Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United Under-23s win with a probability of 41.76%. A win for Burnley Under-23s had a probability of 35.15% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United Under-23s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.54%) and 2-0 (5.59%). The likeliest Burnley Under-23s win was 1-2 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newcastle United Under-23s would win this match.
