Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Netherlands win with a probability of 50.6%. A win for Sweden had a probability of 26% and a draw had a probability of 23.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Netherlands win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.21%) and 2-0 (8.05%). The likeliest Sweden win was 1-2 (6.5%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.85%).