45%
Baltika 21.79%

Team To Score First

Lokomotiv Moscow 48.88% (-0.01)
No Goal 14.55% (+0.02)
Baltika 36.57%

Corners

Over 8 47.98%
Equal 8 12.51%
Under 8 39.5%
Over 9 36.18%
Equal 9 11.8%
Under 9 52.02%
Over 10.5 25.99%
Under 10.5 74.01%

Lokomotiv Moscow Goals

Over 1.5 35.53%
Under 1.5 64.47%
Over 2.5 13.79%
Under 2.5 86.21%
Over 3.5 4.13%
Under 3.5 95.87%

Baltika Goals

Over 0.5 52.21% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 47.79% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 20.72%
Under 1.5 79.28%
Over 2.5 6.73% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 93.27% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 1.65% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 98.35% (+0.01)

Score analysis

Lokomotiv Moscow 45.77%
Draw 31.37%
Baltika 22.86%
Lokomotiv Moscow
1-0 @ 16.13% (+0.04)
2-0 @ 9.34%
2-1 @ 7.51%
3-0 @ 3.83%
3-1 @ 3.25%
3-2 @ 1.77%
Other @ 3.94%
Total : 45.77%
Draw
0-0 @ 14.55% (+0.02)
1-1 @ 12.12% (-0.03)
2-2 @ 3.7%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 31.37%
Baltika
0-1 @ 8.61%
1-2 @ 5.24%
0-2 @ 3.28% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 1.81%
0-3 @ 1.27%
2-3 @ 1.19%
Other @ 1.46% (-0.02)
Total : 22.86%

Head to Head

Russian Premier League
Aug 16, 2025 1.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Russian Premier League Gameweek 30
May 25, 2024 2.30pm
1
3
HT : 0 1
FT Baltika Stadium
  • Angelo Henriquez 12' yellowcard
  • Kevin Andrade 34' yellowcard
  • Diego Luna 40' yellowcard
  • Vitali Lisakovich 76' goal
  • Alex Fernandes 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Anton Miranchuk 8'
  • yellowcard Dmitriy Barinov 43'
  • yellowcard Evgeny Morozov 54'
  • goal Artem Karpukas 66'
  • goal Timur Suleymanov 88'
Russian Premier League Gameweek 7
Sep 3, 2023 1.15pm
3
2
HT : 3 0
FT RZD Arena
  • Artem Dzyuba 9' goal
  • Artem Karpukas 15' yellowcard
  • Anton Miranchuk 17' goal
  • Dmitriy Barinov 34' goal
  • yellowcard Nikola Radmanovac 20'
  • goal Gedeon Guzina 50'
  • goal Sergey Pryakhin 65'