Ligue 1 Gameweek 5
Sep 19, 2026 7.45pm
Stade de La Pincenardière

Le Mans vs Lorient - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Le Mans

All competitions
Last game
Sep 13, 2026 4.15pm
Le Mans 2 - 2 Lens
Goals scored
7
Top scorer
Louis Mafouta

Lorient

All competitions
Last game
Sep 12, 2026 7.45pm
Lorient 2 - 2 Toulouse
Goals scored
4
Top scorer
Jean-Victor Makengo

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Le Mans win with a probability of 38.51%. A win for Lorient has a probability of 32.18% and a draw has a probability of 29.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Le Mans win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (7.88%) and 2-0 (7.33%). The likeliest Lorient win is 0-1 (10.36%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (13.21%).

Result

Le Mans 38.51%
Draw 29.27%
Lorient 32.18%

Both Teams to Score: 

46.56%

Goals

Over 1.5 66.61%
Under 1.5 33.39%
Over 2.5 40.56%
Under 2.5 59.44%
Over 3.5 20.97%
Under 3.5 79.03%
Over 4.5 10.69%
Under 4.5 89.31%

First Half Winner

Le Mans 29.04%
Draw 45.17%
Lorient 25.79%

Team To Score First

Le Mans 46.27%
No Goal 10.75%
Lorient 42.98%

Corners

Over 8 51.46%
Equal 8 12.01%
Under 8 36.52%
Over 9 39.82%
Equal 9 11.64%
Under 9 48.54%
Over 10.5 29.46%
Under 10.5 70.54%

Le Mans Goals

Over 1.5 33.34%
Under 1.5 66.66%
Over 2.5 11.88%
Under 2.5 88.12%
Over 3.5 3.55%
Under 3.5 96.45%

Lorient Goals

Over 0.5 63.35%
Under 0.5 36.65%
Over 1.5 28.76%
Under 1.5 71.24%
Over 2.5 10.31%
Under 2.5 89.69%
Over 3.5 3.07%
Under 3.5 96.93%

Score analysis

Le Mans 38.52%
Draw 29.28%
Lorient 32.18%
Le Mans
1-0 @ 12.26%
2-1 @ 7.88%
2-0 @ 7.33%
3-1 @ 3.14%
3-0 @ 2.81%
3-2 @ 1.62%
Other @ 3.48%
Total : 38.52%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.21%
0-0 @ 10.75%
2-2 @ 4.49%
Other @ 0.07%
Total : 29.28%
Lorient
0-1 @ 10.36%
1-2 @ 6.84%
0-2 @ 5.5%
1-3 @ 2.66%
0-3 @ 2.06%
2-3 @ 1.76%
Other @ 3%
Total : 32.18%

Head to Head

Ligue 2 Gameweek 23
Feb 4, 2020 8.05pm
4
2
HT : 1 1
FT Stade Yves Allainmat-Le Moustoir
  • Vincent Le Goff 28' goal
  • Armand Lauriente 58' goal
  • Vincent Le Goff 72' yellowcard
  • Sylvain Marveaux 85' goal
  • Yann Kitala 90' goal
  • goal Vincent Crehin 38'
  • yellowcard Alexandre Vardin 38'
  • yellowcard Yanis Merdji 42'
  • yellowcard Aboubakary Kante 44'
  • yellowcard Pierre Lemonnier 84'
  • goal Thomas Fontaine 89' (OG)
Ligue 2 Gameweek 5
Aug 23, 2019 7.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT MMArena (Le Mans)
  • Yann Boe-Kane 34' yellowcard
  • Alois Confais 92' goal
  • goal Yoane Wissa 16'
  • yellowcard Fabien Lemoine 27'
  • goal Yoane Wissa 38'
  • yellowcard Laurent Abergel 60'
Coupe de la Ligue Gameweek 1
Aug 13, 2019 5.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Stade Yves Allainmat - Le Moustoir (Lorient)
  • Jerome Hergault 27' yellowcard
  • Pierre-Yves Hamel 83' goal
  • yellowcard Bevic Moussiti-Oko 25'
  • goal Bevic Moussiti-Oko 42'
  • yellowcard Alexandre Vardin 51'
  • goal Stephane Diarra 62'
  • redcard Alexandre Vardin 75'
  • yellowcard Georges Gope-Fenepej 92'