NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 3
Sep 4, 2021 at 3pm UK
Milltown

Warrenpoint
1 - 6
Glenavon

McCaffrey (11')
McCaffrey (61')
FT(HT: 1-4)
Campbell (12'), Fitzpatrick (20', 24'), Waterworth (42', 59'), Purkis (87')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Warrenpoint Town and Glenavon.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glenavon win with a probability of 50.43%. A win for Warrenpoint Town had a probability of 26.66% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Glenavon win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.25%) and 0-2 (7.53%). The likeliest Warrenpoint Town win was 2-1 (6.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-6 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Glenavon would win this match.

Result
Warrenpoint TownDrawGlenavon
26.66%22.91%50.43%
Both teams to score 60.36%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.82%40.18%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.45%62.55%
Warrenpoint Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.95%28.05%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.29%63.71%
Glenavon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.89%16.11%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.48%45.52%
Score Analysis
    Warrenpoint Town 26.66%
    Glenavon 50.43%
    Draw 22.9%
Warrenpoint TownDrawGlenavon
2-1 @ 6.67%
1-0 @ 5.74%
2-0 @ 3.65%
3-1 @ 2.83%
3-2 @ 2.58%
3-0 @ 1.55%
Other @ 3.65%
Total : 26.66%
1-1 @ 10.48%
2-2 @ 6.09%
0-0 @ 4.52%
3-3 @ 1.57%
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 22.9%
1-2 @ 9.57%
0-1 @ 8.25%
0-2 @ 7.53%
1-3 @ 5.83%
0-3 @ 4.58%
2-3 @ 3.7%
1-4 @ 2.66%
0-4 @ 2.09%
2-4 @ 1.69%
1-5 @ 0.97%
Other @ 3.55%
Total : 50.43%