Ligue 1 Gameweek 4
Sep 13, 2026 4.15pm
Stade de La Pincenardière

Le Mans vs Lens - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Le Mans

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last game
Sep 5, 2026 7.45pm
Nice 1 - 1 Le Mans
Goals scored
5
Top scorer
Louis Mafouta

Lens

All competitions
Last game
Sep 5, 2026 4.15pm
Lens 0 - 1 Lorient
Goals scored
6
Top scorer
Florian Thauvin

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Lens win with a probability of 42.57%. A win for Le Mans has a probability of 30.77% and a draw has a probability of 26.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win is 0-1 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.86%) and 0-2 (7.01%). The likeliest Le Mans win is 1-0 (8.32%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.44%).

Result

Le Mans 30.77%
Draw 26.63%
Lens 42.57%

Both Teams to Score: 

53.82%

Goals

Over 1.5 74%
Under 1.5 26%
Over 2.5 49.52%
Under 2.5 50.48%
Over 3.5 27.95%
Under 3.5 72.05%
Over 4.5 15.28%
Under 4.5 84.72%

First Half Winner

Le Mans 26.65%
Draw 40.67%
Lens 32.67%

Team To Score First

Le Mans 40.67%
No Goal 7.48%
Lens 51.85%

Corners

Over 8 56.66%
Equal 8 11.29%
Under 8 32.04%
Over 9 45.29%
Equal 9 11.38%
Under 9 43.34%
Over 10.5 34.74%
Under 10.5 65.26%

Le Mans Goals

Over 1.5 32%
Under 1.5 68%
Over 2.5 11.29%
Under 2.5 88.71%
Over 3.5 3.4%
Under 3.5 96.6%

Lens Goals

Over 0.5 73.95%
Under 0.5 26.05%
Over 1.5 41.06%
Under 1.5 58.94%
Over 2.5 17.77%
Under 2.5 82.23%
Over 3.5 6.05%
Under 3.5 93.95%

Score analysis

Le Mans 30.77%
Draw 26.64%
Lens 42.58%
Le Mans
1-0 @ 8.32%
2-1 @ 7.39%
2-0 @ 5.02%
3-1 @ 2.87%
3-2 @ 1.95%
3-0 @ 1.92%
Other @ 3.3%
Total : 30.77%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.44%
0-0 @ 7.48%
2-2 @ 5.47%
3-3 @ 1.15%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.64%
Lens
0-1 @ 10.19%
1-2 @ 8.86%
0-2 @ 7.01%
1-3 @ 4.34%
0-3 @ 3.4%
2-3 @ 2.83%
Other @ 5.95%
Total : 42.58%

Head to Head

Ligue 2 Gameweek 38
May 15, 2020 7.00pm
Stade Bollaert-Delelis
Ligue 2
Jul 27, 2019 2.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Bevic Moussiti-Oko 33' goal
  • Hamza Hafidi 71' yellowcard
  • goal Florian Sotoca 66'
  • goal Mounir Chouiar 84'