Russian Premier League Gameweek 3
Aug 9, 2026 6.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Ak Bars Arena
  • Veldin Hodza 57' yellowcard
  • Aleksey Tataev  60' goal
  • Ilya Rozhkov 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Evgeniy Bolotov 38'
  • goal Emil Tsenov 48'

Rubin Kazan vs Orenburg - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Rubin Kazan

All competitions
Russian Premier League
Last game
Aug 1, 2026 12.00pm
Akron 1 - 2 Rubin Kazan

Orenburg

All competitions
Russian Premier League
Last game
Aug 2, 2026 2.00pm
Orenburg 0 - 3 Zenit

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rubin Kazan win with a probability of 48.78%. A draw had a probability of 27.09% and a win for Orenburg had a probability of 24.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rubin Kazan win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.61%) and 2-1 (8.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.36%) , while for a Orenburg win it was 0-1 (8.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.

Result

Rubin Kazan 48.78% ▲ (+0.03)
Draw 27.09% ▲ (+0.04)
Orenburg 24.06% ▼ (-0.15)

Both Teams to Score: 

45.89% ▲ (+0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 67.56% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 1.5 32.44% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 2.5 41.56% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 2.5 58.44% ▼ (-0.09)
Over 3.5 21.48% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 3.5 78.52% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 4.5 11.47% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 4.5 88.53% ▼ (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Rubin Kazan 31.81% ▼ (-0.09)
Draw 47.11% ▲ (+0.08)
Orenburg 21.08%

Team To Score First

Rubin Kazan 53.49% ▼ (-0.04)
No Goal 10% ▲ (+0.04)
Orenburg 36.51% ▼ (-0.02)

Corners

Over 8 57.57% ▼ (-0.04)
Equal 8 12.09% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 8 30.34% ▲ (+0.06)
Over 9 45.25% ▼ (-0.01)
Equal 9 12.32% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 9 42.43% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 10.5 33.83% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 10.5 66.17% ▼ (-0.02)

Rubin Kazan Goals

Over 1.5 40.97% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 1.5 59.03% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 2.5 17.05% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 2.5 82.95% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 3.5 5.95% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 3.5 94.05% ▼ (-0.02)

Orenburg Goals

Over 0.5 56.12% ▼ (-0.10)
Under 0.5 43.88% ▲ (+0.10)
Over 1.5 22.32% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 1.5 77.68% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 2.5 6.44% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 2.5 93.56% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 3.5 1.59% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 3.5 98.41% ▲ (+0.01)

Score analysis

Rubin Kazan 48.78%
Draw 27.09%
Orenburg 24.05%
Rubin Kazan
1-0 @ 13.89% ▼ (-0.05)
2-0 @ 9.61% ▼ (-0.04)
2-1 @ 8.84% ▲ (+0.04)
3-0 @ 4.37% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4.13% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.01% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 5.93% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 48.78%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.36% ▼ (-0.04)
0-0 @ 10% ▲ (+0.04)
2-2 @ 4.12%
Other @ 0.02% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 27.09%
Orenburg
0-1 @ 8.47% ▼ (-0.05)
1-2 @ 5.72%
0-2 @ 4.03% ▼ (-0.05)
1-3 @ 1.76% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.35% ▼ (-0.03)
0-3 @ 1.15% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 1.57% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 24.05%

Head to Head

Club Friendlies 3
Jul 3, 2026 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT Ak Bars Arena
  • Mirlind Daku 24' goal
  • 31' yellowcard
  • 61' yellowcard
  • goal E. Bolotov 40'
  • goal Renat Golybin 82'
  • goal Renat Golybin 83'
Russian Premier League
Apr 11, 2026 2.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Ak Bars Arena
  • Daler Kuzyaev 55' yellowcard
  • Daler Kuzyaev 56' yellowcard
  • Daniil Kuznetsov 71' yellowcard
  • Ilya Rozhkov 72' yellowcard
  • Dmitriy Kabutov 86' yellowcard
  • Daniil Motorin 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard E. Gürlük 60'
  • yellowcard Ruslan Kul 79'
  • yellowcard Damián Puebla 79'
  • yellowcard Danila Vedernikov 79'
  • yellowcard Alexandre Jesus 90'
Club Friendlies 3
Feb 20, 2026 2.00pm
0
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stadion Gazovik
  • Bolotov 30' goal
Club Friendlies 3
Feb 20, 2026 8.00am
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Ak Bars Arena
  • goal Bolotov 30'
Russian Premier League
Aug 30, 2025 12.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Russian Premier League Gameweek 30
May 24, 2025 2.30pm
4
2
HT : 3 2
FT Kazan' Arena
  • Dardan Shabanhaxhaj 5' goal
  • Mirlind Daku 7' goal
  • Dardan Shabanhaxhaj 24' goal
  • Dardan Shabanhaxhaj 56' yellowcard
  • Veldin Hodza 61' yellowcard
  • Bogdan Jocic 88' goal
  • goal Jimmy Marin 11'
  • yellowcard Yaroslav Mikhailov 18'
  • goal Braian Mansilla 22'
  • yellowcard Danila Prokhin 56'
  • yellowcard Kazimcan Karatas 74'
  • yellowcard Artem Kasimov 87'
  • yellowcard Saeid Saharkhizan Gendishmin 89'