Premier League 2 - Div 2 | Gameweek 16
Apr 23, 2021 at 3pm UK
 

Boro U23s
4 - 1
Villa U23s

Kavanagh (3', 8'), Gibson (33', 52')
Fletcher (81')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Sewell (80')
Walker (79')
Coverage of the Premier League 2 - Div 2 clash between Middlesbrough Under-23s and Aston Villa Under-23s.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough Under-23s win with a probability of 41.44%. A win for Aston Villa Under-23s had a probability of 36.5% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough Under-23s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.26%) and 3-1 (5.08%). The likeliest Aston Villa Under-23s win was 1-2 (7.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.03%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Middlesbrough Under-23s would win this match.

Result
Middlesbrough Under-23sDrawAston Villa Under-23s
41.44%22.06%36.5%
Both teams to score 68.95%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.87%31.13%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
47.46%52.54%
Middlesbrough Under-23s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.07%15.93%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.8%45.2%
Aston Villa Under-23s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.01%17.99%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.16%48.84%
Score Analysis
    Middlesbrough Under-23s 41.44%
    Aston Villa Under-23s 36.5%
    Draw 22.06%
Middlesbrough Under-23sDrawAston Villa Under-23s
2-1 @ 8.29%
1-0 @ 5.26%
3-1 @ 5.08%
2-0 @ 4.84%
3-2 @ 4.36%
3-0 @ 2.96%
4-1 @ 2.33%
4-2 @ 2%
4-0 @ 1.36%
4-3 @ 1.14%
Other @ 3.82%
Total : 41.44%
1-1 @ 9.03%
2-2 @ 7.11%
0-0 @ 2.87%
3-3 @ 2.49%
Other @ 0.56%
Total : 22.06%
1-2 @ 7.75%
0-1 @ 4.92%
1-3 @ 4.43%
0-2 @ 4.22%
2-3 @ 4.07%
0-3 @ 2.41%
1-4 @ 1.9%
2-4 @ 1.75%
3-4 @ 1.07%
0-4 @ 1.03%
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 36.5%