Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montreal Impact win with a probability of 42.56%. A win for Vancouver Whitecaps had a probability of 32.59% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montreal Impact win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.9%) and 0-2 (6.83%). The likeliest Vancouver Whitecaps win was 2-1 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Montreal Impact would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Vancouver Whitecaps | Draw | CF Montreal |
| 32.59% | 24.86% | 42.56% |
| Both teams to score 57.36% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.2% | 45.8% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.88% | 68.12% |
| Vancouver Whitecaps Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.11% | 26.9% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.79% | 62.22% |
| CF Montreal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.46% | 21.54% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.39% | 54.61% |
| Score Analysis |
| Vancouver Whitecaps | Draw | CF Montreal |
| 2-1 @ 7.67% 1-0 @ 7.61% 2-0 @ 5% 3-1 @ 3.36% 3-2 @ 2.58% 3-0 @ 2.19% 4-1 @ 1.1% Other @ 3.09% Total : 32.59% | 1-1 @ 11.68% 2-2 @ 5.89% 0-0 @ 5.79% 3-3 @ 1.32% Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.86% | 1-2 @ 8.97% 0-1 @ 8.9% 0-2 @ 6.83% 1-3 @ 4.59% 0-3 @ 3.49% 2-3 @ 3.01% 1-4 @ 1.76% 0-4 @ 1.34% 2-4 @ 1.16% Other @ 2.52% Total : 42.56% |