Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lorient win with a probability of 41.61%. A win for Metz had a probability of 32.27% and a draw had a probability of 26.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lorient win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.84%) and 0-2 (6.77%). The likeliest Metz win was 1-0 (8.02%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.5%).