World Cup Gameweek 1
Netherlands
Jun 14, 2026 9.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT Dallas Stadium
Japan
  • Virgil van Dijk  51' goal
  • Crysencio Summerville 61' yellowcard
  • Crysencio Summerville 64' goal
  • Memphis Depay 83' yellowcard
  • Micky van de Ven 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Keito Nakamura 57'
  • goal Daichi Kamada 88'

Netherlands vs Japan - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

Netherlands

All competitions

Japan

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Netherlands win with a probability of 44%. A win for Japan had a probability of 30.5% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Netherlands win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.02%) and 2-0 (7.6%). The likeliest Japan win was 0-1 (8.19%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.

Result

Netherlands 44% ▼ (-0.30)
Draw 25.6% ▲ (+0.25)
Japan 30.5% ▲ (+0.11)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.95% ▼ (-0.75)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.88% ▼ (-0.72)
Under 1.5 25.12% ▲ (+0.72)
Over 2.5 50.2% ▼ (-1.00)
Under 2.5 49.8% ▲ (+1.00)
Over 3.5 28.25% ▼ (-0.86)
Under 3.5 71.75% ▲ (+0.85)
Over 4.5 15.47% ▼ (-0.64)
Under 4.5 84.53% ▲ (+0.65)

Netherlands Goals

Over 1.5 42.55% ▼ (-0.80)
Under 1.5 57.45% ▲ (+0.80)
Over 2.5 18.39% ▼ (-0.63)
Under 2.5 81.61% ▲ (+0.63)
Over 3.5 6.41% ▼ (-0.33)
Under 3.5 93.59% ▲ (+0.33)

Japan Goals

Over 0.5 65.44% ▼ (-0.19)
Under 0.5 34.56% ▲ (+0.20)
Over 1.5 31.57% ▼ (-0.40)
Under 1.5 68.43% ▲ (+0.41)
Over 2.5 11.35% ▼ (-0.27)
Under 2.5 88.65% ▲ (+0.28)
Over 3.5 3.3% ▼ (-0.12)
Under 3.5 96.7% ▲ (+0.11)

Score analysis

Netherlands 44%
Draw 25.6%
Japan 30.5%
Netherlands
1-0 @ 10.18% ▲ (+0.25)
2-1 @ 9.02% ▼ (-0.08)
2-0 @ 7.6% ▲ (+0.07)
3-1 @ 4.49% ▼ (-0.10)
3-0 @ 3.75% ▼ (-0.05)
3-2 @ 2.68% ▼ (-0.09)
Other @ 6.28% ▼ (-0.31)
Total : 44%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.17% ▲ (+0.16)
0-0 @ 6.85% ▲ (+0.26)
2-2 @ 5.39% ▼ (-0.11)
3-3 @ 1.06% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 0.13% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 25.6%
Japan
0-1 @ 8.19% ▲ (+0.23)
1-2 @ 7.24% ▼ (-0.03)
0-2 @ 4.91% ▲ (+0.09)
1-3 @ 2.9% ▼ (-0.04)
2-3 @ 2.15% ▼ (-0.08)
0-3 @ 1.94%
Other @ 3.17% ▼ (-0.11)
Total : 30.5%

Head to Head

International Friendlies
Japan
Nov 16, 2013 12.15pm
2
2
HT : 1 2
FT
Netherlands
  • Yuya Osako 44' goal
  • Keisuke Honda 59' goal
  • Yasuyuki Konno 81' yellowcard
  • goal Rafael van der Vaart 12'
  • goal Arjen Robben 38'
  • yellowcard Ron Vlaar 87'
World Cup
Netherlands
Jun 19, 2010 12.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Moses Mabhida Stadium
Japan
  • Wesley Sneijder 53' goal

Form Data

Netherlands 2 - 1 Uzbekistan
Netherlands 0 - 1 Algeria
Netherlands 1 - 1 Ecuador
Netherlands 2 - 1 Norway
Netherlands 0 - 0 Lithuania
Netherlands 4 - 0 Lithuania
Japan 1 - 0 Iceland
England 0 - 1 Japan
Scotland 0 - 1 Japan
Japan 3 - 0 Bolivia
Japan 2 - 0 Ghana
Japan 3 - 2 Brazil

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