Maidstone United
National League South | Gameweek 38
Mar 11, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Gallagher Stadium

Maidstone
1 - 1
Dorking

Leahy (89')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Rutherford (62')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Maidstone United and Dorking Wanderers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Maidstone United

All competitions
Last Game: Hornchurch 0-0 Maidstone
Saturday, March 8 at 3pm in National League South

Dorking Wanderers

All competitions
Last Game: Dorking 2-2 Chelmsford City
Saturday, March 8 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maidstone United win with a probability of 39.76%. A win for Dorking Wanderers had a probability of 33.37% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Maidstone United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.44%) and 2-0 (7.1%). The likeliest Dorking Wanderers win was 0-1 (9.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.

Result
Maidstone UnitedDrawDorking Wanderers
39.76% (0.095999999999997 0.1)26.87% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)33.37% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08)
Both teams to score 50.98% (0.049999999999997 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.88% (0.07 0.07)54.12% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.46% (0.056999999999999 0.06)75.54% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)
Maidstone United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.34% (0.085999999999999 0.09)26.65% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.1% (0.112 0.11)61.9% (-0.11 -0.11)
Dorking Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.51% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)30.48% (0.013000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.3% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)66.7% (0.019000000000005 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Maidstone United 39.75%
    Dorking Wanderers 33.37%
    Draw 26.86%
Maidstone UnitedDrawDorking Wanderers
1-0 @ 10.74%
2-1 @ 8.44% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 7.1% (0.015 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.72% (0.016 0.02)
3-0 @ 3.13% (0.014 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.21% (0.008 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.23% (0.008 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.04% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 39.75%
1-1 @ 12.76% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.13% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.01% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 26.86%
0-1 @ 9.65% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
1-2 @ 7.58% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.73% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-3 @ 3% (-0.004 -0)
0-3 @ 2.27% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.98% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 33.37%

Head to Head
Nov 5, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 16
Dorking
1-1
Maidstone
Camp (37')
Camp (3'), Alexandrou (67'), Gallagher (75')
Blair (54')
Greenidge (35')
Dec 13, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 24
Dorking
3-2
Maidstone
McShane (6'), Taylor (90+2', 90+6')
Barham (22'), Deacon (41')
> Preview
Aug 16, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Maidstone
2-4
Dorking
Barham (34'), Pattison (51')
Ellul (35')
Corne (84')
McShane (18', 48'), Seager (83' pen., 90+3')
Moore (71'), Huk (90+1')
Feb 26, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 29
Dorking
1-0
Maidstone
Taylor (65')
Oct 23, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 10
Maidstone
0-2
Dorking

Elokobi (79')
McShane (43'), Kealy (76')