Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hartlepool United win with a probability of 49.4%. A win for Altrincham had a probability of 25.4% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hartlepool United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.43%) and 2-0 (8.96%). The likeliest Altrincham win was 0-1 (7.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 12% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Hartlepool United | Draw | Altrincham |
| 49.4% | 25.21% | 25.4% |
| Both teams to score 51.58% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.78% | 51.22% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.94% | 73.06% |
| Hartlepool United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.25% | 20.75% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.62% | 53.38% |
| Altrincham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.09% | 34.91% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.35% | 71.65% |
| Score Analysis |
| Hartlepool United | Draw | Altrincham |
| 1-0 @ 11.39% 2-1 @ 9.43% 2-0 @ 8.96% 3-1 @ 4.94% 3-0 @ 4.7% 3-2 @ 2.6% 4-1 @ 1.94% 4-0 @ 1.85% 4-2 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.57% Total : 49.4% | 1-1 @ 11.98% 0-0 @ 7.24% 2-2 @ 4.96% 3-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.2% | 0-1 @ 7.62% 1-2 @ 6.31% 0-2 @ 4.01% 1-3 @ 2.21% 2-3 @ 1.74% 0-3 @ 1.41% Other @ 2.09% Total : 25.4% |