Premier League Gameweek 10
Man Utd
Nov 8, 2026 4.30pm
Old Trafford
Aston Villa

Manchester United vs Aston Villa - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Manchester United

All competitions
Last game
Oct 31, 2026 12.30pm
Chelsea 2 - 0 Man Utd
Goals scored
10
Top scorer
Bryan Mbeumo

Aston Villa

All competitions
Last game
Oct 31, 2026 8.00pm
Aston Villa 1 - 1 Fulham
Goals scored
10
Top scorer
Nicolas Jackson

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Manchester United win with a probability of 43.33%. A win for Aston Villa has a probability of 33.62% and a draw has a probability of 23.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (5.63%) and 3-1 (5.14%). The likeliest Aston Villa win is 1-2 (7.2%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.23%).

Result

Manchester United 43.33% ▼ (-0.35)
Draw 23.08% ▲ (+0.07)
Aston Villa 33.62% ▲ (+0.33)

Both Teams to Score: 

67.69% ▲ (+0.05)

Goals

Over 1.5 85.94% ▲ (+0.13)
Under 1.5 14.06% ▼ (-0.13)
Over 2.5 67.69% ▲ (+0.15)
Under 2.5 32.31% ▼ (-0.15)
Over 3.5 46.9% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 3.5 53.1% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 4.5 30.57% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 4.5 69.43% ▼ (-0.04)

First Half Winner

Manchester United 33.9% ▼ (-0.28)
Draw 39.48% ▲ (+0.06)
Aston Villa 26.62% ▲ (+0.20)

Team To Score First

Manchester United 52.12% ▼ (-0.61)
No Goal 3.61%
Aston Villa 44.27% ▲ (+0.61)

Corners

Over 8 57.17% ▲ (+0.46)
Equal 8 11.47% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 8 31.36% ▼ (-0.43)
Over 9 45.53% ▲ (+0.43)
Equal 9 11.63% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 9 42.83% ▼ (-0.46)
Over 10.5 34.7% ▲ (+0.38)
Under 10.5 65.3% ▼ (-0.38)

Manchester United Goals

Over 1.5 51.75% ▼ (-0.16)
Under 1.5 48.25% ▲ (+0.16)
Over 2.5 27.36% ▼ (-0.13)
Under 2.5 72.64% ▲ (+0.13)
Over 3.5 12% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 3.5 88% ▲ (+0.08)

Aston Villa Goals

Over 0.5 71.15% ▲ (+0.38)
Under 0.5 28.85% ▼ (-0.37)
Over 1.5 43.51% ▲ (+0.37)
Under 1.5 56.49% ▼ (-0.37)
Over 2.5 20.79% ▲ (+0.27)
Under 2.5 79.21% ▼ (-0.28)
Over 3.5 8.37% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 3.5 91.63% ▼ (-0.10)

Score analysis

Manchester United 43.33%
Draw 23.09%
Aston Villa 33.62%
Manchester United
2-1 @ 8.41% ▼ (-0.02)
1-0 @ 5.63% ▼ (-0.09)
3-1 @ 5.14% ▼ (-0.03)
2-0 @ 5.09% ▼ (-0.08)
3-2 @ 4.5% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 3.19% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 11.37% ▼ (-0.11)
Total : 43.33%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.23% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 7.09% ▲ (+0.02)
0-0 @ 3.61%
3-3 @ 2.53% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 0.63% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 23.09%
Aston Villa
1-2 @ 7.2% ▲ (+0.07)
0-1 @ 4.86% ▲ (+0.04)
1-3 @ 4.11% ▲ (+0.05)
0-2 @ 3.93% ▲ (+0.05)
2-3 @ 3.8% ▲ (+0.03)
0-3 @ 1.98% ▲ (+0.08)
Other @ 7.74% ▲ (+0.08)
Total : 33.62%

Head to Head

Premier League Gameweek 30
Man Utd
Mar 15, 2026 2.00pm
3
1
HT : 0 0
FT Old Trafford
Aston Villa
  • Casemiro 53' goal
  • Matheus Cunha 71' goal
  • Benjamin Sesko 75' yellowcard
  • Benjamin Sesko 81' goal
  • Manuel Ugarte 90' yellowcard
  • Manuel Ugarte 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Tammy Abraham 60'
  • yellowcard Leon Bailey 61'
  • yellowcard Tammy Abraham 61'
  • goal Ross Barkley 64'
  • yellowcard Douglas Luiz 82'
  • yellowcard Ian Maatsen 82'
  • yellowcard Andrés García 86'
Premier League
Aston Villa
Dec 21, 2025 4.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT
Man Utd
  • Morgan Rogers 45' goal
  • Morgan Rogers 57' goal
  • Lamare Bogarde 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Matheus Cunha 45'+3'
  • yellowcard Manuel Ugarte 68'
  • yellowcard Diogo Dalot 72'
Premier League Gameweek 38
Man Utd
May 25, 2025 4.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Old Trafford
Aston Villa
  • Amad Diallo 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Amad Diallo 76' goal
  • Christian Eriksen 87' goal
  • Casemiro 90'+4' yellowcard
  • redcard Emiliano Martinez 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Pau Torres 73'
  • yellowcard Morgan Rogers 80'
Premier League Gameweek 7
Aston Villa
Oct 6, 2024 2.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Villa Park
Man Utd
  • Ross Barkley 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Christian Eriksen 3'
  • yellowcard Harry Maguire 36'
  • yellowcard Kobbie Mainoo 41'
  • yellowcard Marcus Rashford 59'
  • yellowcard Victor Lindelof 87'
Premier League Gameweek 24
Aston Villa
Feb 11, 2024 4.30pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Villa Park
Man Utd
  • Clement Lenglet 45'+4' yellowcard
  • Matty Cash 60' yellowcard
  • Douglas Luiz 67' goal
  • Moussa Diaby 71' yellowcard
  • goal Rasmus Hojlund 17'
  • yellowcard Casemiro 37'
  • yellowcard Kobbie Mainoo 45'+4'
  • goal Scott McTominay 86'
Premier League Gameweek 19
Man Utd
Dec 26, 2023 8.00pm
3
2
HT : 0 2
FT Old Trafford
Aston Villa
  • Alejandro Garnacho 59' goal
  • Alejandro Garnacho 71' goal
  • Bruno Fernandes 73' yellowcard
  • Rasmus Hojlund 82' goal
  • goal John McGinn 21'
  • goal Leander Dendoncker 26'
  • yellowcard Jacob Ramsey 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Diego Carlos 74'
  • yellowcard Ezri Konsa 87'

Form Data

Man Utd 3 - 2 Roma
Chelsea 2 - 0 Man Utd
Man Utd 0 - 3 Bournemouth
Como 4 - 1 Man Utd
Leeds 1 - 1 Man Utd
Atletico 2 - 0 Man Utd
Barcelona 3 - 0 Aston Villa
Aston Villa 1 - 1 Fulham
Bournemouth 3 - 0 Aston Villa
Aston Villa 2 - 1 Man City
Aston Villa 3 - 1 Viking FK
Newcastle 0 - 1 Aston Villa

Build-up

News
Injuries & Suspensions