Russian Premier League Gameweek 4
Aug 15, 2026 2.15pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT VEB Arena
  • Matheus Alves Nascimento 46' yellowcard
  • Vladislav Torop 54' yellowcard
  • Ivan Oblyakov 71' goal
  • Imran Firov 76' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Vyacheslav Yakimov 52'
  • yellowcard Axel Aymeric Gnapi Dable 54'
  • yellowcard Albert Gabaraev 90'+4'

CSKA Moscow vs Fakel - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

CSKA Moscow

All competitions
Russian Premier League
Last game
Aug 8, 2026 6.30pm
CSKA 0 - 0 Rostov

Fakel

All competitions
Russian Premier League
Last game
Aug 10, 2026 5.30pm
Fakel 0 - 0 Akhmat Grozny

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CSKA Moscow win with a probability of 50.15%. A draw had a probability of 25.73% and a win for Fakel had a probability of 24.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a CSKA Moscow win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.7%) and 2-1 (8.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.8%) , while for a Fakel win it was 0-1 (7.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.

Result

CSKA Moscow 50.15% ▼ (-0.04)
Draw 25.73%
Fakel 24.12% ▲ (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.84%

Goals

Over 1.5 71.45% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 1.5 28.55% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 2.5 46.31% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 2.5 53.69% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 3.5 25.3%
Under 3.5 74.7%
Over 4.5 14.4% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 4.5 85.6% ▲ (+0.01)

First Half Winner

CSKA Moscow 32.06% ▲ (+0.02)
Draw 43.91% ▼ (-0.02)
Fakel 24.02% ▼ (-0.02)

Team To Score First

CSKA Moscow 50.64%
No Goal 8.73%
Fakel 40.63%

Corners

Over 8 53.15% ▼ (-0.15)
Equal 8 11.88%
Under 8 34.98% ▲ (+0.15)
Over 9 41.48% ▼ (-0.12)
Equal 9 11.67% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 9 46.85% ▲ (+0.15)
Over 10.5 30.94% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 10.5 69.06% ▲ (+0.10)

CSKA Moscow Goals

Over 1.5 44.64% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 1.5 55.36% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 2.5 20.02% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 2.5 79.98% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 3.5 7.31% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 3.5 92.69% ▲ (+0.02)

Fakel Goals

Over 0.5 56.94%
Under 0.5 43.06%
Over 1.5 24.24% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 1.5 75.76% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 2.5 8.09%
Under 2.5 91.91%
Over 3.5 2.34%
Under 3.5 97.66%

Score analysis

CSKA Moscow 50.15%
Draw 25.72%
Fakel 24.13%
CSKA Moscow
1-0 @ 12.32% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 9.7%
2-1 @ 8.92% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 5.05% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.48% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.42%
Other @ 7.26% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 50.15%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.8%
0-0 @ 8.73%
2-2 @ 4.38% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.05% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 25.72%
Fakel
0-1 @ 7.5% ▲ (+0.01)
1-2 @ 5.71% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 3.64% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 2.04% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.62% ▲ (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.33% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.29% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 24.13%

Head to Head

Russian Premier League Gameweek 18
Dec 8, 2024 1.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Central'nyi Stadion Profsoyuzov
  • Irakli Kvekveskiri 39' yellowcard
  • Nichita Motpan 81' yellowcard
  • Mikhail Shchetinin 86' yellowcard
  • goal Tamerlan Musaev 13'
  • yellowcard Miralem Pjanic 79'
Russian Premier League Gameweek 13
Oct 26, 2024 2.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT VEB Arena
  • Danil Krugovoi 70' yellowcard
  • Sekou Koita 75' yellowcard
  • Abbosbek Fayzullayev 78' yellowcard
  • Sasa Zdjelar 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ilnur Alshin 23'
  • yellowcard Dmitri Pyatibratov 24'
  • yellowcard Mohamed Brahimi 30'
  • yellowcard Igor Yurganov 51'
  • redcard Rayan Senhadji 66'
Russian Premier League Gameweek 23
Apr 7, 2024 12.00pm
4
1
HT : 1 0
FT VEB Arena
  • Tamerlan Musaev 36' goal
  • Milan Gajic 53' yellowcard
  • Ivan Oblyakov 60' goal
  • Willyan 73' yellowcard
  • Abbosbek Fayzullayev 75' goal
  • Fedor Chalov 90' goal
  • goal Vasily Cherov 90'+4'
Russian Premier League Gameweek 15
Nov 11, 2023 11.00am
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Central'nyi Stadion Profsoyuzov
  • Vyacheslav Yakimov 83' yellowcard
  • Sergey Bozhin 90'+3' goal
  • goal Victor Davila 10'
Russian Premier League Gameweek 21
Apr 2, 2023 2.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Central'nyi Stadion Profsoyuzov
  • goal Fedor Chalov 21'
  • goal Ivan Oblyakov 77'
Russian Premier League Gameweek 4
Aug 6, 2022 3.30pm
4
1
HT : 0 1
FT VEB Arena
  • Maksim Mukhin 56' yellowcard
  • Konstantin Kuchayev 57' goal
  • 67' yellowcard
  • Jesus Medina 70' goal
  • Fedor Chalov 72' goal
  • Jorge Carrascal 83' goal
  • goal Georgy Gongadze 42'
  • yellowcard Georgy Gongadze 45'+1'