Ligue 1
Lorient
May 17, 2026 8.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Stade Yves Allainmat - Le Moustoir
Le Havre
  • Bamba Dieng 45'+5' yellowcard
  • Bamba Dieng 45'+6' yellowcard
  • Karim Dermane 66' yellowcard
  • Aiyegun Tosin 66' yellowcard
  • Arthur Avom 66' yellowcard
  • Arthur Avom 67' yellowcard
  • Karim Dermane 67' yellowcard
  • Aiyegun Tosin 67' yellowcard
  • Bamo Meïté 73' yellowcard
  • Sambou Soumano 81' yellowcard
  • goal Abdoulaye Faye 33' (OG)
  • yellowcard Timothée Pembélé 46'
  • goal Issa Soumaré 62'
  • yellowcard Simon Ebonog 73'
  • yellowcard Loïc Nego 73'
  • yellowcard Felix Mambimbi 85'
  • yellowcard Georges Gomis 90'+3'

Lorient vs Le Havre - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Lorient

All competitions
Last game
May 10, 2026 8.00pm
Metz 0 - 4 Lorient
Goals scored
48
Top scorer
Bamba Dieng

Le Havre

All competitions
Last game
May 10, 2026 8.00pm
Le Havre 0 - 1 Marseille
Goals scored
32
Top scorer
Issa Soumare

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lorient win with a probability of 47.88%. A win for Le Havre had a probability of 26.3% and a draw had a probability of 25.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lorient win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.24%) and 2-0 (8.74%). The likeliest Le Havre win was 0-1 (7.52%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.

Result

Lorient 47.88% ▲ (+0.58)
Draw 25.85% ▼ (-0.40)
Le Havre 26.3% ▼ (-0.11)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.84% ▼ (-0.23)

Goals

Over 1.5 72.95% ▼ (-0.18)
Under 1.5 27.05% ▲ (+0.18)
Over 2.5 48.73% ▼ (-0.68)
Under 2.5 51.27% ▲ (+0.68)
Over 3.5 27.64% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 3.5 72.36% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 4.5 15.43% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 4.5 84.57% ▼ (-0.03)

First Half Winner

Lorient 34.64% ▲ (+0.01)
Draw 44.42% ▼ (-0.49)
Le Havre 20.95% ▲ (+0.49)

Team To Score First

Lorient 54.59% ▲ (+0.41)
No Goal 7.9%
Le Havre 37.51% ▼ (-0.40)

Corners

Over 8 62.18% ▲ (+4.54)
Equal 8 10.98% ▼ (-0.64)
Under 8 26.84% ▼ (-3.90)
Over 9 50.61% ▲ (+4.82)
Equal 9 11.57% ▼ (-0.27)
Under 9 37.82% ▼ (-4.54)
Over 10.5 39.43% ▲ (+4.68)
Under 10.5 60.57% ▼ (-4.67)

Lorient Goals

Over 1.5 44.65% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 1.5 55.35% ▼ (-0.11)
Over 2.5 19.5% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 2.5 80.5% ▲ (+0.10)
Over 3.5 7.07% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 3.5 92.93% ▼ (-0.05)

Le Havre Goals

Over 0.5 60.63% ▼ (-0.33)
Under 0.5 39.37% ▲ (+0.33)
Over 1.5 27.65% ▼ (-0.68)
Under 1.5 72.35% ▲ (+0.68)
Over 2.5 9.87% ▼ (-0.42)
Under 2.5 90.13% ▲ (+0.41)
Over 3.5 2.72% ▼ (-0.12)
Under 3.5 97.28% ▲ (+0.13)

Score analysis

Lorient 47.88%
Draw 25.85%
Le Havre 26.3%
Lorient
1-0 @ 11.66% ▲ (+0.08)
2-1 @ 9.24% ▲ (+0.06)
2-0 @ 8.74% ▲ (+0.31)
3-1 @ 4.55% ▲ (+0.05)
3-0 @ 4.21% ▼ (-0.13)
3-2 @ 2.59% ▲ (+0.07)
Other @ 6.89% ▲ (+0.17)
Total : 47.88%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.67% ▲ (+0.07)
0-0 @ 7.9%
2-2 @ 5.02% ▼ (-0.21)
3-3 @ 1.08% ▼ (-0.13)
Other @ 0.18% ▼ (-0.12)
Total : 25.85%
Le Havre
0-1 @ 7.52% ▲ (+0.19)
1-2 @ 6.36% ▼ (-0.24)
0-2 @ 3.81% ▲ (+0.11)
1-3 @ 2.64% ▲ (+0.10)
2-3 @ 2.15% ▲ (+0.05)
0-3 @ 1.28% ▼ (-0.30)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 26.3%

Head to Head

Ligue 1
Le Havre
Sep 21, 2025 4.15pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Lorient
Ligue 1 Gameweek 19
Lorient
Jan 28, 2024 2.00pm
3
3
HT : 1 1
FT Stade Yves Allainmat - Le Moustoir
Le Havre
  • Panos Katseris 17' yellowcard
  • Imran Louza 33' goal
  • Theo Le Bris 36' yellowcard
  • Julien Ponceau 42' yellowcard
  • Imran Louza 45' yellowcard
  • Ayman Kari 51' goal
  • Mohamed Bamba 90'+2' goal
  • goal Emmanuel Sabbi 15'
  • yellowcard Etienne Youte Kinkoue 26'
  • yellowcard Emmanuel Sabbi 43'
  • yellowcard Yassine Kechta 48'
  • yellowcard Christopher Operi 73'
  • goal Andre Ayew 85'
  • goal Andre Ayew 90'+4'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 4
Le Havre
Sep 3, 2023 2.00pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stade Oceane
Lorient
  • Daler Kuzyaev 53' goal
  • Nabil Alioui 70' goal
  • Nolan Mbemba 90'+6' goal
Ligue 2 Gameweek 29
Lorient
Mar 16, 2020 7.45pm
Stade Yves Allainmat-Le Moustoir
Le Havre
Ligue 2 Gameweek 11
Le Havre
Oct 19, 2019 2.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 2
FT Stade Océane (Le Havre)
Lorient
  • Jean-Pascal Fontaine 31' yellowcard
  • Tinotenda Kadewere 45' goal
  • Fernand Mayembo 53' yellowcard
  • Alexandre Bonnet 77' yellowcard
  • Eric Dina 77' yellowcard
  • Jamal Thiare 83' goal
  • goal Umut Bozok 1'
  • yellowcard Julien Laporte 28'
  • goal Pierre-Yves Hamel 33'
  • yellowcard Enzo Le Fee 38'
  • yellowcard Pierre-Yves Hamel 91'
Ligue 2
Le Havre
May 17, 2019 7.45pm
2
3
HT : 1 2
FT
Lorient
  • Barnabas Bese 37' goal
  • Zinedine Ferhat 73' goal
  • goal Pierre-Yves Hamel 16'
  • goal Mamadou Kamissoko 45'
  • yellowcard Alexis Claude Maurice 69'
  • goal Yoane Wissa 74'

Form Data

Metz 0 - 4 Lorient
PSG 2 - 2 Lorient
Lorient 2 - 3 Strasbourg
Lorient 2 - 0 Marseille
Lyon 2 - 0 Lorient
Lorient 1 - 1 Paris FC
Le Havre 0 - 1 Marseille
Lille 1 - 1 Le Havre
Le Havre 4 - 4 Metz
Angers 1 - 1 Le Havre
Nice 1 - 1 Le Havre
Le Havre 1 - 1 Auxerre