Ligue 1 Gameweek 2
Aug 28, 2026 7.45pm
Stade Pierre-Mauroy

Lille vs Paris Saint-Germain - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Lille

All competitions
Last game
Aug 23, 2026 2.00pm
Angers 0 - 2 Lille
Goals scored
2
Top scorer
Olivier Giroud

Paris Saint-Germain

All competitions
Last game
Aug 23, 2026 7.45pm
Rennes 2 - 2 PSG
Goals scored
2
Top scorer
Ferran Torres

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 47.19%. A win for Lille has a probability of 29.85% and a draw has a probability of 22.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win is 1-2 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (8.66%) and 0-2 (7.08%). The likeliest Lille win is 2-1 (7.46%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.62%).

Result

Lille 29.85% (+0.08)
Draw 22.96% (+0.04)
Paris Saint-Germain 47.19% (-0.09)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.66% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.82% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 21.18% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 57.02% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 42.98% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 33.46% (+0.08)
Under 3.5 66.54% (-0.06)
Over 4.5 19.86% (+0.06)
Under 4.5 80.14% (-0.05)

First Half Winner

Lille 30.3% (-0.06)
Draw 38.28% (+0.04)
Paris Saint-Germain 31.42% (+0.03)

Team To Score First

Lille 49.9% (-0.04)
No Goal 5.76%
Paris Saint-Germain 44.34% (+0.04)

Corners

Over 8 45.22% (+0.08)
Equal 8 11.67% (+0.01)
Under 8 43.11% (-0.08)
Over 9 34.43% (+0.05)
Equal 9 10.79% (+0.02)
Under 9 54.78% (-0.08)
Over 10.5 25.22% (+0.03)
Under 10.5 74.78% (-0.04)

Lille Goals

Over 1.5 32.88% (+0.10)
Under 1.5 67.12% (-0.09)
Over 2.5 12.79% (+0.05)
Under 2.5 87.21% (-0.06)
Over 3.5 4.03% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 95.97% (-0.02)

Paris Saint-Germain Goals

Over 0.5 77.28% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 22.72% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 47.51% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 52.49% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 23.26% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 76.74% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 9.04% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 90.96% (+0.01)

Score analysis

Lille 29.85%
Draw 22.95%
Paris Saint-Germain 47.19%
Lille
2-1 @ 7.46%
1-0 @ 6.75% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 4.1% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 3.03% (+0.03)
3-2 @ 2.41% (+0.03)
3-0 @ 2.11% (-0.03)
Other @ 3.99% (+0.03)
Total : 29.85%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.62% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 5.76%
2-2 @ 5.32% (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.21% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.04%
Total : 22.95%
Paris Saint-Germain
1-2 @ 9.44% (-0.04)
0-1 @ 8.66%
0-2 @ 7.08% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 5.25%
0-3 @ 4.55% (-0.05)
2-3 @ 3.21% (+0.01)
Other @ 9% (-0.01)
Total : 47.19%

Head to Head

Ligue 1 Gameweek 18
Jan 16, 2026 8.00pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Parc des Princes
  • Ousmane Dembele 13' goal
  • Ousmane Dembélé 13' goal
  • Illia Zabarnyi 46' yellowcard
  • Ilya Zabarnyi 46' yellowcard
  • Bradley Barcola 63' yellowcard
  • Ousmane Dembele 64' goal
  • Ousmane Dembélé 64' goal
  • Goncalo Ramos 76' yellowcard
  • Gonçalo Ramos 76' yellowcard
  • Goncalo Ramos 77' yellowcard
  • Lucas Hernandez 84' yellowcard
  • Lucas Hernández 84' yellowcard
  • Bradley Barcola 90'+3' goal
  • yellowcard Osame Sahraoui 77'
  • yellowcard Soriba Diaoune 77'
  • yellowcard Marius Broholm 77'
  • yellowcard Osame Sahraoui 78'
  • yellowcard Thomas Meunier 87'
  • yellowcard Felix Correia 89'
  • yellowcard Félix Correia 89'
Ligue 1
Oct 5, 2025 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Ligue 1 Gameweek 24
Mar 1, 2025 8.05pm
4
1
HT : 4 0
FT Parc des Princes
  • Bradley Barcola 6' goal
  • Marquinhos 22' goal
  • Ousmane Dembele 28' goal
  • Desire Doue 37' goal
  • yellowcard Thomas Meunier 39'
  • goal Jonathan David 80'
  • yellowcard Ismaily 90'+2'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 3
Sep 1, 2024 7.45pm
1
3
HT : 0 2
FT Stade Pierre-Mauroy
  • Alexsandro 31' yellowcard
  • Ngal'ayel Mukau 47' yellowcard
  • Edon Zhegrova 78' goal
  • Bafode Diakite 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Lucas Beraldo 24'
  • goal Vitinha 33'
  • goal Bradley Barcola 36'
  • yellowcard Gianluigi Donnarumma 84'
  • goal Randal Kolo 90'+2'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 21
Feb 10, 2024 8.00pm
3
1
HT : 2 1
FT Parc des Princes
  • Goncalo Ramos 10' goal
  • Alexsandro 17' goal
  • Manuel Ugarte 35' yellowcard
  • Nordi Mukiele 74' yellowcard
  • Randal Kolo 80' goal
  • goal Yusuf Yazici 6'
  • yellowcard Benjamin Andre 16'
  • yellowcard Ismaily 32'
  • yellowcard Paulo Fonseca 40'
  • yellowcard Alexsandro 52'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 16
Dec 17, 2023 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stade Pierre-Mauroy
  • Bafode Diakite 66' yellowcard
  • Jonathan David 90'+4' goal
  • yellowcard Manuel Ugarte 18'
  • goal Kylian Mbappe 66'