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UEFA Nations League

Russia national football team
Nations League | League B
Oct 11, 2020 at 7.45pm UK
 
Turkey national football team

Russia
1 - 1
Turkey

Miranchuk (28')
Semenov (40')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Karaman (62')
Tekdemir (27'), Under (49'), Kabak (74'), Calhanoglu (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's UEFA Nations League clash between Russia and Turkey, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Russia win with a probability of 53.37%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Turkey had a probability of 22.76%.

The most likely scoreline for a Russia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.74%) and 2-0 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.33%), while for a Turkey win it was 0-1 (6.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.

Result
RussiaDrawTurkey
53.37%23.86%22.76%
Both teams to score 52.91%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.93%48.07%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.77%70.23%
Russia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.06%17.94%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.23%48.77%
Turkey Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.48%35.51%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.72%72.28%
Score Analysis
    Russia 53.37%
    Turkey 22.76%
    Draw 23.86%
RussiaDrawTurkey
1-0 @ 10.94%
2-1 @ 9.74%
2-0 @ 9.4%
3-1 @ 5.58%
3-0 @ 5.39%
3-2 @ 2.89%
4-1 @ 2.4%
4-0 @ 2.31%
4-2 @ 1.24%
Other @ 3.49%
Total : 53.37%
1-1 @ 11.33%
0-0 @ 6.37%
2-2 @ 5.04%
3-3 @ 1%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 23.86%
0-1 @ 6.6%
1-2 @ 5.87%
0-2 @ 3.42%
1-3 @ 2.02%
2-3 @ 1.74%
0-3 @ 1.18%
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 22.76%