Ligue 1 Gameweek 3
Sep 5, 2026 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Allianz Riviera
  • Elye Wahi 44' goal
  • Youssouf Ndayishimiye 75' yellowcard
  • Elye Wahi 84' yellowcard
  • goal Adil Ali Mohamed Bourabaa 13'
  • yellowcard Alexandre Lauray 58'
  • yellowcard Noa Boissé 82'

Nice vs Le Mans - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Nice

All competitions
Last game
Aug 30, 2026 2.00pm
Paris FC 3 - 0 Nice
Goals scored
1
Top scorer
Elye Wahi

Le Mans

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last game
Aug 30, 2026 4.15pm
Rennes 3 - 2 Le Mans
Goals scored
7
Top scorer
Louis Mafouta

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 43.72%. A win for Le Mans had a probability of 29.92% and a draw had a probability of 26.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.12%) and 2-0 (7.38%). The likeliest Le Mans win was 0-1 (8.73%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 12% likelihood.

Result

Nice 43.72% ▲ (+0.01)
Draw 26.36% ▲ (+0.01)
Le Mans 29.92% ▼ (-0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.74% ▼ (-0.06)

Goals

Over 1.5 71.98% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 1.5 28.02% ▲ (+0.09)
Over 2.5 48.08% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 2.5 51.91% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 3.5 26.61% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 3.5 73.39% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 4.5 14.74% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 4.5 85.26% ▲ (+0.04)

First Half Winner

Nice 33.63% ▼ (-0.03)
Draw 41.78% ▲ (+0.03)
Le Mans 24.58%

Team To Score First

Nice 50.26% ▼ (-0.03)
No Goal 8.64% ▲ (+0.01)
Le Mans 41.1% ▲ (+0.01)

Corners

Over 8 57.67% ▼ (-0.11)
Equal 8 11.25% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 8 31.08% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 9 46.21% ▼ (-0.11)
Equal 9 11.46%
Under 9 42.33% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 10.5 35.49% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 10.5 64.51% ▲ (+0.11)

Nice Goals

Over 1.5 40.84% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 1.5 59.16% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 2.5 17.41% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 2.5 82.59% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 3.5 5.9% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 3.5 94.1% ▲ (+0.01)

Le Mans Goals

Over 0.5 63.83% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 0.5 36.17% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 1.5 29.79% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 1.5 70.21% ▲ (+0.06)
Over 2.5 10.61% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 2.5 89.39% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 3.5 3.19% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 3.5 96.81% ▲ (+0.02)

Score analysis

Nice 43.71%
Draw 26.37%
Le Mans 29.92%
Nice
1-0 @ 10.65% ▲ (+0.04)
2-1 @ 9.12%
2-0 @ 7.38% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.24% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 3.61%
3-2 @ 2.82% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 5.89% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 43.71%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.95%
0-0 @ 8.64% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 4.93% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 26.37%
Le Mans
0-1 @ 8.73% ▲ (+0.04)
1-2 @ 6.88% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 4.55% ▼ (-0.03)
1-3 @ 2.71%
2-3 @ 2%
0-3 @ 1.87%
Other @ 3.18% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 29.92%

Head to Head

Coupe de la Ligue Gameweek 16
Oct 30, 2019 5.45pm
3
2
HT : 3 2
FT
  • Vincent Crehin 1' goal
  • Pierre Lemonnier 8' yellowcard
  • Pierre Lemonnier 13' goal
  • Aboubakary Kante 16' goal
  • Stephane Diarra 46' yellowcard
  • Alois Confais 77' yellowcard
  • goal Wylan Cyprien 15'
  • goal Pierre Lees-Melou 18'
  • yellowcard Youcef Atal 20'
  • yellowcard Ignatius Ganago 94'