Alfreton Town
National League North | Gameweek 17
Dec 11, 2021 at 3pm UK
North Street

Alfreton
1 - 1
Gloucester City

Rhead (52')
FT(HT: 0-0)
O'Sullivan (48')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Alfreton Town and Gloucester City.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alfreton Town win with a probability of 46.52%. A win for Gloucester City had a probability of 29.87% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Alfreton Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.14%) and 2-0 (6.99%). The likeliest Gloucester City win was 1-2 (7.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.

Result
Alfreton TownDrawGloucester City
46.52%23.62%29.87%
Both teams to score 60.37%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.74%41.26%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.34%63.66%
Alfreton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.01%17.99%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.15%48.84%
Gloucester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.61%26.39%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.45%61.55%
Score Analysis
    Alfreton Town 46.52%
    Gloucester City 29.87%
    Draw 23.61%
Alfreton TownDrawGloucester City
2-1 @ 9.31%
1-0 @ 8.14%
2-0 @ 6.99%
3-1 @ 5.32%
3-0 @ 4%
3-2 @ 3.54%
4-1 @ 2.28%
4-0 @ 1.71%
4-2 @ 1.52%
Other @ 3.71%
Total : 46.52%
1-1 @ 10.84%
2-2 @ 6.2%
0-0 @ 4.75%
3-3 @ 1.57%
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 23.61%
1-2 @ 7.23%
0-1 @ 6.32%
0-2 @ 4.21%
1-3 @ 3.21%
2-3 @ 2.75%
0-3 @ 1.87%
1-4 @ 1.07%
2-4 @ 0.92%
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 29.87%