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UEFA Nations League

Northern Ireland national football team
Nations League | League B
Oct 11, 2020 at 7.45pm UK
Windsor Park
Austria national football team

Northern Ireland
0 - 1
Austria


McLaughlin (79'), Thompson (86')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Gregoritsch (42')
Grbic (90+2')

The Match

Match Report

Northern Ireland's Nations League woes continued as they lost for the sixth time in seven matches in this competition.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's UEFA Nations League clash between Northern Ireland and Austria, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austria win with a probability of 73.5%. A draw had a probability of 17.9% and a win for Northern Ireland had a probability of 8.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Austria win was 0-2 with a probability of 15.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (14.61%) and 0-3 (10.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.2%), while for a Northern Ireland win it was 1-0 (3.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 14.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Austria would win this match.

Result
Northern IrelandDrawAustria
8.6%17.9%73.5%
Both teams to score 37.72%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.86%50.14%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.89%72.11%
Northern Ireland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
42.94%57.06%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
10.92%89.08%
Austria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.85%12.15%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.23%37.77%
Score Analysis
    Northern Ireland 8.6%
    Austria 73.49%
    Draw 17.9%
Northern IrelandDrawAustria
1-0 @ 3.89%
2-1 @ 2.3%
2-0 @ 1.09%
Other @ 1.31%
Total : 8.6%
1-1 @ 8.2%
0-0 @ 6.94%
2-2 @ 2.42%
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 17.9%
0-2 @ 15.4%
0-1 @ 14.61%
0-3 @ 10.82%
1-2 @ 8.64%
1-3 @ 6.07%
0-4 @ 5.7%
1-4 @ 3.2%
0-5 @ 2.4%
2-3 @ 1.7%
1-5 @ 1.35%
Other @ 3.59%
Total : 73.49%