Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnet win with a probability of 38.42%. A win for Chesterfield had a probability of 35.92% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnet win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.45%) and 0-2 (6.33%). The likeliest Chesterfield win was 1-0 (8.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Chesterfield | Draw | Barnet |
| 35.92% | 25.66% | 38.42% |
| Both teams to score 55.36% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.29% | 48.71% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.18% | 70.81% |
| Chesterfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.71% | 26.28% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.59% | 61.4% |
| Barnet Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.11% | 24.89% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.49% | 59.5% |
| Score Analysis |
| Chesterfield | Draw | Barnet |
| 1-0 @ 8.74% 2-1 @ 8.12% 2-0 @ 5.84% 3-1 @ 3.62% 3-0 @ 2.6% 3-2 @ 2.52% 4-1 @ 1.21% Other @ 3.27% Total : 35.92% | 1-1 @ 12.15% 0-0 @ 6.54% 2-2 @ 5.65% 3-3 @ 1.17% Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.65% | 0-1 @ 9.1% 1-2 @ 8.45% 0-2 @ 6.33% 1-3 @ 3.92% 0-3 @ 2.93% 2-3 @ 2.62% 1-4 @ 1.36% 0-4 @ 1.02% 2-4 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.78% Total : 38.42% |