Champions League Gameweek 3
Oct 20, 2026 8.00pm
Parc des Princes

Paris Saint-Germain vs Barcelona - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Paris Saint-Germain

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Sep 9, 2026 8.00pm
PSG 6 - 1 Slovan Bratislava

Barcelona

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Sep 9, 2026 5.45pm
Barcelona 5 - 1 Feyenoord

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Barcelona win with a probability of 41.73%. A win for Paris Saint-Germain has a probability of 37.99% and a draw has a probability of 20.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win is 1-2 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (5.08%) and 0-1 (5.07%). The likeliest Paris Saint-Germain win is 2-1 (7.71%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (8.37%).

Result

Paris Saint-Germain 37.99% ▼ (-1.30)
Draw 20.21% ▼ (-0.01)
Barcelona 41.73% ▲ (+1.24)

Both Teams to Score: 

65.43% ▲ (+0.57)

Goals

Over 1.5 86.85% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 1.5 13.15% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 2.5 69.25% ▼ (-0.19)
Under 2.5 30.75% ▲ (+0.18)
Over 3.5 46.42% ▼ (-0.15)
Under 3.5 53.58% ▲ (+0.15)
Over 4.5 30.79% ▼ (-0.36)
Under 4.5 69.21% ▲ (+0.36)

First Half Winner

Paris Saint-Germain 40.55% ▼ (-0.54)
Draw 35.15% ▼ (-0.88)
Barcelona 24.3% ▲ (+1.41)

Team To Score First

Paris Saint-Germain 56.93% ▼ (-0.76)
No Goal 2.83% ▼ (-0.13)
Barcelona 40.24% ▲ (+0.89)

Corners

Over 8 46.44% ▼ (-0.92)
Equal 8 10.99% ▲ (+0.33)
Under 8 42.58% ▲ (+0.61)
Over 9 36.18% ▼ (-1.08)
Equal 9 10.25% ▲ (+0.17)
Under 9 53.56% ▲ (+0.92)
Over 10.5 27.31% ▼ (-1.13)
Under 10.5 72.69% ▲ (+1.13)

Paris Saint-Germain Goals

Over 1.5 45.8% ▼ (-1.15)
Under 1.5 54.2% ▲ (+1.15)
Over 2.5 23.39% ▼ (-1.04)
Under 2.5 76.61% ▲ (+1.04)
Over 3.5 9.9% ▼ (-1.14)
Under 3.5 90.1% ▲ (+1.15)

Barcelona Goals

Over 0.5 75.16% ▲ (+1.46)
Under 0.5 24.84% ▼ (-1.45)
Over 1.5 49.57% ▲ (+1.37)
Under 1.5 50.43% ▼ (-1.37)
Over 2.5 24.99% ▲ (+0.72)
Under 2.5 75.01% ▼ (-0.72)
Over 3.5 11.13% ▲ (+0.42)
Under 3.5 88.87% ▼ (-0.41)

Score analysis

Paris Saint-Germain 37.99%
Draw 20.21%
Barcelona 41.73%
Paris Saint-Germain
2-1 @ 7.71% ▼ (-0.18)
1-0 @ 5.18% ▲ (+0.03)
3-1 @ 4.44% ▲ (+0.12)
2-0 @ 4.15% ▼ (-0.11)
3-2 @ 3.9% ▲ (+0.17)
3-0 @ 2.99% ▼ (-0.20)
Other @ 9.62% ▼ (-1.13)
Total : 37.99%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.37% ▲ (+0.07)
2-2 @ 6.57% ▲ (+0.04)
0-0 @ 2.83% ▼ (-0.13)
3-3 @ 2.16% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 0.28% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 20.21%
Barcelona
1-2 @ 9.03% ▲ (+0.28)
0-2 @ 5.08% ▲ (+0.17)
0-1 @ 5.07% ▲ (+0.09)
1-3 @ 4.63% ▲ (+0.10)
2-3 @ 3.98% ▲ (+0.15)
0-3 @ 3.09% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 10.85% ▲ (+0.43)
Total : 41.73%

Head to Head

Champions League
Oct 1, 2025 8.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Champions League
Apr 16, 2024 8.00pm
1
4
HT : 1 1
FT Estadi Olimpic Lluis Companys
  • Raphinha 12' goal
  • Ronald Araujo 29' redcard
  • Xavi 30' redcard
  • Inigo Martinez 40' yellowcard
  • Robert Lewandowski 50' yellowcard
  • Ilkay Gundogan 64' yellowcard
  • Fermin Lopez 90'+7' yellowcard
  • Raphinha 90'+7' yellowcard
  • goal Ousmane Dembele 40'
  • yellowcard Kylian Mbappe 40'
  • yellowcard Fabian Ruiz 45'+1'
  • goal Vitinha 54'
  • goal Kylian Mbappe 61'
  • yellowcard Marquinhos 62'
  • yellowcard Gianluigi Donnarumma 87'
  • goal Kylian Mbappe 89'
Champions League
Apr 10, 2024 8.00pm
2
3
HT : 0 1
FT Parc des Princes
  • Ousmane Dembele 48' goal
  • Vitinha 50' goal
  • Vitinha 65' yellowcard
  • Lucas Beraldo 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Sergi Roberto 34'
  • goal Raphinha 37'
  • goal Raphinha 62'
  • goal Andreas Christensen 77'
  • yellowcard Pau Cubarsi 82'
  • yellowcard Andreas Christensen 88'
  • yellowcard Fermin Lopez 89'
Champions League
Mar 10, 2021 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Layvin Kurzawa 8' yellowcard
  • Kylian Mbappe 31' goal
  • Idrissa Gueye 50' yellowcard
  • Leandro Paredes 50' yellowcard
  • Mauro Icardi 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Oscar Mingueza 25'
  • yellowcard Clement Lenglet 30'
  • goal Lionel Messi 37'
  • yellowcard Frenkie de Jong 38'
Champions League
Feb 16, 2021 8.00pm
1
4
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Lionel Messi 27' goal
  • yellowcard Idrissa Gueye 20'
  • goal Kylian Mbappe 32'
  • goal Kylian Mbappe 65'
  • goal Moise Kean 70'
  • goal Kylian Mbappe 85'
Champions League
Mar 8, 2017 7.45pm
6
1
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Luis Suarez 3' goal
  • Gerard Pique 23' yellowcard
  • Sergio Busquets 36' yellowcard
  • Layvin Kurzawa 40' goal
  • Lionel Messi 50' goal
  • Ivan Rakitic 61' yellowcard
  • Neymar 64' yellowcard
  • Luis Suarez 67' yellowcard
  • Neymar 88' goal
  • Neymar 91' goal
  • Sergi Roberto 95' goal
  • yellowcard Blaise Matuidi 5'
  • yellowcard Julian Draxler 14'
  • yellowcard Edinson Cavani 42'
  • goal Edinson Cavani 62'
  • yellowcard Marquinhos 90'
  • yellowcard Marco Verratti 94'