Russian Premier League Gameweek 4
Aug 15, 2026 2.15pm
VEB Arena

CSKA Moscow vs Fakel - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

CSKA Moscow

All competitions
Russian Premier League
Last game
Aug 8, 2026 6.30pm
CSKA 0 - 0 Rostov

Fakel

All competitions
Russian Premier League
Last game
Aug 10, 2026 5.30pm
Fakel 0 - 0 Akhmat Grozny

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a CSKA Moscow win with a probability of 50.15%. A draw has a probability of 25.73% and a win for Fakel has a probability of 24.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a CSKA Moscow win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (9.7%) and 2-1 (8.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.8%) , while for a Fakel win it is 0-1 (7.5%).

Result

CSKA Moscow 50.15% (-0.04)
Draw 25.73%
Fakel 24.12% (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.84%

Goals

Over 1.5 71.45% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 28.55% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 46.31% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 53.69% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 25.3%
Under 3.5 74.7%
Over 4.5 14.4% (-0.01)
Under 4.5 85.6% (+0.01)

First Half Winner

CSKA Moscow 32.06% (+0.02)
Draw 43.91% (-0.02)
Fakel 24.02% (-0.02)

Team To Score First

CSKA Moscow 50.64%
No Goal 8.73%
Fakel 40.63%

Corners

Over 8 53.15% (-0.15)
Equal 8 11.88%
Under 8 34.98% (+0.15)
Over 9 41.48% (-0.12)
Equal 9 11.67% (-0.02)
Under 9 46.85% (+0.15)
Over 10.5 30.94% (-0.09)
Under 10.5 69.06% (+0.10)

CSKA Moscow Goals

Over 1.5 44.64% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 55.36% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 20.02% (-0.06)
Under 2.5 79.98% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 7.31% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 92.69% (+0.02)

Fakel Goals

Over 0.5 56.94%
Under 0.5 43.06%
Over 1.5 24.24% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 75.76% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 8.09%
Under 2.5 91.91%
Over 3.5 2.34%
Under 3.5 97.66%

Score analysis

CSKA Moscow 50.15%
Draw 25.72%
Fakel 24.13%
CSKA Moscow
1-0 @ 12.32% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 9.7%
2-1 @ 8.92% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 5.05% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.48% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.42%
Other @ 7.26% (-0.01)
Total : 50.15%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.8%
0-0 @ 8.73%
2-2 @ 4.38% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.05% (-0.01)
Total : 25.72%
Fakel
0-1 @ 7.5% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 5.71% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 3.64% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 2.04% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.62% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.33% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.29% (+0.02)
Total : 24.13%

Head to Head

Russian Premier League Gameweek 18
Dec 8, 2024 1.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Central'nyi Stadion Profsoyuzov
  • Irakli Kvekveskiri 39' yellowcard
  • Nichita Motpan 81' yellowcard
  • Mikhail Shchetinin 86' yellowcard
  • goal Tamerlan Musaev 13'
  • yellowcard Miralem Pjanic 79'
Russian Premier League Gameweek 13
Oct 26, 2024 2.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT VEB Arena
  • Danil Krugovoi 70' yellowcard
  • Sekou Koita 75' yellowcard
  • Abbosbek Fayzullayev 78' yellowcard
  • Sasa Zdjelar 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ilnur Alshin 23'
  • yellowcard Dmitri Pyatibratov 24'
  • yellowcard Mohamed Brahimi 30'
  • yellowcard Igor Yurganov 51'
  • redcard Rayan Senhadji 66'
Russian Premier League Gameweek 23
Apr 7, 2024 12.00pm
4
1
HT : 1 0
FT VEB Arena
  • Tamerlan Musaev 36' goal
  • Milan Gajic 53' yellowcard
  • Ivan Oblyakov 60' goal
  • Willyan 73' yellowcard
  • Abbosbek Fayzullayev 75' goal
  • Fedor Chalov 90' goal
  • goal Vasily Cherov 90'+4'
Russian Premier League Gameweek 15
Nov 11, 2023 11.00am
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Central'nyi Stadion Profsoyuzov
  • Vyacheslav Yakimov 83' yellowcard
  • Sergey Bozhin 90'+3' goal
  • goal Victor Davila 10'
Russian Premier League Gameweek 21
Apr 2, 2023 2.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Central'nyi Stadion Profsoyuzov
  • goal Fedor Chalov 21'
  • goal Ivan Oblyakov 77'
Russian Premier League Gameweek 4
Aug 6, 2022 3.30pm
4
1
HT : 0 1
FT VEB Arena
  • Maksim Mukhin 56' yellowcard
  • Konstantin Kuchayev 57' goal
  • 67' yellowcard
  • Jesus Medina 70' goal
  • Fedor Chalov 72' goal
  • Jorge Carrascal 83' goal
  • goal Georgy Gongadze 42'
  • yellowcard Georgy Gongadze 45'+1'