Russian Premier League Gameweek 2
Aug 2, 2026 4.15pm
3
2
HT : 2 0
FT Stadion FK Krasnodar
  • Jubal 4' goal
  • Nikita Krivtsov 27' goal
  • Douglas Augusto 29' yellowcard
  • Jubal 50' yellowcard
  • Nikita Krivtsov 59' goal
  • Daniil Utkin 90'+1' yellowcard
  • João Batxi 90'+6' yellowcard
  • goal Maksim Turishchev 85'
  • goal Aleksey Sutormin 88'

FC Krasnodar vs Fakel - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Krasnodar

All competitions
Russian Premier League
Last game
Jul 26, 2026 5.30pm
Rubin Kazan 1 - 3 Krasnodar

Fakel

All competitions
Russian Premier League
Last game
Jul 25, 2026 4.30pm
Fakel 1 - 2 Makhachkala

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Krasnodar win with a probability of 58.93%. A draw had a probability of 24.56% and a win for Fakel had a probability of 16.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Krasnodar win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.25%) and 2-1 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.49%) , while for a Fakel win it was 0-1 (6.15%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.

Result

FC Krasnodar 58.93% (-0.12)
Draw 24.56% (+0.05)
Fakel 16.47% (+0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

43.48% (-0.10)

Goals

Over 1.5 70.2% (-0.12)
Under 1.5 29.8% (+0.13)
Over 2.5 43.98% (-0.14)
Under 2.5 56.02% (+0.14)
Over 3.5 22.82% (-0.08)
Under 3.5 77.18% (+0.09)
Over 4.5 13.22% (-0.06)
Under 4.5 86.78% (+0.07)

First Half Winner

FC Krasnodar 40.45% (+0.08)
Draw 41% (+0.07)
Fakel 18.56% (-0.13)

Team To Score First

FC Krasnodar 60.21% (+0.03)
No Goal 8.94% (+0.05)
Fakel 30.85% (-0.08)

Corners

Over 8 52.71% (+0.19)
Equal 8 11.86% (-0.01)
Under 8 35.43% (-0.18)
Over 9 41.09% (+0.19)
Equal 9 11.62% (+0.01)
Under 9 47.29% (-0.19)
Over 10.5 30.64% (+0.17)
Under 10.5 69.36% (-0.16)

FC Krasnodar Goals

Over 1.5 49.25% (-0.18)
Under 1.5 50.75% (+0.18)
Over 2.5 23.06% (-0.13)
Under 2.5 76.94% (+0.13)
Over 3.5 8.7% (-0.08)
Under 3.5 91.3% (+0.07)

Fakel Goals

Over 0.5 48.7% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 51.3% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 16.72% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 83.28% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 4.16% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 95.84% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 0.91% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 99.09% (-0.01)

Score analysis

FC Krasnodar 58.94%
Draw 24.56%
Fakel 16.47%
FC Krasnodar
1-0 @ 14.68% (+0.04)
2-0 @ 12.25% (-0.02)
2-1 @ 9.45% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 6.71% (-0.05)
3-1 @ 4.89% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.27%
Other @ 8.69% (-0.08)
Total : 58.94%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.49%
0-0 @ 8.94% (+0.05)
2-2 @ 3.63% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 24.56%
Fakel
0-1 @ 6.15% (+0.03)
1-2 @ 4.19% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 2.47% (+0.04)
1-3 @ 1.09%
Other @ 0.9% (+0.02)
Total : 16.47%

Head to Head

Russian Premier League Gameweek 22
Mar 30, 2025 12.00pm
5
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadion FK Krasnodar
  • Lucas Olaza 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Moses Cobnan 48' yellowcard
  • Nikita Krivtsov 53' goal
  • Kevin Pina 59' yellowcard
  • Eduard Spertsyan 66' goal
  • Olakunle Olusegun 69' goal
  • Olakunle Olusegun 74' goal
  • Danila Kozlov 80' goal
  • yellowcard Mohamed Brahimi 23'
Russian Premier League Gameweek 3
Aug 4, 2024 3.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadion Fakel
  • Mohamed Brahimi 25' yellowcard
  • Vladislav Masternoy 26' yellowcard
  • Dylan Mertens 75' goal
  • yellowcard Kevin Castano 24'
  • yellowcard Eduard Spertsyan 41'
  • yellowcard Murad Musaev 75'
Russian Premier League Gameweek 25
Apr 19, 2024 5.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadion FK Krasnodar
  • Joao Victor 60' goal
  • Kaio Pantaleao 70' yellowcard
  • Jhon Cordoba 86' goal
  • yellowcard Igor Yurganov 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Ruslan Magal 51'
  • yellowcard Irakli Kvekveskiri 90'
Russian Premier League Gameweek 6
Aug 25, 2023 6.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Central'nyi Stadion Profsoyuzov
  • Aleksandr Dolgov 56' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Eduard Spertsyan 82'
  • yellowcard Aleksandr Chernikov 90'+9'
Russian Premier League Gameweek 16
Nov 5, 2022 1.30pm
3
3
HT : 1 2
FT Central'nyi Stadion Profsoyuzov
  • Roman Akbashev 11' goal
  • Irakli Kvekveskiri 72' goal
  • Irakli Kvekveskiri 84' goal
  • goal Jhon Cordoba 29'
  • goal Mihajlo Banjac 43'
  • goal Aleksey Ionov 62'
Russian Premier League Gameweek 1
Jul 17, 2022 6.00pm
2
2
HT : 2 1
FT Stadion FK Krasnodar
  • Aleksey Ionov 24' goal
  • Eduard Spertsyan 40' goal
  • Aleksey Ionov 89' yellowcard
  • goal Aslan Dashaev 10'
  • yellowcard Vasily Cherov 45'+1'
  • goal Roman Akbashev 49'
  • yellowcard Sergey Bozhin 80'