Ligue 1 Gameweek 3
Sep 3, 2026 7.45pm
Stadium de Toulouse

Toulouse vs Lille - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Toulouse

All competitions
Last game
Aug 29, 2026 7.45pm
Brest 2 - 2 Toulouse
Goals scored
2
Top scorer
Jacen Russell-Rowe

Lille

All competitions
Last game
Aug 28, 2026 8.00pm
Lille 2 - 2 PSG
Goals scored
4
Top scorer
Olivier Giroud

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Lille win with a probability of 42.46%. A win for Toulouse has a probability of 31.58% and a draw has a probability of 25.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win is 0-1 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.58%) and 0-2 (6.94%). The likeliest Toulouse win is 1-0 (7.52%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.62%).

Result

Toulouse 31.58% (+0.03)
Draw 25.96%
Lille 42.46%

Both Teams to Score: 

54.98%

Goals

Over 1.5 76.4% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 23.6% (-0.03)
Over 2.5 53.05% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 46.95% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 31.59% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 68.41% (+0.04)
Over 4.5 18.27%
Under 4.5 81.73%

First Half Winner

Toulouse 24.15% (+0.01)
Draw 42.59% (+0.03)
Lille 33.25% (-0.04)

Team To Score First

Toulouse 41.55% (+0.02)
No Goal 6.94%
Lille 51.51% (-0.03)

Corners

Over 8 53.82% (+0.04)
Equal 8 12.1%
Under 8 34.08% (-0.04)
Over 9 41.86% (+0.04)
Equal 9 11.96%
Under 9 46.18% (-0.04)
Over 10.5 31.04% (+0.03)
Under 10.5 68.96% (-0.04)

Toulouse Goals

Over 1.5 34.24% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 65.76% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 13.59% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 86.41% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 4.26% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 95.74% (+0.01)

Lille Goals

Over 0.5 74.63% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 25.37% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 43.31% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 56.69% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 19.36%
Under 2.5 80.64%
Over 3.5 7.57%
Under 3.5 92.43%

Score analysis

Toulouse 31.59%
Draw 25.96%
Lille 42.47%
Toulouse
1-0 @ 7.52% (+0.02)
2-1 @ 7.28% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 4.77% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 3.26%
3-2 @ 2.6% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 2.15% (+0.01)
Other @ 4.01% (-0.01)
Total : 31.59%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.62%
0-0 @ 6.94%
2-2 @ 5.83%
3-3 @ 1.32%
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 25.96%
Lille
0-1 @ 9.16% (+0.02)
1-2 @ 8.58%
0-2 @ 6.94%
1-3 @ 4.23%
0-3 @ 3.47%
2-3 @ 2.77%
Other @ 7.32%
Total : 42.47%

Head to Head

Ligue 1
Apr 12, 2026 4.15pm
0
4
HT : 0 1
FT Stadium de Toulouse
  • Alexis Vossah 59' yellowcard
  • Charlie Cresswell 59' yellowcard
  • Warren Kamanzi 60' yellowcard
  • Alexis Vossah 60' yellowcard
  • Jacen Russell-Rowe 71' yellowcard
  • 71' yellowcard
  • Santiago Hidalgo 76' yellowcard
  • goal Thomas Meunier 23'
  • goal Romain Perraud 50'
  • goal Matías Fernández-Pardo 55'
  • yellowcard Gaëtan Perrin 71'
  • yellowcard Ethan Mbappé 71'
  • yellowcard Olivier Giroud 76'
  • yellowcard Calvin Verdonk 82'
  • yellowcard Tiago Santos 82'
  • yellowcard Calvin Verdonk 83'
  • yellowcard Olivier Giroud 88'
  • yellowcard Olivier Giroud 89'
Ligue 1
Sep 14, 2025 2.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Ligue 1 Gameweek 29
Apr 12, 2025 6.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 2
FT Stadium de Toulouse (Toulouse)
  • Charlie Cresswell 42' goal
  • Charlie Cresswell 64' yellowcard
  • goal Matias Fernandez Pardo 21'
  • goal Mitchel Bakker 45'+4'
  • yellowcard Alexsandro 71'
  • yellowcard Ethan Mbappe Lottin 85'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 7
Oct 5, 2024 6.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Stade Pierre-Mauroy
  • Andre Gomes 8' yellowcard
  • Alexsandro 15' yellowcard
  • Angel Gomes 57' goal
  • Mitchel Bakker 72' goal
  • Tiago Santos 90'+7' yellowcard
  • goal Zakaria Aboukhlal 39'
  • yellowcard Djibril Sidibe 44'
  • yellowcard Frank Magri 90'+3'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 23
Feb 25, 2024 2.00pm
3
1
HT : 0 1
FT Stadium de Toulouse (Toulouse)
  • Frank Magri 34' yellowcard
  • Christian Mawissa 49' goal
  • Vincent Sierro 60' goal
  • Thijs Dallinga 66' goal
  • Vincent Sierro 70' yellowcard
  • goal Hakon Arnar Haraldsson 45'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 12
Nov 12, 2023 2.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stade Pierre-Mauroy
  • Leny Yoro 30' goal
  • Nabil Bentaleb 38' yellowcard
  • Jonathan David 47' yellowcard
  • Alexsandro 64' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Stijn Spierings 62'
  • goal Thijs Dallinga 65'
  • yellowcard Thijs Dallinga 82'
  • yellowcard Rasmus Nicolaisen 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Ibrahim Cissoko 90'+7'