Ligue 1 Gameweek 4
Sep 12, 2026 7.45pm
Stade Yves Allainmat - Le Moustoir

Lorient vs Toulouse - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Lorient

All competitions
Last game
Sep 5, 2026 4.15pm
Lens 0 - 1 Lorient
Goals scored
2
Top scorer
Jean-Victor Makengo

Toulouse

All competitions
Last game
Sep 3, 2026 7.45pm
Toulouse 0 - 1 Lille
Goals scored
2
Top scorer
Jacen Russell-Rowe

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Lorient win with a probability of 41.75%. A win for Toulouse has a probability of 31.89% and a draw has a probability of 26.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lorient win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.69%) and 2-0 (6.94%). The likeliest Toulouse win is 0-1 (8.05%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.17%).

Result

Lorient 41.75% (+0.10)
Draw 26.36% (-0.27)
Toulouse 31.89% (+0.18)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.24% (+0.86)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.56% (+0.80)
Under 1.5 25.44% (-0.79)
Over 2.5 50.3% (+1.04)
Under 2.5 49.7% (-1.04)
Over 3.5 28.99% (+0.92)
Under 3.5 71.01% (-0.91)
Over 4.5 15.89% (+0.64)
Under 4.5 84.11% (-0.63)

First Half Winner

Lorient 31.87% (+0.08)
Draw 44.92% (+0.03)
Toulouse 23.22% (-0.09)

Team To Score First

Lorient 51.2% (+0.35)
No Goal 7.36% (-0.31)
Toulouse 41.44% (-0.04)

Corners

Over 8 53.33%
Equal 8 12.58% (-0.02)
Under 8 34.09% (+0.03)
Over 9 40.94% (+0.04)
Equal 9 12.4% (-0.02)
Under 9 46.67%
Over 10.5 29.81% (+0.05)
Under 10.5 70.19% (-0.05)

Lorient Goals

Over 1.5 41% (+0.61)
Under 1.5 59% (-0.61)
Over 2.5 17.17% (+0.46)
Under 2.5 82.83% (-0.46)
Over 3.5 5.87% (+0.24)
Under 3.5 94.13% (-0.24)

Toulouse Goals

Over 0.5 66.65% (+0.47)
Under 0.5 33.35% (-0.47)
Over 1.5 33.44% (+0.63)
Under 1.5 66.56% (-0.63)
Over 2.5 12.31% (+0.40)
Under 2.5 87.69% (-0.40)
Over 3.5 3.8% (+0.17)
Under 3.5 96.2% (-0.18)

Score analysis

Lorient 41.75%
Draw 26.36%
Toulouse 31.89%
Lorient
1-0 @ 10.03% (-0.29)
2-1 @ 8.69% (+0.05)
2-0 @ 6.94% (-0.10)
3-1 @ 4.3% (+0.09)
3-0 @ 3.19%
3-2 @ 2.77% (+0.11)
Other @ 5.83% (+0.24)
Total : 41.75%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.17% (-0.10)
0-0 @ 7.36% (-0.31)
2-2 @ 5.75% (+0.13)
3-3 @ 1.04% (+0.05)
Other @ 0.04%
Total : 26.36%
Toulouse
0-1 @ 8.05% (-0.20)
1-2 @ 7.46% (+0.06)
0-2 @ 5.15% (-0.05)
1-3 @ 3.04% (+0.07)
2-3 @ 2.45% (+0.10)
0-3 @ 1.98% (+0.03)
Other @ 3.76% (+0.17)
Total : 31.89%

Head to Head

Ligue 1
Mar 21, 2026 4.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadium de Toulouse
  • Emersonn 64' yellowcard
  • Warren Kamanzi 64' yellowcard
  • Warren Kamanzi 65' yellowcard
  • Emersonn 81' goal
  • Mario Sauer 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Aiyegun Tosin 73'
  • yellowcard Sambou Soumano 73'
  • yellowcard Panos Katseris 79'
Ligue 1
Nov 9, 2025 2.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Ligue 1 Gameweek 31
Apr 28, 2024 2.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT Stade Yves Allainmat - Le Moustoir
  • Julien Ponceau 19' goal
  • Nathaniel Adjei 31' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Moussa Diarra 38'
  • yellowcard Zakaria Aboukhlal 51'
  • goal Thijs Dallinga 59'
  • goal Ibrahim Cissoko 83'
  • yellowcard Vincent Sierro 87'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 14
Dec 3, 2023 2.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stadium de Toulouse (Toulouse)
  • Aron Donnum 1' yellowcard
  • Carles Martinez 2' yellowcard
  • Thijs Dallinga 72' goal
  • Vincent Sierro 83' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Tiemoue Bakayoko 9'
  • yellowcard Montassar Talbi 33'
  • yellowcard Julien Ponceau 71'
  • yellowcard Benjamin Mendy 83'
  • goal Bamba Dieng 90'+1'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 32
Apr 23, 2023 2.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • goal Zakaria Aboukhlal 68'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 3
Aug 21, 2022 2.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Rafael Ratao 31' goal
  • Thijs Dallinga 43' yellowcard
  • Thijs Dallinga 64' goal
  • Branco van den Boomen 72' yellowcard
  • goal Armand Lauriente 2'
  • yellowcard Enzo Le Fee 23'
  • goal Ibrahima Kone 80'