Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 52.88%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Wealdstone had a probability of 23.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.74%) and 2-0 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.25%), while for a Wealdstone win it was 0-1 (6.5%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sutton United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sutton United | Draw | Wealdstone |
| 52.88% | 23.74% | 23.38% |
| Both teams to score 54.05% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.07% | 46.93% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.82% | 69.18% |
| Sutton United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.3% | 17.7% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.65% | 48.35% |
| Wealdstone Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.67% | 34.33% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.97% | 71.03% |
| Score Analysis |
| Sutton United | Draw | Wealdstone |
| 1-0 @ 10.52% 2-1 @ 9.74% 2-0 @ 9.11% 3-1 @ 5.62% 3-0 @ 5.26% 3-2 @ 3.01% 4-1 @ 2.43% 4-0 @ 2.28% 4-2 @ 1.3% Other @ 3.62% Total : 52.88% | 1-1 @ 11.25% 0-0 @ 6.08% 2-2 @ 5.21% 3-3 @ 1.07% Other @ 0.13% Total : 23.74% | 0-1 @ 6.5% 1-2 @ 6.01% 0-2 @ 3.47% 1-3 @ 2.14% 2-3 @ 1.86% 0-3 @ 1.24% Other @ 2.16% Total : 23.38% |