Russian Premier League Gameweek 4
Aug 14, 2026 3.00pm
Stadion Gazovik

Orenburg vs Lokomotiv Moscow - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Orenburg

All competitions
Russian Premier League
Last game
Aug 9, 2026 6.30pm
Rubin Kazan 1 - 1 Orenburg

Lokomotiv Moscow

All competitions
Russian Premier League
Last game
Aug 8, 2026 4.00pm
Lokomotiv 0 - 0 Akron

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Lokomotiv Moscow win with a probability of 42.55%. A win for Orenburg has a probability of 31.96% and a draw has a probability of 25.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lokomotiv Moscow win is 0-1 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.86%) and 0-2 (7.03%). The likeliest Orenburg win is 1-0 (7.58%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.61%).

Result

Orenburg 31.96% (+0.15)
Draw 25.49% (-0.04)
Lokomotiv Moscow 42.55% (-0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.58% (-0.06)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.52% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 23.48% (+0.09)
Over 2.5 53.1% (-0.08)
Under 2.5 46.9% (+0.08)
Over 3.5 31.18% (-0.11)
Under 3.5 68.82% (+0.11)
Over 4.5 17.9% (-0.09)
Under 4.5 82.1% (+0.08)

First Half Winner

Orenburg 22.54% (-0.02)
Draw 42.13%
Lokomotiv Moscow 35.33% (+0.01)

Team To Score First

Orenburg 38.92% (+0.03)
No Goal 6.64% (+0.03)
Lokomotiv Moscow 54.44% (-0.06)

Corners

Over 8 54.16% (+0.47)
Equal 8 12.28% (+0.02)
Under 8 33.55% (-0.50)
Over 9 41.98% (+0.39)
Equal 9 12.18% (+0.08)
Under 9 45.84% (-0.47)
Over 10.5 30.95% (+0.29)
Under 10.5 69.05% (-0.30)

Orenburg Goals

Over 1.5 34.58% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 65.42% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 13.57% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 86.43% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 4.39% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 95.61% (+0.02)

Lokomotiv Moscow Goals

Over 0.5 74.54% (-0.10)
Under 0.5 25.46% (+0.11)
Over 1.5 43.01% (-0.15)
Under 1.5 56.99% (+0.15)
Over 2.5 18.83% (-0.14)
Under 2.5 81.17% (+0.13)
Over 3.5 6.9% (-0.07)
Under 3.5 93.1% (+0.07)

Score analysis

Orenburg 31.96%
Draw 25.49%
Lokomotiv Moscow 42.53%
Orenburg
1-0 @ 7.58% (+0.05)
2-1 @ 7.44% (+0.03)
2-0 @ 4.8% (+0.04)
3-1 @ 3.24% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.48% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 2.16% (+0.03)
Other @ 4.26%
Total : 31.96%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.61% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 6.64% (+0.03)
2-2 @ 5.81% (-0.03)
3-3 @ 1.3% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.13% (-0.02)
Total : 25.49%
Lokomotiv Moscow
0-1 @ 9.24% (+0.03)
1-2 @ 8.86%
0-2 @ 7.03% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 4.22% (-0.03)
0-3 @ 3.45% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 2.96% (-0.02)
Other @ 6.77% (-0.07)
Total : 42.53%

Head to Head

Russian Premier League
Apr 18, 2026 10.00am
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stadion Gazovik
  • Alexandre Jesus 61' yellowcard
  • Ruslan Kul 71' yellowcard
  • Damián Puebla 72' yellowcard
  • D. Rybchinskiy 72' yellowcard
  • D. Rybchinskiy 73' yellowcard
  • S. Poroykov 79' yellowcard
  • Renat Golybin 79' yellowcard
  • Renat Golybin 80' yellowcard
  • S. Poroykov 80' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Lucas Vera 54'
  • yellowcard Lucas Vera 55'
  • yellowcard Daniil Chevardin 64'
  • yellowcard Daniil Chevardin 65'
  • goal Aleksey Batrakov 70'
Russian Premier League
Nov 9, 2025 12.15pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Russian Premier League Gameweek 27
May 3, 2025 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT RZD Arena
  • Evgeny Morozov 4' yellowcard
  • Artem Timofeev 49' yellowcard
  • Sergey Pinyaev 57' goal
  • Artem Timofeev 64' redcard
  • yellowcard Saeid Saharkhizan Gendishmin 39'
  • yellowcard Andrey Malykh 51'
  • goal Aleksey Tataev 66'
  • yellowcard Ivan Basic 72'
Russian Premier League Gameweek 8
Sep 14, 2024 10.00am
2
4
HT : 1 3
FT Stadion Gazovik
  • Danila Prokhin 30' yellowcard
  • Saeid Saharkhizan Gendishmin 36' goal
  • Braian Mansilla 41' yellowcard
  • Saeid Saharkhizan Gendishmin 62' goal
  • goal Aleksey Batrakov 16'
  • goal Aleksey Batrakov 16'
  • goal Aleksey Batrakov 39'
  • yellowcard Vadim Rakov 57'
  • yellowcard Aleksey Batrakov 72'
  • goal Gerzino Nyamsi 86'
  • goal Vladislav Sarveli 90'+7'
Russian Premier League Gameweek 28
May 12, 2024 12.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Stadion Gazovik
  • Cesar Florentin 54' yellowcard
  • Dmitriy Barinov 75' yellowcard
  • Cesar Florentin 83' redcard
  • goal Aleksey Batrakov 8'
  • yellowcard Evgeny Morozov 28'
  • yellowcard David Deogracia 36'
  • goal Aleksandr Silyanov 62'
  • yellowcard Matias Perez 75'
  • yellowcard Aleksey Batrakov 86'
Russian Premier League Gameweek 8
Sep 17, 2023 5.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT RZD Arena
  • goal Ivan Basic 84'
  • yellowcard Renato Gojkovic 88'
  • goal Dmitriy Vorobyev 90'+4'
  • yellowcard Dmitriy Vorobyev 90'+5'