Ligue 1 Gameweek 33
May 10, 2026 8.00pm
Stade Saint-Symphorien

Metz vs Lorient - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Metz

All competitions
Last game
May 2, 2026 6.00pm
Metz 1 - 2 Monaco
Goals scored
32
Top scorer
Gauthier Hein

Lorient

All competitions
Last game
May 2, 2026 4.00pm
PSG 2 - 2 Lorient
Goals scored
44
Top scorer
Bamba Dieng

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Lorient win with a probability of 41.64%. A win for Metz has a probability of 32.27% and a draw has a probability of 26.13%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lorient win is 0-1 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.82%) and 0-2 (6.78%). The likeliest Metz win is 1-0 (8.02%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.51%).

Result

Metz 32.27%
Draw 26.13%
Lorient 41.64% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.15%

Goals

Over 1.5 75.41% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 24.59% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 52.07% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 47.89% (-0.08)
Over 3.5 30.43% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 69.57% (+0.01)
Over 4.5 16.79%
Under 4.5 83.21%

First Half Winner

Metz 26.93% (+0.02)
Draw 42.6%
Lorient 30.48%

Team To Score First

Metz 42.77% (-0.01)
No Goal 7.19%
Lorient 50.04% (+0.01)

Corners

Over 8 56.1% (+0.01)
Equal 8 12.01% (+0.01)
Under 8 31.89% (-0.02)
Over 9 44.01% (+0.01)
Equal 9 12.09% (+0.01)
Under 9 43.9% (-0.01)
Over 10.5 32.89% (+0.01)
Under 10.5 67.11% (-0.02)

Metz Goals

Over 1.5 34.42% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 65.58% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 13.43% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 86.57% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 4.02%
Under 3.5 95.98%

Lorient Goals

Over 0.5 73.88% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 26.12% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 42.18% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 57.82% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 18.22% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 81.78% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 6.37%
Under 3.5 93.63%

Score analysis

Metz 32.26%
Draw 26.13%
Lorient 41.65%
Metz
1-0 @ 8.02% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 7.36%
2-0 @ 5.04%
3-1 @ 3.41%
3-2 @ 2.52%
3-0 @ 2.12% (+0.02)
Other @ 3.79%
Total : 32.26%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.51%
0-0 @ 7.19%
2-2 @ 5.84%
3-3 @ 1.36%
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 26.13%
Lorient
0-1 @ 9.42% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 8.82% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 6.78% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 4.4%
0-3 @ 3.34% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.75%
Other @ 6.14%
Total : 41.65%

Head to Head

Ligue 1 Gameweek 17
Jan 4, 2026 4.15pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Stade Yves Allainmat - Le Moustoir
  • Mohamed Bamba 60' yellowcard
  • Bamba Dieng 60' yellowcard
  • Bamba Dieng 73' goal
  • Karim Dermane 74' yellowcard
  • goal Sadibou Sané 29'
  • yellowcard Alpha Touré 46'
  • yellowcard Joel Asoro 79'
  • yellowcard Morgan Bokele 84'
  • yellowcard Benjamin Stambouli 84'
Ligue 2 Gameweek 18
Jan 11, 2025 7.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stade Yves Allainmat - Le Moustoir
  • Julien Laporte 70' yellowcard
  • Darlin Yongwa 74' yellowcard
  • Julien Ponceau 87' yellowcard
  • Igor Silva 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kevin Van Den Kerkhof 88'
Ligue 2 Gameweek 5
Sep 21, 2024 1.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stade Saint-Symphorien
  • Cheikh Sabaly 27' goal
  • Koffi Kouao 53' yellowcard
  • Matthieu Udol 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Laurent Abergel 68'
  • yellowcard Olivier Pantaloni 69'
  • yellowcard Formose Mendy 78'
  • goal Mohamed Bamba 85'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 20
Feb 4, 2024 2.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT Stade Saint-Symphorien
  • Kevin N'Doram 19' yellowcard
  • Didier Lamkel Ze 22' goal
  • Danley Jean Jacques 77' yellowcard
  • Maxime Colin 83' yellowcard
  • goal Mohamed Bamba 19'
  • goal Panos Katseris 58'
  • yellowcard Formose Mendy 90'+5'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 13
Nov 26, 2023 2.00pm
2
3
HT : 2 1
FT Stade Yves Allainmat - Le Moustoir
  • Romain Faivre 7' goal
  • Eli Junior Kroupi 22' goal
  • Darlin Yongwa 48' yellowcard
  • Ckene Doucoure 57' yellowcard
  • goal Cheikh Sabaly 1'
  • yellowcard Matthieu Udol 45'
  • goal Ismael Traore 65'
  • goal Ablie Jallow 83'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 33
Apr 20, 2022 6.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Julien Laporte 22' yellowcard
  • Houboulang Mendes 81' yellowcard
  • Dango Ouattara 90'+4' goal
  • yellowcard Ibrahim Amadou 36'
  • yellowcard Opa Nguette 84'