Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rubin Kazan win with a probability of 56.97%. A draw had a probability of 25.01% and a win for Nizhny Novgorod had a probability of 18.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rubin Kazan win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.72%) and 2-1 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.08%) , while for a Nizhny Novgorod win it was 0-1 (7%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.