Ligue 1 Gameweek 6
Oct 10, 2026 7.45pm
Parc des Princes

Paris Saint-Germain vs Le Mans - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Paris Saint-Germain

All competitions
Last game
Sep 20, 2026 7.45pm
Marseille 1 - 2 PSG
Goals scored
8
Top scorer
Ferran Torres

Le Mans

All competitions
Last game
Sep 19, 2026 7.45pm
Le Mans 2 - 1 Lorient
Goals scored
9
Top scorer
Adil Ali Mohamed Bourabaa

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 70.62%. A draw has a probability of 18.69% and a win for Le Mans has a probability of 10.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win is 1-0 with a probability of 13.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (12.14%) and 3-0 (8.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (7.72%) , while for a Le Mans win it is 0-1 (3.24%).

Result

Paris Saint-Germain 70.62% ▼ (-1.41)
Draw 18.69% ▲ (+0.50)
Le Mans 10.71% ▲ (+0.97)

Both Teams to Score: 

45.23% ▼ (-0.36)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.76% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 1.5 23.24% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 2.5 55.78% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 2.5 44.22% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 3.5 35.52% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 3.5 64.48% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 4.5 25.1% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 4.5 74.9% ▲ (+0.05)

First Half Winner

Paris Saint-Germain 54.35% ▼ (-0.34)
Draw 32.41% ▼ (-0.58)
Le Mans 13.24% ▲ (+0.91)

Team To Score First

Paris Saint-Germain 70.03% ▲ (+0.44)
No Goal 6.8% ▲ (+0.25)
Le Mans 23.17% ▼ (-0.68)

Corners

Over 8 60.5% ▲ (+1.14)
Equal 8 10.45% ▼ (-0.32)
Under 8 29.05% ▼ (-0.83)
Over 9 49.63% ▲ (+1.36)
Equal 9 10.87% ▼ (-0.23)
Under 9 39.5% ▼ (-1.14)
Over 10.5 39.18% ▲ (+1.44)
Under 10.5 60.82% ▼ (-1.44)

Paris Saint-Germain Goals

Over 1.5 62.73% ▼ (-0.95)
Under 1.5 37.27% ▲ (+0.95)
Over 2.5 37.85% ▼ (-0.65)
Under 2.5 62.15% ▲ (+0.65)
Over 3.5 19.1% ▼ (-0.47)
Under 3.5 80.9% ▲ (+0.47)

Le Mans Goals

Over 0.5 40.08% ▲ (+0.79)
Under 0.5 59.92% ▼ (-0.79)
Over 1.5 14.8% ▲ (+1.00)
Under 1.5 85.2% ▼ (-1.00)
Over 2.5 4.08% ▲ (+0.75)
Under 2.5 95.92% ▼ (-0.74)
Over 3.5 0.95% ▲ (+0.15)
Under 3.5 99.05% ▼ (-0.16)

Score analysis

Paris Saint-Germain 70.63%
Draw 18.7%
Le Mans 10.7%
Paris Saint-Germain
1-0 @ 13.23% ▼ (-0.14)
2-0 @ 12.14% ▼ (-0.23)
3-0 @ 8.69% ▼ (-0.14)
2-1 @ 8.17% ▼ (-0.24)
3-1 @ 6.15% ▼ (-0.16)
3-2 @ 3.16% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 19.09% ▼ (-0.47)
Total : 70.63%
Draw
1-1 @ 7.72% ▲ (+0.11)
0-0 @ 6.8% ▲ (+0.25)
2-2 @ 3.42%
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 18.7%
Le Mans
0-1 @ 3.24% ▲ (+0.08)
1-2 @ 3.04% ▲ (+0.21)
2-3 @ 1.15%
0-2 @ 1.1% ▲ (+0.11)
Other @ 0.94% ▲ (+0.15)
Total : 10.7%

Head to Head

Coupe de France
Feb 4, 2025 8.10pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Stade de La Pincenardiere
  • Gabin Bernardeau 5' yellowcard
  • Alexandre Lauray 32' yellowcard
  • Presnel Kimpembe 84' yellowcard
  • goal Desire Doue 25'
  • yellowcard Senny Mayulu 45'+2'
  • goal Bradley Barcola 71'
  • yellowcard Goncalo Ramos 87'
  • yellowcard Presnel Kimpembe 87'
Coupe de la Ligue Gameweek 8
Dec 18, 2019 8.05pm
1
4
HT : 0 3
FT MMArena (Le Mans)
  • Yann Boe-Kane 16' yellowcard
  • Harisson Manzala 54' goal
  • yellowcard Marco Verratti 10'
  • goal Pablo Sarabia 21'
  • goal Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting 41'
  • goal Kylian Mbappe 42'
  • goal Angel di Maria 48'
  • yellowcard Nianzou Kouassi 70'
  • yellowcard Leandro Paredes 78'