Champions League Gameweek 2
Roma
Oct 14, 2026 8.00pm
3
4
HT : 1 1
FT Stadio Olimpico
Real Madrid
  • Marten de Roon 20' goal
  • Donyell Malen 51' goal
  • Donyell Malen 57' goal
  • Gianluca Mancini 60' yellowcard
  • Wesley 69' yellowcard
  • Lorenzo Pellegrini 89' yellowcard
  • goal Kylian Mbappé 25'
  • goal Carlos Espí 83'
  • goal Endrick 85'
  • goal Antonio Rüdiger 90'
  • yellowcard Álvaro Carreras 90'+5'

Roma vs Real Madrid - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Roma

All competitions

Real Madrid

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Sep 8, 2026 8.00pm
Real Madrid 2 - 1 Inter Milan

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 39.6%. A win for Roma had a probability of 37.85% and a draw had a probability of 22.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.02%) and 0-2 (4.68%). The likeliest Roma win was 2-1 (7.65%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.28%).

Result

Roma 37.85% ▼ (-0.11)
Draw 22.59% ▲ (+0.04)
Real Madrid 39.6% ▲ (+0.11)

Both Teams to Score: 

64.44% ▲ (+0.10)

Goals

Over 1.5 83.99% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 1.5 16.01% ▼ (-0.09)
Over 2.5 65.29% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 2.5 34.71% ▼ (-0.11)
Over 3.5 44.27% ▲ (+0.10)
Under 3.5 55.73% ▼ (-0.10)
Over 4.5 29.58% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 4.5 70.42% ▼ (-0.07)

First Half Winner

Roma 30.31% ▲ (+0.02)
Draw 41% ▼ (-0.11)
Real Madrid 28.69% ▲ (+0.09)

Team To Score First

Roma 51.69% ▲ (+0.08)
No Goal 3.92% ▼ (-0.03)
Real Madrid 44.39% ▼ (-0.05)

Corners

Over 8 53.68% ▼ (-0.18)
Equal 8 11.06%
Under 8 35.26% ▲ (+0.18)
Over 9 42.75% ▼ (-0.18)
Equal 9 10.93% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 9 46.32% ▲ (+0.18)
Over 10.5 32.78% ▼ (-0.15)
Under 10.5 67.22% ▲ (+0.15)

Roma Goals

Over 1.5 45.13% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 1.5 54.87% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 2.5 22.24% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 2.5 77.76% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 3.5 9.9% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 3.5 90.1% ▲ (+0.04)

Real Madrid Goals

Over 0.5 73.39% ▲ (+0.16)
Under 0.5 26.61% ▼ (-0.17)
Over 1.5 46.44% ▲ (+0.16)
Under 1.5 53.56% ▼ (-0.16)
Over 2.5 23.76% ▲ (+0.13)
Under 2.5 76.24% ▼ (-0.13)
Over 3.5 10.55% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 3.5 89.45% ▼ (-0.08)

Score analysis

Roma 37.85%
Draw 22.59%
Real Madrid 39.6%
Roma
2-1 @ 7.65%
1-0 @ 6.11% ▼ (-0.05)
2-0 @ 4.73% ▼ (-0.04)
3-1 @ 4% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.47% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 2.6%
Other @ 9.29% ▼ (-0.05)
Total : 37.85%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.28% ▲ (+0.02)
2-2 @ 6.51% ▲ (+0.02)
0-0 @ 3.92% ▼ (-0.03)
3-3 @ 2.27% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 22.59%
Real Madrid
1-2 @ 8.02% ▲ (+0.01)
0-1 @ 6.02% ▼ (-0.02)
0-2 @ 4.68%
1-3 @ 4.19% ▲ (+0.03)
2-3 @ 4% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 2.75%
Other @ 9.94% ▲ (+0.09)
Total : 39.6%

Head to Head

Pre-Season Friendlies
Roma
Aug 11, 2019 7.00pm
2
2
HT : 2 2
FT
Real Madrid
  • Diego Perotti 34' goal
  • Edin Dzeko 40' goal
  • goal Marcelo 16'
  • goal Casemiro 39'
  • yellowcard Eder Militao 63'
Champions League Gameweek 5
Roma
Nov 27, 2018 8.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Real Madrid
  • Nicolo Zaniolo 42' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Luka Modric 21'
  • goal Gareth Bale 47'
  • goal Lucas Vazquez 59'
  • yellowcard Raphael Varane 90'
Champions League Gameweek 1
Real Madrid
Sep 19, 2018 8.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT
Roma
  • Sergio Ramos 23' yellowcard
  • Isco 45' goal
  • Gareth Bale 58' goal
  • Mariano 90' goal
  • yellowcard Daniele De Rossi 44'
  • yellowcard Edin Dzeko 76'
Pre-Season Friendlies
Real Madrid
Aug 8, 2018 1.05am
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT
Roma
  • Marco Asensio 2' goal
  • Gareth Bale 15' goal
  • Dani Ceballos 50' yellowcard
  • goal Kevin Strootman 83'
Champions League
Real Madrid
Mar 8, 2016 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Roma
  • Danilo 37' yellowcard
  • Cristiano Ronaldo 64' goal
  • James Rodriguez 68' goal
  • yellowcard Ervin Zukanovic 76'
Pre-Season Friendlies
Real Madrid
Jul 18, 2015 10.00am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Melbourne Cricket Ground
Roma

Form Data

Como 0 - 0 Roma
Roma 2 - 2 Inter Milan
Torino 0 - 2 Roma
Fenerbahce 1 - 1 Roma
Roma 2 - 1 Atalanta
Lecce 0 - 4 Roma
Real Madrid 1 - 0 Villarreal
Atletico 2 - 1 Real Madrid
Elche 2 - 3 Real Madrid
Real Madrid 4 - 1 Rayo Vallecano
Real Madrid 2 - 1 Inter Milan
Betis 1 - 0 Real Madrid

Build-up

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Head to head