Ligue 1 Gameweek 5
Sep 19, 2026 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stade de La Pincenardière
  • Adil Ali Mohamed Bourabaa 3' goal
  • Habib Diallo 51' yellowcard
  • Habib Diallo 57' goal
  • Djibril Sidibé 74' yellowcard
  • Adil Ali Mohamed Bourabaa 78' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jean-Victor Makengo 11'
  • yellowcard Arsène Kouassi 19'
  • yellowcard Arthur Avom 61'
  • goal Isak Jensen 78'

Le Mans vs Lorient - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Le Mans

All competitions
Last game
Sep 13, 2026 4.15pm
Le Mans 2 - 2 Lens
Goals scored
9
Top scorer
Adil Ali Mohamed Bourabaa

Lorient

All competitions
Last game
Sep 12, 2026 7.45pm
Lorient 2 - 2 Toulouse
Goals scored
5
Top scorer
Jean-Victor Makengo

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Le Mans win with a probability of 35.04%. A win for Lorient had a probability of 34.58% and a draw had a probability of 30.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a Le Mans win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.36%) and 2-0 (6.24%). The likeliest Lorient win was 0-1 (11.19%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.

Result

Le Mans 35.04% ▲ (+0.04)
Draw 30.35% ▲ (+0.03)
Lorient 34.58% ▼ (-0.07)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.06% ▼ (-0.13)

Goals

Over 1.5 65.92% ▼ (-0.13)
Under 1.5 34.08% ▲ (+0.12)
Over 2.5 40.2% ▼ (-0.17)
Under 2.5 59.8% ▲ (+0.17)
Over 3.5 20.74% ▼ (-0.17)
Under 3.5 79.26% ▲ (+0.17)
Over 4.5 10.45% ▼ (-0.14)
Under 4.5 89.55% ▲ (+0.13)

First Half Winner

Le Mans 29.13% ▲ (+0.06)
Draw 44.81% ▲ (+0.04)
Lorient 26.06% ▼ (-0.09)

Team To Score First

Le Mans 46.52% ▼ (-0.02)
No Goal 11.47% ▲ (+0.06)
Lorient 42.01% ▼ (-0.04)

Corners

Over 8 55.1% ▼ (-0.22)
Equal 8 11.62% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 8 33.27% ▲ (+0.20)
Over 9 43.5% ▼ (-0.22)
Equal 9 11.6%
Under 9 44.9% ▲ (+0.22)
Over 10.5 32.87% ▼ (-0.20)
Under 10.5 67.13% ▲ (+0.19)

Le Mans Goals

Over 1.5 30.98% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 1.5 69.02% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 2.5 10.89% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 2.5 89.11% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 3.5 3.22% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 3.5 96.78% ▲ (+0.05)

Lorient Goals

Over 0.5 65.3% ▼ (-0.10)
Under 0.5 34.7% ▲ (+0.10)
Over 1.5 30.56% ▼ (-0.17)
Under 1.5 69.44% ▲ (+0.16)
Over 2.5 10.8% ▼ (-0.12)
Under 2.5 89.2% ▲ (+0.13)
Over 3.5 3.07% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 3.5 96.93% ▲ (+0.08)

Score analysis

Le Mans 35.03%
Draw 30.35%
Lorient 34.58%
Le Mans
1-0 @ 11.38% ▲ (+0.04)
2-1 @ 7.36% ▲ (+0.02)
2-0 @ 6.24% ▲ (+0.03)
3-1 @ 2.83%
3-0 @ 2.42% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.65% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 3.15% ▼ (-0.04)
Total : 35.03%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.36% ▲ (+0.03)
0-0 @ 11.47% ▲ (+0.06)
2-2 @ 4.68% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.07% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 30.35%
Lorient
0-1 @ 11.19% ▲ (+0.03)
1-2 @ 7.31% ▼ (-0.02)
0-2 @ 6.12%
1-3 @ 2.77% ▼ (-0.03)
0-3 @ 2.38% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.81%
Other @ 3% ▼ (-0.05)
Total : 34.58%

Head to Head

Ligue 2 Gameweek 23
Feb 4, 2020 8.05pm
4
2
HT : 1 1
FT Stade Yves Allainmat-Le Moustoir
  • Vincent Le Goff 28' goal
  • Armand Lauriente 58' goal
  • Vincent Le Goff 72' yellowcard
  • Sylvain Marveaux 85' goal
  • Yann Kitala 90' goal
  • goal Vincent Crehin 38'
  • yellowcard Alexandre Vardin 38'
  • yellowcard Yanis Merdji 42'
  • yellowcard Aboubakary Kante 44'
  • yellowcard Pierre Lemonnier 84'
  • goal Thomas Fontaine 89' (OG)
Ligue 2 Gameweek 5
Aug 23, 2019 7.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT MMArena (Le Mans)
  • Yann Boe-Kane 34' yellowcard
  • Alois Confais 92' goal
  • goal Yoane Wissa 16'
  • yellowcard Fabien Lemoine 27'
  • goal Yoane Wissa 38'
  • yellowcard Laurent Abergel 60'
Coupe de la Ligue Gameweek 1
Aug 13, 2019 5.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Stade Yves Allainmat - Le Moustoir (Lorient)
  • Jerome Hergault 27' yellowcard
  • Pierre-Yves Hamel 83' goal
  • yellowcard Bevic Moussiti-Oko 25'
  • goal Bevic Moussiti-Oko 42'
  • yellowcard Alexandre Vardin 51'
  • goal Stephane Diarra 62'
  • redcard Alexandre Vardin 75'
  • yellowcard Georges Gope-Fenepej 92'