Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Baltika win with a probability of 45.12%. A draw had a probability of 28.39% and a win for Rubin Kazan had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Baltika win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.77%) and 2-1 (8.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.6%) , while for a Rubin Kazan win it was 0-1 (9.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.