National League North | Gameweek 5
Sep 4, 2021 at 3pm UK
New Windmill Ground

Leamington
0 - 3
Curzon Ashton

FT(HT: 0-2)
Thomas (16'), Knowles (25'), Whitham (62')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Leamington FC and Curzon Ashton.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Curzon Ashton win with a probability of 40.13%. A win for Leamington FC had a probability of 34.17% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Curzon Ashton win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.65%) and 0-2 (6.71%). The likeliest Leamington FC win was 1-0 (8.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Curzon Ashton would win this match.

Result
Leamington FCDrawCurzon Ashton
34.17%25.7%40.13%
Both teams to score 54.96%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.89%49.11%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.81%71.19%
Leamington FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.48%27.52%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.97%63.03%
Curzon Ashton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.83%24.17%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.5%58.5%
Score Analysis
    Leamington FC 34.17%
    Curzon Ashton 40.13%
    Draw 25.69%
Leamington FCDrawCurzon Ashton
1-0 @ 8.58%
2-1 @ 7.86%
2-0 @ 5.54%
3-1 @ 3.38%
3-2 @ 2.4%
3-0 @ 2.38%
4-1 @ 1.09%
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 34.17%
1-1 @ 12.18%
0-0 @ 6.65%
2-2 @ 5.58%
3-3 @ 1.14%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.69%
0-1 @ 9.45%
1-2 @ 8.65%
0-2 @ 6.71%
1-3 @ 4.1%
0-3 @ 3.17%
2-3 @ 2.64%
1-4 @ 1.45%
0-4 @ 1.13%
2-4 @ 0.94%
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 40.13%