Ligue 1 Gameweek 3
Sep 5, 2026 7.45pm
Allianz Riviera

Nice vs Le Mans - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Nice

All competitions
Last game
Aug 30, 2026 2.00pm
Paris FC 3 - 0 Nice

Le Mans

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last game
Aug 30, 2026 4.15pm
Rennes 3 - 2 Le Mans
Goals scored
4
Top scorer
Louis Mafouta

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Nice win with a probability of 43.49%. A win for Le Mans has a probability of 29.91% and a draw has a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nice win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.94%) and 2-0 (7.39%). The likeliest Le Mans win is 0-1 (8.82%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.06%).

Result

Nice 43.49% (+6.27)
Draw 26.6% (-1.34)
Le Mans 29.91% (-4.88)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.62% (+1.00)

Goals

Over 1.5 71.65% (+0.83)
Under 1.5 28.35% (-0.83)
Over 2.5 47.52% (+1.31)
Under 2.5 52.48% (-1.31)
Over 3.5 26.19% (+1.48)
Under 3.5 73.81% (-1.47)
Over 4.5 14.38% (+1.13)
Under 4.5 85.62% (-1.12)

First Half Winner

Nice 31.82% (+3.07)
Draw 43.82% (+1.37)
Le Mans 24.36% (-4.43)

Team To Score First

Nice 49.19% (+4.99)
No Goal 8.75% (-0.43)
Le Mans 42.06% (-4.56)

Corners

Over 8 52.66% (-0.94)
Equal 8 11.22% (-0.19)
Under 8 36.12% (+1.12)
Over 9 41.66% (-0.68)
Equal 9 11% (-0.26)
Under 9 47.34% (+0.94)
Over 10.5 31.7% (-0.40)
Under 10.5 68.3% (+0.40)

Nice Goals

Over 1.5 40.43% (+5.18)
Under 1.5 59.57% (-5.17)
Over 2.5 17.25% (+3.58)
Under 2.5 82.75% (-3.58)
Over 3.5 5.75% (+1.54)
Under 3.5 94.25% (-1.54)

Le Mans Goals

Over 0.5 63.73% (-3.76)
Under 0.5 36.27% (+3.75)
Over 1.5 29.67% (-3.70)
Under 1.5 70.33% (+3.71)
Over 2.5 10.32% (-2.00)
Under 2.5 89.68% (+2.00)
Over 3.5 3.07% (-0.81)
Under 3.5 96.93% (+0.82)

Score analysis

Nice 43.49%
Draw 26.61%
Le Mans 29.9%
Nice
1-0 @ 10.78% (+0.65)
2-1 @ 8.94% (+0.62)
2-0 @ 7.39% (+1.25)
3-1 @ 4.24% (+0.90)
3-0 @ 3.61% (+0.72)
3-2 @ 2.79% (+0.54)
Other @ 5.74% (+1.62)
Total : 43.49%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.06% (-0.58)
0-0 @ 8.75% (-0.43)
2-2 @ 4.93% (-0.17)
Other @ 0.01% (-0.08)
Total : 26.61%
Le Mans
0-1 @ 8.82% (-1.00)
1-2 @ 6.95% (-0.92)
0-2 @ 4.68% (-1.17)
1-3 @ 2.65% (-0.36)
2-3 @ 1.92% (-0.13)
0-3 @ 1.82% (-0.62)
Other @ 3.06% (-0.73)
Total : 29.9%

Head to Head

Coupe de la Ligue Gameweek 16
Oct 30, 2019 5.45pm
3
2
HT : 3 2
FT
  • Vincent Crehin 1' goal
  • Pierre Lemonnier 8' yellowcard
  • Pierre Lemonnier 13' goal
  • Aboubakary Kante 16' goal
  • Stephane Diarra 46' yellowcard
  • Alois Confais 77' yellowcard
  • goal Wylan Cyprien 15'
  • goal Pierre Lees-Melou 18'
  • yellowcard Youcef Atal 20'
  • yellowcard Ignatius Ganago 94'