Champions League Gameweek 2
Oct 14, 2026 8.00pm
Etihad Stadium

Manchester City vs Paris Saint-Germain - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Manchester City

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Sep 8, 2026 8.00pm
Porto 0 - 2 Man City

Paris Saint-Germain

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Sep 9, 2026 8.00pm
PSG 6 - 1 Slovan Bratislava

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Manchester City win with a probability of 44.84%. A win for Paris Saint-Germain has a probability of 33.42% and a draw has a probability of 21.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (7.34%) and 2-0 (5.61%). The likeliest Paris Saint-Germain win is 1-2 (7.6%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.6%).

Result

Manchester City 44.84%
Draw 21.75%
Paris Saint-Germain 33.42%

Both Teams to Score: 

61.34%

Goals

Over 1.5 83.14%
Under 1.5 16.86%
Over 2.5 63.41%
Under 2.5 36.59%
Over 3.5 40.6%
Under 3.5 59.4%
Over 4.5 25.62%
Under 4.5 74.38%

First Half Winner

Manchester City 38.02%
Draw 33.48%
Paris Saint-Germain 28.5%

Team To Score First

Manchester City 58.34%
No Goal 3.99%
Paris Saint-Germain 37.67%

Corners

Over 8 53.46%
Equal 8 10.69%
Under 8 35.85%
Over 9 42.91%
Equal 9 10.55%
Under 9 46.54%
Over 10.5 33.27%
Under 10.5 66.73%

Manchester City Goals

Over 1.5 49.15%
Under 1.5 50.85%
Over 2.5 24.94%
Under 2.5 75.06%
Over 3.5 10.8%
Under 3.5 89.2%

Paris Saint-Germain Goals

Over 0.5 68.81%
Under 0.5 31.19%
Over 1.5 39.67%
Under 1.5 60.33%
Over 2.5 17.74%
Under 2.5 82.26%
Over 3.5 6.35%
Under 3.5 93.65%

Score analysis

Manchester City 44.84%
Draw 21.75%
Paris Saint-Germain 33.42%
Manchester City
2-1 @ 8.92%
1-0 @ 7.34%
2-0 @ 5.61%
3-1 @ 5.08%
3-0 @ 3.77%
3-2 @ 3.63%
Other @ 10.49%
Total : 44.84%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.6%
2-2 @ 6.19%
0-0 @ 3.99%
3-3 @ 1.66%
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 21.75%
Paris Saint-Germain
1-2 @ 7.6%
0-1 @ 5.54%
0-2 @ 4.51%
1-3 @ 3.71%
2-3 @ 3.49%
0-3 @ 2.53%
Other @ 6.04%
Total : 33.42%

Head to Head

Champions League
Jan 22, 2025 8.00pm
4
2
HT : 1 0
FT Parc des Princes
  • Nuno Mendes 23' yellowcard
  • Nuno Mendes 23' yellowcard
  • 45' goal
  • Ousmane Dembele 56' goal
  • Ousmane Dembele 56' goal
  • Bradley Barcola 60' goal
  • Bradley Barcola 60' goal
  • Joao Neves 79' goal
  • Joao Neves 79' goal
  • Goncalo Ramos 90'+3' goal
  • Goncalo Ramos 90'+3' goal
  • yellowcard Ruben Dias 10'
  • yellowcard Ruben Dias 10'
  • goal Jack Grealish 50'
  • goal Jack Grealish 50'
  • goal Erling Haaland 53'
  • goal Erling Haaland 53'
Champions League
Nov 24, 2021 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Rodri 55' yellowcard
  • Raheem Sterling 63' goal
  • Gabriel Jesus 76' goal
  • Joao Cancelo 80' yellowcard
  • Gabriel Jesus 90'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Kylian Mbappe 50'
Champions League
Sep 28, 2021 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Idrissa Gueye 8' goal
  • Lionel Messi 74' goal
  • Marco Verratti 77' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Joao Cancelo 24'
  • yellowcard Kevin De Bruyne 39'
Champions League
May 4, 2021 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Etihad Stadium
  • Riyad Mahrez 11' goal
  • Riyad Mahrez 63' goal
  • Oleksandr Zinchenko 72' yellowcard
  • Kevin De Bruyne 74' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ander Herrera 22'
  • redcard Angel di Maria 69'
  • yellowcard Marco Verratti 71'
  • yellowcard Presnel Kimpembe 87'
  • yellowcard Danilo Pereira 89'
Champions League
Apr 28, 2021 8.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT Parc des Princes
  • Marquinhos 15' goal
  • Leandro Paredes 70' yellowcard
  • Neymar 74' yellowcard
  • Idrissa Gueye 77' redcard
  • yellowcard Joao Cancelo 31'
  • goal Kevin De Bruyne 64'
  • goal Riyad Mahrez 71'
  • yellowcard Kevin De Bruyne 86'
Champions League
Apr 12, 2016 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Fernandinho 72' yellowcard
  • Kevin de Bruyne 76' goal
  • yellowcard Kevin Trapp 29'
  • yellowcard Javier Pastore 67'
  • yellowcard Gregory van der Wiel 68'