UEFA Nations League header

UEFA Nations League

Norway national football team
Nations League | League B
Sep 4, 2020 at 7.45pm UK
Ullevaal Stadion
Austria national football team

Norway
1 - 2
Austria

Braut Haaland (66')
Normann (51'), Linnes (76'), Sorloth (78'), Braut Haaland (86')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Gregoritsch (35'), Sabitzer (54' pen.)
Lainer (67'), Dragovic (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's UEFA Nations League fixture between Norway and Austria, including team news and injury news.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norway win with a probability of 46.1%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Austria had a probability of 26.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norway win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.96%) and 2-1 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.75%), while for an Austria win it was 0-1 (9.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.

Result
NorwayDrawAustria
46.1%27.17%26.74%
Both teams to score 46.99%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.26%57.74%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.52%78.48%
Norway Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.97%25.03%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.31%59.69%
Austria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.67%37.33%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.89%74.11%
Score Analysis
    Norway 46.1%
    Austria 26.74%
    Draw 27.16%
NorwayDrawAustria
1-0 @ 12.94%
2-0 @ 8.96%
2-1 @ 8.83%
3-0 @ 4.14%
3-1 @ 4.08%
3-2 @ 2.01%
4-0 @ 1.43%
4-1 @ 1.41%
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 46.1%
1-1 @ 12.75%
0-0 @ 9.34%
2-2 @ 4.35%
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 27.16%
0-1 @ 9.21%
1-2 @ 6.28%
0-2 @ 4.54%
1-3 @ 2.06%
0-3 @ 1.49%
2-3 @ 1.43%
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 26.74%