Ligue 1 Gameweek 2
Aug 28, 2026 8.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 0
FT Stade Pierre-Mauroy
  • Hákon Arnar Haraldsson 21' goal
  • Benjamin André 52' yellowcard
  • Dilane Bakwa 84' goal
  • Romain Perraud 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Fabián Ruiz 39'
  • goal Vitinha 90'+1'
  • goal Marquinhos  90'+5'

Lille vs Paris Saint-Germain - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Lille

All competitions
Last game
Aug 23, 2026 2.00pm
Angers 0 - 2 Lille
Goals scored
4
Top scorer
Olivier Giroud

Paris Saint-Germain

All competitions
Last game
Aug 23, 2026 7.45pm
Rennes 2 - 2 PSG
Goals scored
4
Top scorer
Ferran Torres

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 47.02%. A win for Lille had a probability of 30.01% and a draw had a probability of 22.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.62%) and 0-2 (7.02%). The likeliest Lille win was 2-1 (7.5%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.

Result

Lille 30.01% ▲ (+0.14)
Draw 22.96% ▲ (+0.04)
Paris Saint-Germain 47.02% ▼ (-0.17)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.76% ▲ (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.88% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 1.5 21.12% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 2.5 57.09% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 2.5 42.91% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 3.5 33.49%
Under 3.5 66.51%
Over 4.5 19.86% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 4.5 80.14% ▲ (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Lille 30.28% ▼ (-0.02)
Draw 38.29% ▲ (+0.01)
Paris Saint-Germain 31.43% ▲ (+0.01)

Team To Score First

Lille 49.92% ▲ (+0.02)
No Goal 5.74% ▼ (-0.01)
Paris Saint-Germain 44.34%

Corners

Over 8 45.22% ▲ (+0.01)
Equal 8 11.67%
Under 8 43.11% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 9 34.43% ▲ (+0.01)
Equal 9 10.79%
Under 9 54.78% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 10.5 25.22%
Under 10.5 74.78%

Lille Goals

Over 1.5 33.06% ▲ (+0.17)
Under 1.5 66.94% ▼ (-0.16)
Over 2.5 12.88% ▲ (+0.10)
Under 2.5 87.12% ▼ (-0.09)
Over 3.5 4.05% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 95.95% ▼ (-0.02)

Paris Saint-Germain Goals

Over 0.5 77.23% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 0.5 22.77% ▲ (+0.06)
Over 1.5 47.42% ▼ (-0.12)
Under 1.5 52.58% ▲ (+0.12)
Over 2.5 23.18% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 2.5 76.82% ▲ (+0.09)
Over 3.5 8.99% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 3.5 91.01% ▲ (+0.07)

Score analysis

Lille 30.01%
Draw 22.97%
Paris Saint-Germain 47.02%
Lille
2-1 @ 7.5% ▲ (+0.05)
1-0 @ 6.76%
2-0 @ 4.12% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 3.05% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 2.43% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 2.14% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 4.01% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 30.01%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.64% ▲ (+0.03)
0-0 @ 5.74% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.34% ▲ (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.21% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.04%
Total : 22.97%
Paris Saint-Germain
1-2 @ 9.45%
0-1 @ 8.62% ▼ (-0.03)
0-2 @ 7.02% ▼ (-0.07)
1-3 @ 5.24% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 4.52% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 3.22%
Other @ 8.95% ▼ (-0.07)
Total : 47.02%

Head to Head

Ligue 1 Gameweek 18
Jan 16, 2026 8.00pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Parc des Princes
  • Ousmane Dembele 13' goal
  • Ousmane Dembélé 13' goal
  • Illia Zabarnyi 46' yellowcard
  • Ilya Zabarnyi 46' yellowcard
  • Bradley Barcola 63' yellowcard
  • Ousmane Dembele 64' goal
  • Ousmane Dembélé 64' goal
  • Goncalo Ramos 76' yellowcard
  • Gonçalo Ramos 76' yellowcard
  • Goncalo Ramos 77' yellowcard
  • Lucas Hernandez 84' yellowcard
  • Lucas Hernández 84' yellowcard
  • Bradley Barcola 90'+3' goal
  • yellowcard Osame Sahraoui 77'
  • yellowcard Soriba Diaoune 77'
  • yellowcard Marius Broholm 77'
  • yellowcard Osame Sahraoui 78'
  • yellowcard Thomas Meunier 87'
  • yellowcard Felix Correia 89'
  • yellowcard Félix Correia 89'
Ligue 1
Oct 5, 2025 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Ligue 1 Gameweek 24
Mar 1, 2025 8.05pm
4
1
HT : 4 0
FT Parc des Princes
  • Bradley Barcola 6' goal
  • Marquinhos 22' goal
  • Ousmane Dembele 28' goal
  • Desire Doue 37' goal
  • yellowcard Thomas Meunier 39'
  • goal Jonathan David 80'
  • yellowcard Ismaily 90'+2'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 3
Sep 1, 2024 7.45pm
1
3
HT : 0 2
FT Stade Pierre-Mauroy
  • Alexsandro 31' yellowcard
  • Ngal'ayel Mukau 47' yellowcard
  • Edon Zhegrova 78' goal
  • Bafode Diakite 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Lucas Beraldo 24'
  • goal Vitinha 33'
  • goal Bradley Barcola 36'
  • yellowcard Gianluigi Donnarumma 84'
  • goal Randal Kolo 90'+2'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 21
Feb 10, 2024 8.00pm
3
1
HT : 2 1
FT Parc des Princes
  • Goncalo Ramos 10' goal
  • Alexsandro 17' goal
  • Manuel Ugarte 35' yellowcard
  • Nordi Mukiele 74' yellowcard
  • Randal Kolo 80' goal
  • goal Yusuf Yazici 6'
  • yellowcard Benjamin Andre 16'
  • yellowcard Ismaily 32'
  • yellowcard Paulo Fonseca 40'
  • yellowcard Alexsandro 52'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 16
Dec 17, 2023 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stade Pierre-Mauroy
  • Bafode Diakite 66' yellowcard
  • Jonathan David 90'+4' goal
  • yellowcard Manuel Ugarte 18'
  • goal Kylian Mbappe 66'