Ligue 1 Gameweek 4
Sep 13, 2026 4.15pm
2
2
HT : 2 1
FT Stade de La Pincenardière
  • Noa Boissé 15' yellowcard
  • Jean Vercruysse 28' yellowcard
  • Adil Ali Mohamed Bourabaa 32' goal
  • Lucas Calodat 44' goal
  • yellowcard Michaël Cuisance 20'
  • yellowcard Andrija Bulatovic 38'
  • goal Abdallah Sima 45'+2'
  • goal Franjo Ivanović 51'
  • yellowcard Florian Thauvin 53'

Le Mans vs Lens - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Le Mans

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last game
Sep 5, 2026 7.45pm
Nice 1 - 1 Le Mans
Goals scored
7
Top scorer
Louis Mafouta

Lens

All competitions
Last game
Sep 5, 2026 4.15pm
Lens 0 - 1 Lorient
Goals scored
8
Top scorer
Florian Thauvin

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 42.57%. A win for Le Mans had a probability of 30.77% and a draw had a probability of 26.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.86%) and 0-2 (7.01%). The likeliest Le Mans win was 1-0 (8.32%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.

Result

Le Mans 30.77%
Draw 26.63%
Lens 42.57%

Both Teams to Score: 

53.82%

Goals

Over 1.5 74%
Under 1.5 26%
Over 2.5 49.52%
Under 2.5 50.48%
Over 3.5 27.95%
Under 3.5 72.05%
Over 4.5 15.28%
Under 4.5 84.72%

First Half Winner

Le Mans 26.65%
Draw 40.67%
Lens 32.67%

Team To Score First

Le Mans 40.67%
No Goal 7.48%
Lens 51.85%

Corners

Over 8 56.66%
Equal 8 11.29%
Under 8 32.04%
Over 9 45.29%
Equal 9 11.38%
Under 9 43.34%
Over 10.5 34.74%
Under 10.5 65.26%

Le Mans Goals

Over 1.5 32%
Under 1.5 68%
Over 2.5 11.29%
Under 2.5 88.71%
Over 3.5 3.4%
Under 3.5 96.6%

Lens Goals

Over 0.5 73.95%
Under 0.5 26.05%
Over 1.5 41.06%
Under 1.5 58.94%
Over 2.5 17.77%
Under 2.5 82.23%
Over 3.5 6.05%
Under 3.5 93.95%

Score analysis

Le Mans 30.77%
Draw 26.64%
Lens 42.58%
Le Mans
1-0 @ 8.32%
2-1 @ 7.39%
2-0 @ 5.02%
3-1 @ 2.87%
3-2 @ 1.95%
3-0 @ 1.92%
Other @ 3.3%
Total : 30.77%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.44%
0-0 @ 7.48%
2-2 @ 5.47%
3-3 @ 1.15%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.64%
Lens
0-1 @ 10.19%
1-2 @ 8.86%
0-2 @ 7.01%
1-3 @ 4.34%
0-3 @ 3.4%
2-3 @ 2.83%
Other @ 5.95%
Total : 42.58%

Head to Head

Ligue 2 Gameweek 38
May 15, 2020 7.00pm
Stade Bollaert-Delelis
Ligue 2
Jul 27, 2019 2.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Bevic Moussiti-Oko 33' goal
  • Hamza Hafidi 71' yellowcard
  • goal Florian Sotoca 66'
  • goal Mounir Chouiar 84'