Champions League Gameweek 4
Nov 3, 2026 8.00pm
Spotify Camp Nou

Barcelona vs Aston Villa - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Barcelona

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Sep 9, 2026 5.45pm
Barcelona 5 - 1 Feyenoord

Aston Villa

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Sep 8, 2026 5.45pm
Brugge 2 - 3 Aston Villa

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Barcelona win with a probability of 68.27%. A draw has a probability of 16.36% and a win for Aston Villa has a probability of 15.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (7.96%) and 3-1 (7.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (7.02%) , while for a Aston Villa win it is 1-2 (4.37%).

Result

Barcelona 68.27% ▲ (+0.04)
Draw 16.36%
Aston Villa 15.38% ▼ (-0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.9% ▼ (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 87.68% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 1.5 12.32% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 2.5 71.06%
Under 2.5 28.94%
Over 3.5 50.37% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 3.5 49.63% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 4.5 36.7% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 4.5 63.3% ▼ (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Barcelona 55.18%
Draw 27.88%
Aston Villa 16.94%

Team To Score First

Barcelona 64.9% ▲ (+0.02)
No Goal 2.63% ▼ (-0.02)
Aston Villa 32.47%

Corners

Over 8 63.28%
Equal 8 9.61%
Under 8 27.1%
Over 9 53.04%
Equal 9 10.24%
Under 9 36.72%
Over 10.5 42.92%
Under 10.5 57.08%

Barcelona Goals

Over 1.5 70.17% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 1.5 29.83% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 2.5 47.08% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 2.5 52.92% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 3.5 26.97% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 3.5 73.03% ▼ (-0.02)

Aston Villa Goals

Over 0.5 48.97% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 0.5 51.03% ▲ (+0.06)
Over 1.5 23.13% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 1.5 76.87% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 2.5 8.19% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 2.5 91.81% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 3.5 2.52%
Under 3.5 97.48%

Score analysis

Barcelona 68.26%
Draw 16.35%
Aston Villa 15.37%
Barcelona
2-1 @ 8.46%
2-0 @ 7.96% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 7.32%
3-0 @ 7.12% ▲ (+0.01)
1-0 @ 6.63%
3-2 @ 4.1%
Other @ 26.67% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 68.26%
Draw
1-1 @ 7.02% ▼ (-0.02)
2-2 @ 4.83%
0-0 @ 2.63% ▼ (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.57%
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 16.35%
Aston Villa
1-2 @ 4.37% ▼ (-0.01)
0-1 @ 3.04% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.84%
0-2 @ 1.64% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 1.52%
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 15.37%