Ligue 1 Gameweek 2
Aug 29, 2026 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT Stade Francis-Le Ble
  • Kamory Doumbia 18' goal
  • Bradley Locko 31' yellowcard
  • Pathé Mboup 44' yellowcard
  • Ludovic Ajorque 90'+5' goal
  • goal Jacen Russell-Rowe 9'
  • yellowcard Cristian Cásseres Jr. 45'+3'
  • goal Christ Tapé 62'
  • yellowcard Niklas Schmidt 89'
  • yellowcard Rasmus Nicolaisen 90'+4'

Brest vs Toulouse - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Brest

All competitions
Last game
Aug 22, 2026 7.45pm
Le Mans 2 - 2 Brest
Goals scored
4
Top scorer
Kamory Doumbia

Toulouse

All competitions
Last game
Aug 22, 2026 7.45pm
Toulouse 0 - 2 Lyon
Goals scored
2
Top scorer
Jacen Russell-Rowe

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brest win with a probability of 40.1%. A win for Toulouse had a probability of 32.33% and a draw had a probability of 27.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brest win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.77%) and 2-0 (6.76%). The likeliest Toulouse win was 0-1 (8.64%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.

Result

Brest 40.1% ▲ (+0.04)
Draw 27.57% ▲ (+0.04)
Toulouse 32.33% ▼ (-0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.08% ▼ (-0.03)

Goals

Over 1.5 73.28% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 1.5 26.72% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 2.5 48.54% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 2.5 51.43% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 3.5 26.57%
Under 3.5 73.43% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 4.5 14.21% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 4.5 85.79% ▼ (-0.01)

First Half Winner

Brest 31.67% ▲ (+0.04)
Draw 43.4% ▼ (-0.03)
Toulouse 24.93% ▼ (-0.02)

Team To Score First

Brest 49.9% ▼ (-0.03)
No Goal 8.11% ▲ (+0.01)
Toulouse 41.99% ▲ (+0.02)

Corners

Over 8 52.33% ▲ (+0.08)
Equal 8 12.4%
Under 8 35.27% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 9 40.22% ▲ (+0.08)
Equal 9 12.11% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 9 47.67% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 10.5 29.41% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 10.5 70.59% ▼ (-0.07)

Brest Goals

Over 1.5 38.96% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 1.5 61.04% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 2.5 15.88% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 2.5 84.12% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 5.11% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 3.5 94.89% ▼ (-0.02)

Toulouse Goals

Over 0.5 66.96% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 0.5 33.04% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 1.5 32.95% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 1.5 67.05% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 2.5 12.01% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 2.5 87.99% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 3.5 3.59%
Under 3.5 96.41%

Score analysis

Brest 40.1%
Draw 27.58%
Toulouse 32.33%
Brest
1-0 @ 9.98% ▼ (-0.01)
2-1 @ 8.77% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 6.76% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 3.92%
3-0 @ 3.24%
3-2 @ 2.47% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 4.96% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 40.1%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.68% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 8.11% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.5%
3-3 @ 1.14%
Other @ 0.15% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 27.58%
Toulouse
0-1 @ 8.64%
1-2 @ 7.67% ▼ (-0.03)
0-2 @ 5.3% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.95% ▼ (-0.03)
0-3 @ 2.28% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.05% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 3.44% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 32.33%

Head to Head

Ligue 1
Jan 25, 2026 4.15pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT Stade Francis-Le Ble
  • Pathé Mboup 46' yellowcard
  • Junior Dina Ebimbe 73' yellowcard
  • Hamidou Makalou 83' yellowcard
  • goal Pape Demba Diop 27'
  • goal Yann Gboho 43'
  • yellowcard Julián Vignolo 80'
  • yellowcard Alexis Vossah 90'
Ligue 1
Aug 24, 2025 4.15pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Ligue 1 Gameweek 27
Mar 30, 2025 2.00pm
2
4
HT : 0 2
FT Stadium de Toulouse (Toulouse)
  • Vincent Sierro 65' goal
  • Joshua King 78' goal
  • goal Justin Bourgault 22'
  • yellowcard Kenny Lala 24'
  • goal Mathias Pereira Lage 26'
  • yellowcard Pierre Lees-Melou 28'
  • goal Kamory Doumbia 62'
  • yellowcard Mathias Pereira Lage 68'
  • yellowcard Marco Bizot 86'
  • yellowcard Tolikpaley Luc Evrad Zogbe 87'
  • goal Mahdi Camara 90'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 5
Sep 22, 2024 4.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stade Francis-Le Ble
  • Mama Balde 21' goal
  • Mathias Pereira Lage 34' yellowcard
  • Eric Roy 36' redcard
  • Eric Roy 36' yellowcard
  • Romain Faivre 90'+1' goal
  • yellowcard Cristian Casseres Jr 19'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 34
May 19, 2024 8.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 0
FT Stadium de Toulouse (Toulouse)
  • Christian Mawissa 53' yellowcard
  • goal Mahdi Camara 48'
  • goal Jordan Amavi 54'
  • yellowcard Mathias Pereira Lage 79'
  • yellowcard Jordan Amavi 83'
  • goal Kenny Lala 90'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 8
Oct 8, 2023 2.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Stade Francis-Le Ble
  • Mahdi Camara 45'+5' yellowcard
  • Lilian Brassier 70' yellowcard
  • Martin Satriano 90'+2' goal
  • yellowcard Stijn Spierings 10'
  • goal Frank Magri 27'
  • yellowcard Frank Magri 79'