UEFA Nations League

Nations League | League C

Sep 4, 2020 at 5pm UK

Vilniaus LFF stadionas

Lithuania
0 - 2
Kazakhstan

Palionis (22'), Mikoliunas (33'), Sirgedas (45+1'), Baravykas (82')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Zaynutdinov (3'), Kuat (86')
Maliy (49'), Abiken (69')

Coverage of the Nations League League C clash between Lithuania and Kazakhstan.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kazakhstan win with a probability of 48.35%. A win for Lithuania had a probability of 26.96% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kazakhstan win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.46%) and 0-2 (8.27%). The likeliest Lithuania win was 1-0 (7.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kazakhstan would win this match.

Result
Lithuania	Draw	Kazakhstan
26.96%	24.69%	48.35%

Both teams to score 54.58%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.07%

47.93%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.89%

70.1%

Lithuania Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.12%

31.88%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.67%

68.33%

Kazakhstan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.13%

19.87%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.02%

51.98%

Score Analysis

Lithuania 26.96%

Kazakhstan 48.34%

Draw 24.69%

Lithuania	Draw	Kazakhstan
1-0 @ 7.24% 2-1 @ 6.69% 2-0 @ 4.14% 3-1 @ 2.55% 3-2 @ 2.06% 3-0 @ 1.58% Other @ 2.71% Total : 26.96%	1-1 @ 11.7% 0-0 @ 6.34% 2-2 @ 5.4% 3-3 @ 1.11% Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.69%	0-1 @ 10.23% 1-2 @ 9.46% 0-2 @ 8.27% 1-3 @ 5.09% 0-3 @ 4.46% 2-3 @ 2.91% 1-4 @ 2.06% 0-4 @ 1.8% 2-4 @ 1.18% Other @ 2.89% Total : 48.34%