Ligue 1 Gameweek 3
Sep 3, 2026 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stadium de Toulouse
  • Santiago Hidalgo 20' yellowcard
  • goal Ayase Ueda 73'

Toulouse vs Lille - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Toulouse

All competitions
Last game
Aug 29, 2026 7.45pm
Brest 2 - 2 Toulouse
Goals scored
2
Top scorer
Jacen Russell-Rowe

Lille

All competitions
Last game
Aug 28, 2026 8.00pm
Lille 2 - 2 PSG
Goals scored
5
Top scorer
Olivier Giroud

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 42.44%. A win for Toulouse had a probability of 31.59% and a draw had a probability of 26.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.57%) and 0-2 (6.96%). The likeliest Toulouse win was 1-0 (7.6%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.

Result

Toulouse 31.59% ▲ (+0.02)
Draw 26.04% ▲ (+0.08)
Lille 42.44% ▼ (-0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.88% ▼ (-0.10)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.27% ▼ (-0.14)
Under 1.5 23.73% ▲ (+0.13)
Over 2.5 52.81% ▼ (-0.24)
Under 2.5 47.19% ▲ (+0.24)
Over 3.5 31.43% ▼ (-0.17)
Under 3.5 68.57% ▲ (+0.16)
Over 4.5 18.11% ▼ (-0.17)
Under 4.5 81.89% ▲ (+0.16)

First Half Winner

Toulouse 24.35% ▲ (+0.21)
Draw 42.61% ▲ (+0.02)
Lille 33.03% ▼ (-0.22)

Team To Score First

Toulouse 41.4% ▼ (-0.15)
No Goal 7% ▲ (+0.06)
Lille 51.6% ▲ (+0.10)

Corners

Over 8 53.55% ▼ (-0.28)
Equal 8 12.1%
Under 8 34.35% ▲ (+0.28)
Over 9 41.62% ▼ (-0.25)
Equal 9 11.93% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 9 46.45% ▲ (+0.28)
Over 10.5 30.84% ▼ (-0.20)
Under 10.5 69.16% ▲ (+0.21)

Toulouse Goals

Over 1.5 34.13% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 1.5 65.87% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 2.5 13.42% ▼ (-0.17)
Under 2.5 86.58% ▲ (+0.18)
Over 3.5 4.21% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 3.5 95.79% ▲ (+0.06)

Lille Goals

Over 0.5 74.56% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 0.5 25.44% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 1.5 43.15% ▼ (-0.17)
Under 1.5 56.85% ▲ (+0.17)
Over 2.5 19.23% ▼ (-0.13)
Under 2.5 80.77% ▲ (+0.13)
Over 3.5 7.44% ▼ (-0.13)
Under 3.5 92.56% ▲ (+0.13)

Score analysis

Toulouse 31.58%
Draw 26.04%
Lille 42.44%
Toulouse
1-0 @ 7.6% ▲ (+0.09)
2-1 @ 7.26% ▼ (-0.03)
2-0 @ 4.81% ▲ (+0.05)
3-1 @ 3.25% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.57% ▼ (-0.04)
3-0 @ 2.1% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 3.99% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 31.58%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.71% ▲ (+0.10)
0-0 @ 7% ▲ (+0.06)
2-2 @ 5.82% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.29% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 0.22% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 26.04%
Lille
0-1 @ 9.19% ▲ (+0.03)
1-2 @ 8.57% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 6.96% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 4.24% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 3.44% ▼ (-0.04)
2-3 @ 2.82% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 7.22% ▼ (-0.11)
Total : 42.44%

Head to Head

Ligue 1
Apr 12, 2026 4.15pm
0
4
HT : 0 1
FT Stadium de Toulouse
  • Alexis Vossah 59' yellowcard
  • Charlie Cresswell 59' yellowcard
  • Warren Kamanzi 60' yellowcard
  • Alexis Vossah 60' yellowcard
  • Jacen Russell-Rowe 71' yellowcard
  • 71' yellowcard
  • Santiago Hidalgo 76' yellowcard
  • goal Thomas Meunier 23'
  • goal Romain Perraud 50'
  • goal Matías Fernández-Pardo 55'
  • yellowcard Gaëtan Perrin 71'
  • yellowcard Ethan Mbappé 71'
  • yellowcard Olivier Giroud 76'
  • yellowcard Calvin Verdonk 82'
  • yellowcard Tiago Santos 82'
  • yellowcard Calvin Verdonk 83'
  • yellowcard Olivier Giroud 88'
  • yellowcard Olivier Giroud 89'
Ligue 1
Sep 14, 2025 2.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Ligue 1 Gameweek 29
Apr 12, 2025 6.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 2
FT Stadium de Toulouse (Toulouse)
  • Charlie Cresswell 42' goal
  • Charlie Cresswell 64' yellowcard
  • goal Matias Fernandez Pardo 21'
  • goal Mitchel Bakker 45'+4'
  • yellowcard Alexsandro 71'
  • yellowcard Ethan Mbappe Lottin 85'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 7
Oct 5, 2024 6.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Stade Pierre-Mauroy
  • Andre Gomes 8' yellowcard
  • Alexsandro 15' yellowcard
  • Angel Gomes 57' goal
  • Mitchel Bakker 72' goal
  • Tiago Santos 90'+7' yellowcard
  • goal Zakaria Aboukhlal 39'
  • yellowcard Djibril Sidibe 44'
  • yellowcard Frank Magri 90'+3'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 23
Feb 25, 2024 2.00pm
3
1
HT : 0 1
FT Stadium de Toulouse (Toulouse)
  • Frank Magri 34' yellowcard
  • Christian Mawissa 49' goal
  • Vincent Sierro 60' goal
  • Thijs Dallinga 66' goal
  • Vincent Sierro 70' yellowcard
  • goal Hakon Arnar Haraldsson 45'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 12
Nov 12, 2023 2.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stade Pierre-Mauroy
  • Leny Yoro 30' goal
  • Nabil Bentaleb 38' yellowcard
  • Jonathan David 47' yellowcard
  • Alexsandro 64' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Stijn Spierings 62'
  • goal Thijs Dallinga 65'
  • yellowcard Thijs Dallinga 82'
  • yellowcard Rasmus Nicolaisen 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Ibrahim Cissoko 90'+7'