Romanian SuperLiga | Gameweek 29
Mar 2, 2024 at 3pm UK
Stadionul Municipal

Hermannstadt
4 - 1
Otelul

Stoica (26', 49'), Paraschiv (44' pen.), Negut (87')
Murgia (79'), Fonseca (84'), Bejan (90+3')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Teles (12')
Cisse (25'), Carjan (82'), Zivulic (83')
Coverage of the Romanian SuperLiga clash between Hermannstadt and Otelul.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Dinamo Bucharest 1-0 Hermannstadt
Tuesday, February 27 at 4.30pm in Romanian SuperLiga
Last Game: Otelul 2-2 CFR Cluj
Tuesday, February 27 at 7pm in Romanian SuperLiga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hermannstadt win with a probability of 51.1%. A draw had a probability of 28.4% and a win for Otelul had a probability of 20.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hermannstadt win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.29%) and 2-1 (8.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.71%), while for a Otelul win it was 0-1 (9.28%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hermannstadt would win this match.

Result
HermannstadtDrawOtelul
51.1% (0.134 0.13)28.43% (0.093 0.09)20.46% (-0.227 -0.23)
Both teams to score 38.14% (-0.44900000000001 -0.45)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
34.02% (-0.432 -0.43)65.97% (0.42999999999999 0.43)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
15.43% (-0.299 -0.3)84.57% (0.297 0.3)
Hermannstadt Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.62% (-0.142 -0.14)26.38% (0.139 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.47% (-0.186 -0.19)61.53% (0.184 0.18)
Otelul Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.8% (-0.512 -0.51)48.2% (0.509 0.51)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.62% (-0.378 -0.38)83.37% (0.377 0.38)
Score Analysis
    Hermannstadt 51.1%
    Otelul 20.46%
    Draw 28.42%
HermannstadtDrawOtelul
1-0 @ 16.94% (0.2 0.2)
2-0 @ 11.29% (0.09 0.09)
2-1 @ 8.24% (-0.052999999999999 -0.05)
3-0 @ 5.02% (0.021 0.02)
3-1 @ 3.66% (-0.038 -0.04)
4-0 @ 1.67%
3-2 @ 1.34% (-0.034 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.22% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 51.1%
0-0 @ 12.71% (0.2 0.2)
1-1 @ 12.36% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
2-2 @ 3.01% (-0.064 -0.06)
Other @ 0.35%
Total : 28.42%
0-1 @ 9.28% (0.013 0.01)
1-2 @ 4.51% (-0.078 -0.08)
0-2 @ 3.39% (-0.044 -0.04)
1-3 @ 1.1% (-0.035 -0.03)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 20.46%

Head to Head
Oct 28, 2023 12pm
Gameweek 14
Otelul
1-1
Hermannstadt
Pop (88' pen.)
Lovric (70' og.)