Ligue 1 Gameweek 5
Sep 20, 2026 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT Stade Vélodrome
  • Timothy Weah 32' yellowcard
  • Angel Gomes 72' goal
  • Timothy Weah 77' redcard
  • Keyliane Abdallah 81' yellowcard
  • Angel Gomes 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nuno Mendes  39'
  • goal Ferran Torres 66'
  • goal Marquinhos  74'

Marseille vs Paris Saint-Germain - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Marseille

All competitions
Last game
Sep 11, 2026 7.45pm
Rennes 1 - 0 Marseille
Goals scored
7
Top scorer
Amine Gouiri

Paris Saint-Germain

All competitions
Last game
Sep 13, 2026 7.45pm
Brest 0 - 1 PSG
Goals scored
8
Top scorer
Ferran Torres

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 47.43%. A win for Marseille had a probability of 29.19% and a draw had a probability of 23.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.66%) and 0-2 (6.98%). The likeliest Marseille win was 2-1 (7.21%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.

Result

Marseille 29.19% ▼ (-0.08)
Draw 23.35% ▼ (-0.03)
Paris Saint-Germain 47.43% ▲ (+0.11)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.99% ▲ (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 80.97% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 1.5 19.03% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 2.5 59.91% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 2.5 40.09% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 36.64% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 3.5 63.36% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 4.5 22.29% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 4.5 77.71% ▼ (-0.05)

First Half Winner

Marseille 25.96%
Draw 35.47%
Paris Saint-Germain 38.57%

Team To Score First

Marseille 44.16%
No Goal 5.1%
Paris Saint-Germain 50.74%

Corners

Over 8 50.41%
Equal 8 12.47%
Under 8 37.12%
Over 9 38.42%
Equal 9 11.99%
Under 9 49.59%
Over 10.5 27.87%
Under 10.5 72.13%

Marseille Goals

Over 1.5 34.86% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 1.5 65.14% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 2.5 13.8% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 2.5 86.2% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 3.5 4.61% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 3.5 95.39% ▲ (+0.02)

Paris Saint-Germain Goals

Over 0.5 78.54% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 0.5 21.46% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 1.5 50.39% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 1.5 49.61% ▼ (-0.11)
Over 2.5 24.95% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 2.5 75.05% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 3.5 9.91% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 3.5 90.09% ▼ (-0.04)

Score analysis

Marseille 29.19%
Draw 23.36%
Paris Saint-Germain 47.44%
Marseille
2-1 @ 7.21% ▼ (-0.03)
1-0 @ 6.26% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 3.87% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 3.08% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.55%
3-0 @ 1.91%
Other @ 4.31% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 29.19%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.2% ▼ (-0.04)
2-2 @ 6.11%
0-0 @ 5.1%
3-3 @ 1.65% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 23.36%
Paris Saint-Germain
1-2 @ 9.8% ▲ (+0.02)
0-1 @ 7.66% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 6.98% ▲ (+0.03)
1-3 @ 5.17% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 4.35% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 3.87% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 9.61% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 47.44%

Head to Head

Ligue 1 Gameweek 21
Feb 8, 2026 7.45pm
5
0
HT : 4 0
FT Parc des Princes
  • Ousmane Dembele 12' goal
  • Ousmane Dembélé 12' goal
  • Ousmane Dembele 37' goal
  • Ousmane Dembélé 37' goal
  • Khvicha Kvaratskhelia 62' yellowcard
  • Facundo Medina 64' goal
  • Khvicha Kvaratskhelia 66' goal
  • Lee Kang-in 68' yellowcard
  • Kang-in Lee 68' yellowcard
  • Lee Kang-in 74' goal
  • Kang-in Lee 74' goal
  • Pedro Fernández Sarmiento 75' yellowcard
  • Lucas Hernandez 75' yellowcard
  • Goncalo Ramos 75' yellowcard
  • Pedro Fernández 75' yellowcard
  • Lucas Hernández 75' yellowcard
  • Gonçalo Ramos 75' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Igor Paixao 46'
  • yellowcard Igor Paixão 46'
  • yellowcard Himad Abdelli 62'
  • yellowcard Bilal Nadir 80'
Trophee des Champions Gameweek 29
Jan 8, 2026 6.00pm
2
2
ET Jaber Al-Ahmad International Stadium
  • Ousmane Dembele 13' goal
  • Bradley Barcola 72' yellowcard
  • Goncalo Ramos 89' yellowcard
  • Senny Mayulu 89' yellowcard
  • Goncalo Ramos 90' yellowcard
  • Senny Mayulu 90' yellowcard
  • Goncalo Ramos 90'+5' goal
  • yellowcard Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang 67'
  • yellowcard Hamed Traore 67'
  • yellowcard Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang 68'
  • yellowcard Hamed Traore 68'
  • yellowcard Mason Greenwood 76'
  • yellowcard Michael Murillo 77'
  • yellowcard Michael Murillo 78'
  • goal William Pacho 87' (OG)
  • yellowcard Matt O'Riley 90'
  • yellowcard Matt O'Riley 90'+2'
Ligue 1
Sep 22, 2025 7.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Ligue 1 Gameweek 26
Mar 16, 2025 7.45pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT Parc des Princes
  • Ousmane Dembele 17' goal
  • Nuno Mendes 26' yellowcard
  • Nuno Mendes 42' goal
  • Pol Lirola 76' goal
  • goal Amine Gouiri 51'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 9
Oct 27, 2024 7.45pm
0
3
HT : 0 3
FT Stade Velodrome
  • Pierre-Emile Hojbjerg 18' yellowcard
  • Amine Harit 20' redcard
  • goal Joao Neves 7'
  • goal Leonardo Balerdi 29' (OG)
  • goal Bradley Barcola 40'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 27
Mar 31, 2024 7.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Stade Velodrome
  • yellowcard Lucas Beraldo 15'
  • yellowcard Lucas Hernandez 38'
  • yellowcard Danilo Pereira 40'
  • redcard Lucas Beraldo 40'
  • yellowcard Gianluigi Donnarumma 45'
  • goal Vitinha 53'
  • goal Goncalo Ramos 85'