Ligue 1 Gameweek 2
Aug 29, 2026 7.45pm
Stade Francis-Le Ble

Brest vs Toulouse - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Brest

All competitions
Last game
Aug 22, 2026 7.45pm
Le Mans 2 - 2 Brest
Goals scored
2
Top scorer
Romain Del Castillo

Toulouse

All competitions
Last game
Aug 22, 2026 7.45pm
Toulouse 0 - 2 Lyon

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Brest win with a probability of 40.13%. A win for Toulouse has a probability of 32.33% and a draw has a probability of 27.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brest win is 1-0 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.76%) and 2-0 (6.75%). The likeliest Toulouse win is 0-1 (8.62%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.67%).

Result

Brest 40.13% (-0.08)
Draw 27.54%
Toulouse 32.33% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.14%

Goals

Over 1.5 73.29% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 26.71% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 48.57% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 51.43% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 26.63%
Under 3.5 73.37%
Over 4.5 14.24%
Under 4.5 85.76%

First Half Winner

Brest 31.59%
Draw 43.46%
Toulouse 24.95%

Team To Score First

Brest 49.89%
No Goal 8.09%
Toulouse 42.02%

Corners

Over 8 52.17% (+0.08)
Equal 8 12.4%
Under 8 35.43% (-0.08)
Over 9 40.08% (+0.08)
Equal 9 12.1% (+0.02)
Under 9 47.83% (-0.08)
Over 10.5 29.29% (+0.06)
Under 10.5 70.71% (-0.06)

Brest Goals

Over 1.5 38.97% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 61.03% (+0.08)
Over 2.5 15.9% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 84.1% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 5.12% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 94.88% (+0.01)

Toulouse Goals

Over 0.5 66.95% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 33.05% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 32.97% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 67.03% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 12.04% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 87.96% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 3.6% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 96.4% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Brest 40.12%
Draw 27.55%
Toulouse 32.33%
Brest
1-0 @ 10%
2-1 @ 8.76% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 6.75% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 3.93% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 3.24% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.47%
Other @ 4.97% (-0.03)
Total : 40.12%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.67%
0-0 @ 8.09%
2-2 @ 5.5%
3-3 @ 1.14%
Other @ 0.15% (+0.01)
Total : 27.55%
Toulouse
0-1 @ 8.62% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 7.66%
0-2 @ 5.3% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.97% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 2.27%
2-3 @ 2.06%
Other @ 3.45% (+0.02)
Total : 32.33%

Head to Head

Ligue 1
Jan 25, 2026 4.15pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT Stade Francis-Le Ble
  • Pathé Mboup 46' yellowcard
  • Junior Dina Ebimbe 73' yellowcard
  • Hamidou Makalou 83' yellowcard
  • goal Pape Demba Diop 27'
  • goal Yann Gboho 43'
  • yellowcard Julián Vignolo 80'
  • yellowcard Alexis Vossah 90'
Ligue 1
Aug 24, 2025 4.15pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Ligue 1 Gameweek 27
Mar 30, 2025 2.00pm
2
4
HT : 0 2
FT Stadium de Toulouse (Toulouse)
  • Vincent Sierro 65' goal
  • Joshua King 78' goal
  • goal Justin Bourgault 22'
  • yellowcard Kenny Lala 24'
  • goal Mathias Pereira Lage 26'
  • yellowcard Pierre Lees-Melou 28'
  • goal Kamory Doumbia 62'
  • yellowcard Mathias Pereira Lage 68'
  • yellowcard Marco Bizot 86'
  • yellowcard Tolikpaley Luc Evrad Zogbe 87'
  • goal Mahdi Camara 90'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 5
Sep 22, 2024 4.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stade Francis-Le Ble
  • Mama Balde 21' goal
  • Mathias Pereira Lage 34' yellowcard
  • Eric Roy 36' redcard
  • Eric Roy 36' yellowcard
  • Romain Faivre 90'+1' goal
  • yellowcard Cristian Casseres Jr 19'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 34
May 19, 2024 8.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 0
FT Stadium de Toulouse (Toulouse)
  • Christian Mawissa 53' yellowcard
  • goal Mahdi Camara 48'
  • goal Jordan Amavi 54'
  • yellowcard Mathias Pereira Lage 79'
  • yellowcard Jordan Amavi 83'
  • goal Kenny Lala 90'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 8
Oct 8, 2023 2.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Stade Francis-Le Ble
  • Mahdi Camara 45'+5' yellowcard
  • Lilian Brassier 70' yellowcard
  • Martin Satriano 90'+2' goal
  • yellowcard Stijn Spierings 10'
  • goal Frank Magri 27'
  • yellowcard Frank Magri 79'